predictions

This episode discusses my take on what you should pay attention to when reading history. 

There’s a quote I love from writer Kelly Hayes who says, “Everything feels unprecedented when you haven’t engaged with history.”

It’s so true. History’s cast of characters changes but it’s the same movie over and over again.

To me, the point of paying attention to history is not the specific details of certain events, which are always random and never repeat; it’s the big-picture behaviors that reoccur in different eras, generations, and societies.

What will this next year bring? And what does it mean for gaming? Kirk, Maddy, and Jason go over last year's predictions to see who won the big bet, then throw down some hot new declarations for what's to come in 2024.

One More Thing:

Kirk: Learning to Play Piano When There Is No Recital, by Kelsey McKinney

Maddy: Dark Souls

Jason: Ace Attorney 4: Apollo Justice

LINKS:

Chris Dahlen’s excellent 2012 essay about Dark Souls: https://kotaku.com/what-dark-souls-is-really-all-about-5874599

Kelsey McKinney’s essay “Learning To Play Piano Where There Is No Recital”: https://defector.com/learning-to-play-piano-when-there-is-no-recital

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PREDICTIONS

KIRK

1. The new Nintendo console will have "Switch" in the name
2. Ubisoft will be acquired
3. REDACTED will still die in FFXVII Rebirth
4. An indie game (small team) will win GOTY at the game awards
5. Nintendo will announce a remake of A Link to The Past
6. At least one video game will use generative AI in the game itself
7. Bethesda/Microsoft will announce an Elder Scrolls TV show
8. Hollow Knight: Sillksong will come out in May
9. Valve will announce a non-VR Half-Life game
10. Nvidia will announce a Steam Deck Competitor

Bonus: Apple buys Nintendo

Game: Far Cry 2

MADDY

1. The Switch 2 will be called the Super Nintendo Switch
2. Metroid Prime 4 will be a launch game on the Switch 2 in 2024
3. Summer Game Fest 2024 will get material participation from either Sony or Nintendo (showing games on campus)
4. Warner Bros. will announce a sequel to Hogwarts Legacy
5. Tears of the Kingdom will announce DLC after all
6. FF7 Rebirth will NOT kill off that one character who we all know died in the original game and instead a different character will be killed in that same way
7. Three major games will use AI voices in a method similar to The Finals, meaning human actors’ performances are bolstered by AI trained on their voices
8. Geoff Keighley will become embroiled in a career-threatening scandal (people will refer to him as “canceled”)
9. We will see a major biopic film announced about a video game streamer
10. Dragon Age Dreadwolf will be canceled

Bonus: Kristen Stewart will get cast as Link in the Zelda movie

Game: Ocarina of Time

JASON

1. Metroid Prime 4 will launch on Switch and Switch 2 - day one of Switch 2
2. Konami will release the Suikoden remastered collection within 4 weeks of Eiyuden Chronicle
3. A different character will die instead of REDACTED in FFVII Rebirth
4. Elden Ring DLC is so substantial it turns into a standalone budget-priced game (like Lost Legacy)
5. Nintendo will do something substantial with the Mother series (Earthbound remake, rerelease, etc)
6. Apple will announce a big-budget exclusive game for Apple Vision Pro 
7. Civilization 7 will be announced and released this year
8. Microsoft's Activision will bring back Guitar Hero
9. The new Switch will make you pay for backwards compatibility
10. Saudi Arabia will buy a major video game company

Bonus: The Zelda movie will feature a COMPLETELY SILENT Link

Game: Crosscode

Step into the future with Michael Knowles as he dons the mantle of 'Knowlestradamus' predictions for 2024. Join Michael as he unveils his top five predictions for the pivotal year covering everything from politics and global events to cultural trends and technological advancements. 

In this episode, Michael combines his sharp political insight with a touch of humor to forecast the unexpected twists and turns that may await us in the near future. Whether you're a political junkie, a fan of predictions, or simply curious about what the future might hold, these predictions are sure to spark your imagination and provoke discussion. 

🔔 Don't miss out on Knowlestradamus' vision for 2024! Subscribe now and share your own predictions in the comments below. Do you agree with Michael's forecasts? What are your predictions for 2024? Let's explore the future together!

#MichaelKnowles #Knowlestradamus #2024Predictions #FutureForecasts #PoliticalPredictions #GlobalEvents #CulturalTrends #TechnologicalAdvancements #TheDailyWire #FutureInsights #PoliticalCommentary #HumorAndInsight #PredictingTheFuture #VisionOfTomorrow

Bri is back from Australia for the last BFFs of 2023 and we get into headlines where Taylor Swift won TIME person of the year and finally went at Kim Kardashian in public, Dave getting a very special reaction to his compilation of trashing Kim, Selena Gomez dating Benny Blanco, Morgan Wallen and Josie Canseco spotted on a date, Jada Pinkett Smith still talking about the slap, Matt Rife beefing with a 6 year old, Jeff Bezos’ neighbors angry at him for not participating in cleanup day, Rubi Rose’s biggest OF fan not leaving her alone, Olivia Rodrigo accidentally following her ex, and Trisha Paytas thinking “The Idol” is about her life. We finish with BFFs Corner where we go through the fans favorite moments from the pod in 2023, Bri’s trip to Austrailia, Dave going to the Army Navy game, and we finish with a recap of our 2023 predictions and predicting what will happen in 2024. Support Our Sponsors! Raising Canes: Come for the chicken fingers and stay for sauce! Order online at https://RaisingCanes.com Rent App: Head to https://Rent.app/barstool for $50 off your first rent payment and download Rent app in the App store today Subscribe to the podcast now: https://barstool.link/3m4Q0Fq Check out the BFFs Social Media Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bffspod/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/BFFsPod TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bffspod

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Brought to you by Cometeer delicious hyper-fresh, flash-frozen coffee; Momentous high-quality supplements; and LinkedIn Jobs recruitment platform with 900M+ users.

Morgan Housel (@morganhousel) is a partner at The Collaborative Fund. His book The Psychology of Money has sold more than three million copies and has been translated into 53 languages. 

He is a two-time winner of the Best in Business Award from the Society of American Business Editors and Writers and winner of the New York Times Sidney Award. In 2022, MarketWatch named him one of the 50 most influential people in markets. He serves on the board of directors at Markel. 

Morgan’s new book is Same As Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes. You can find my first, widely popular interview with Morgan at tim.blog/morganhousel.

Please enjoy!

This episode is brought to you by Cometeer! Cometeer is hyper-fresh, expertly brewed, flash-frozen coffee that produces an incredibly delicious cup. Cometeer lets you prepare your coffee with no mess, no machines, no burning, and no bitterness. Cometeer sources high-quality beans from the country’s top roasters. The coffee is brewed using proprietary technology to pull out more flavor compounds and antioxidants. It’s then flash-frozen at minus 321 degrees Fahrenheit to lock in that incredible flavor and freshness of the specialty brew. Simply add hot water and you’ve got a game-changing cup of coffee. It’s easily customizable in seconds for iced coffees, lattes, espresso martinis, and more.

Order today at Cometeer.com/Tim, and listeners of this podcast will also receive a FREE 8-pack of Barista’s Choice, a rotating selection of limited-edition specialty roasts from world-class roaster partners like George Howell, Onyx, and Intelligentsia—names many of you will recognize. 

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This episode is also brought to you by Momentous high-quality supplements! Momentous offers high-quality supplements and products across a broad spectrum of categories, and I’ve been testing their products for months now. I’ve been using their magnesium threonate, apigenin, and L-theanine daily, all of which have helped me improve the onset, quality, and duration of my sleep. I’ve also been using Momentous creatine, and while it certainly helps physical performance, including poundage or wattage in sports, I use it primarily for mental performance (short-term memory, etc.).

Their products are third-party tested (Informed-Sport and/or NSF certified), so you can trust that what is on the label is in the bottle and nothing else. If you want to try Momentous for yourself, you can use code Tim for 20% off your one-time purchase at LiveMomentous.com/Tim. And not to worry, my non-US friends, Momentous ships internationally and has you covered. 

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This episode is also brought to you by LinkedIn Jobs. Whether you are looking to hire now for a critical role or thinking about needs that you may have in the future, LinkedIn Jobs can help. LinkedIn screens candidates for the hard and soft skills you’re looking for and puts your job in front of candidates looking for job opportunities that match what you have to offer.

Using LinkedIn’s active community of more than 900 million professionals worldwide, LinkedIn Jobs can help you find and hire the right person faster. When your business is ready to make that next hire, find the right person with LinkedIn Jobs. And now, you can post a job for free. Just visit LinkedIn.com/Tim.

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[07:20] Buffett’s Snickers.

[12:21] What prompted Morgan to write Same As Ever?

[17:44] Morgan’s worst advice for aspiring writers is what works for him.

[21:48] The upsides of being rich and anonymous.

[26:35] Tips for raising unspoiled kids.

[33:19] Should families avoid passing along dynastic wealth?

[35:45] Finding worthy charities and causes.

[41:02] Money and happiness.

[48:37] Avalanches and other random, life-changing flukes.

[54:32] We can prepare for the future, but we can’t predict it.

[1:00:58] What current unknowns will seem shockingly obvious in a year?

[1:03:22] Which of our current views would change if our incentives were different?

[1:06:23] The most valuable personal finance asset.

[1:08:54] Optimizing the chance of marrying the right person.

[1:11:38] Mending divergence in a marriage or relationship.

[1:14:49] Trying to eliminate a hassle that’s an unavoidable cost of success.

[1:33:16] Guessing at the future of text vs. audio/video.

[1:37:41] Books vs. podcasts.

[1:46:56] Recommended reading.

[2:06:00] Has writing Same As Ever changed how Morgan operates in the world?

[2:07:39] Who is the intended audience for Same As Ever?

[2:09:47] Parting thoughts.

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For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.

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Past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.

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Joe is joined by Bryan Callen, and Brendan Schaub, and Eddie Bravo to watch the fights on October 21, 2023.

Bryan Callen is an actor, comedian, and podcaster. He's the co-host of the podcasts "The Fighter and the Kid" and "Conspiracy Social Club," and host of "The Bryan Callen Show." 
www.bryancallen.com 

Brendan Schaub is stand-up comedian, retired professional mixed martial artist, entrepreneur, and host or co-host of several podcasts and YouTube shows, among them "The Fighter and the Kid," "The Schaub Show," "The Golden Hour," "Calabasas Fight Companion."

www.thicccboy.com

Eddie Bravo is a champion martial artist, founder of 10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu, musician, stand-up comic, and author. He's the host of "Look Into It - with Eddie Bravo" podcast.

www.10thplanetjj.com

Football is back and the Lions walked into Kansas City and beat the Chiefs. Kadarius Toney had a night he will hopefully forget and Matt Nagy may be a problem (00:00:00-00:17:49). Week 1 picks and preview for every game on Sunday plus Fantasy Fuccbois (00:17:49-01:13:55). We then welcome on our good friend Dan Patrick who wrote a new book and talk to him about the best year for his hair, retiring in 4 years, competition at ESPN and tons more (01:13:55-02:14:47). We finish with Jake's report on Obama's potential hook up (02:14:47-02:28:07) and fyre fest of the week (02:28:07-02:41:52).

You can find every episode of this show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or YouTube. Prime Members can listen ad-free on Amazon Music. For more, visit barstool.link/PardonMyTake

What will the year bring? Time for some guesses! It's the episode you've all been waiting for... Jason, Kirk, and Maddy go through their predictions from 2022 to see who won the annual bet and whose game we'll all play. Then, the gang whips out some hot new predictions for 2023. 

One More Thing: 

Kirk: Defunctland’s “Disney Channel’s Theme: A History Mystery”

Maddy: Metroid Prime on Steam Deck

Jason: The Man Who Died Twice (Richard Osman)

Links:

Disney Channel’s Theme: A History Mystery https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_rjBWmc1iQ

Metroid Prime on Steam Deck: https://www.theverge.com/2022/12/25/23518873/metroid-prime-trilogy-valve-steam-deck-primehack-emudeck-emulation

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PREDICTIONS

KIRK

1. Microsoft will not own Activision/Blizzard at the end of 2023
2. Nintendo will announce a Legend of Zelda movie
3. Someone will announce a game that is being written by an AI
4. Gabe Newell will retire from Valve
5. Amazon will buy Roblox
6. House House will announce a sequel to Untitled Goose Game it will feature both a goose and another animal
7. Two games will include a menu toggle for NPC puzzle suggestions
8. There'll be an Elden Ring TV series
9. Xbox Cloud Gaming will come to Nintendo Switch
10. Atlus will announce Persona 6, and the mascot character will be a dog
11. BONUS: Disney will announce a video game console

MADDY

1. Princess Zelda will not be playable in Tears of the Kingdom
2. Nintendo will announce a Zelda TV show
3. Facebook and Meta will make a significant pivot due to the failure of Meta to take off with anyone ever (e.g., shutter VR entirely, acquire Twitter and lean hard into Twitter as the “new metaverse,” etc)
4. The Switch 2 will be announced and will be called the Super Nintendo Switch
5. The use of AI art will become normalized in game development to the extent that at least 3 major triple-A studios will use it in similar ways to High on Life
6. Three major games this year will be ones that we could reasonably call “mom games” (rather than “dad games”)
7. Marvel’s Spider-Man 2 will nod at the Spider-Verse and include Spider-Gwen as a playable character
8. Sony or NIntendo or Valve will create a new cloud gaming competitor to xCloud
9. Netfix will release an exclusive game for its mobile app that becomes extremely successful on the scale of Pokemon Go or Genshin Impact
10. There will be a video game announced or even released involving a household smart tech item, like the Samsung Smart Fridge, etc.
11. BONUS: Cloud and Sephiroth will kiss in Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth and/or Final Fantasy canon

JASON

1. At least three Final Fantasy games will come out, not counting ports
2. Someone will put out a video game created largely by AI
3. Civilization 7 will be announced and come out
4. Nintendo will announce and release a brand new 3D Mario game
5. EA will be acquired
6. Tony Soprano will come to Multiversus
7. One of the major sports games (Madden, EA soccer, NBA 2K etc) will switch to a two-year cycle
8. Jim Ryan will be fired/step down
9. The Legend of Zelda will finally get LEGO sets
10. Bungie will announce and release a new game
11. BONUS: Hogwarts Legacy will have a hidden message saying "f--- you JK Rowling"

This week's Addicted to Fitness gives you a preview of what topics will be at the forefront of health and wellness in 2023. Nick and Shannon put on their fortune telling hats and predict how bodywork accessibility, hot & cold therapy availability, wearable prescriptions, psychedelic medication, and more will be at the forefront of the health & wellness field next year. Follow the podcast profile on Instagram @TheATFPodcast. Give it a listen and let us know what you think by leaving a rating & review in Apple Podcasts.

This week's throwback Addicted to Fitness gives you a preview of what topics will be at the forefront of health and wellness in 2022. Nick and Shannon put on their fortune telling hats and predict how mental health prioritization, hybrid healthcare, plant-based diet expansion, male targeted marketing, and more will be at the forefront of the health & wellness field next year. Follow the podcast profile on Instagram @TheATFPodcast. Give it a listen and let us know what you think by leaving a rating & review in Apple Podcasts.

Today's episode of The Qualys is from podcast #32 – Siddhartha Mukherjee, M.D., Ph.D.: new frontiers in cancer therapy, medicine, and the writing process. 

The Qualys is a subscriber-exclusive podcast, released Tuesday through Friday, and published exclusively on our private, subscriber-only podcast feed. Qualys is short-hand for “qualifying round,” which are typically the fastest laps driven in a race car—done before the race to determine starting position on the grid for race day. The Qualys are short (i.e., “fast”), typically less than ten minutes, and highlight the best questions, topics, and tactics discussed on The Drive.

Occasionally, we will also release an episode on the main podcast feed for non-subscribers, which is what you are listening to now.

Learn more: https://peterattiamd.com/podcast/qualys/  

Subscribe to receive access to all episodes of The Qualys (and other exclusive subscriber-only content): https://peterattiamd.com/subscribe/ 

Connect with Peter on Facebook.com/PeterAttiaMD | Twitter.com/PeterAttiaMD | Instagram.com/PeterAttiaMD 

It requires more than just mental thought and will require real effort to help build the business. Today, Alex (@AlexHormozi) discusses how to reverse engineer goals to a precise level and achieve gym growth. Using a step-by-step guide, he breaks down how to reach a goal of 300 EFTs (electronic funds transfers) and the strategies and tactics needed to get there.

Welcome to The Game w/Alex Hormozi, hosted by entrepreneur, founder, investor, author, public speaker, and content creator Alex Hormozi. On this podcast you’ll hear how to get more customers, make more profit per customer, how to keep them longer, and the many failures and lessons Alex has learned on his path from $100M to $1B in net worth.

Timestamps:

(3:37) - A step-by-step guide to achieving a 300 EFT goal

(5:59) - How to make predictions based on real numbers

(12:25) - Lead generation and conversion strategies for a small business

(14:12) - EFT goals and lead generation strategies

(17:35) - Making accurate predictions for business growth

Follow Alex Hormozi’s Socials:

LinkedIn  | Instagram | Facebook | YouTube  | Twitter | Acquisition 

Science fiction writers have made some amazingly accurate predictions over the years, but in 1945 the pace of technological change created a field that spun off of sci-fi forecasting, futurology.

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