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    2024 is the most significant time in human history, w/PBS host & futurist Ari Wallach

    enApril 04, 2024

    About this Episode

    We are biologically wired to focus on the near-term, and that’s often a good thing. But in this moment — with global conflict, fast-evolving tech, and climate change dominating our present — we need to also prioritize long-term impacts. Futurist Ari Wallach joins Rapid Response host Bob Safian to dive into our biological and business motivations around what he calls “futuring.” Host of the new PBS docuseries, A Brief History of the Future, Wallach shares lessons from the longest-standing corporations on Earth, why he views AI as “immortal algorithms,” and how business leaders must embrace the moral imperative of their business as a core KPI.

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    🔑 Key Takeaways

    • Grammarly helps professionals enhance their writing and save time, while the Masters of Scale Summit provides opportunities for learning and networking.
    • Futurists help organizations navigate the future by exploring trends and identifying what needs to be true for desired futures to manifest, rather than predicting the future.
    • Recognizing and bridging the gap between present and future selves leads to personal growth and benefits society and the planet.
    • Focusing on positivity and making decisions that contribute to a better future for our species is crucial for creating a thriving global civilization.
    • Recognize interconnectedness of business, politics, culture, and ethics, and prioritize long-term vision over short-term gains for a sustainable future.
    • Business leaders must balance open dialogue with future-focused decisions, shift from output-focused to outcome-focused marketing, and persist through resistance to change.
    • Effective leadership involves actively listening to and understanding diverse perspectives, allowing for open dialogue and the uncovering of crucial missing pieces in plans. This is particularly important in the business world where visions of the future are constantly evolving.
    • Current focus on short-term KPIs in politics and technology limits our perspective and prevents us from addressing the bigger picture. We need to shift our focus to long-term consequences and prioritize a public AI infrastructure for flourishing futures.
    • Considering the long-term consequences of our actions, asking ourselves if we can be proud of our choices, and acknowledging our mortality can help us make decisions that benefit both ourselves and future generations.
    • Prioritizing long-term impact and customer needs can lead to a more effective, cohesive team and contribute to a better future for society

    📝 Podcast Summary

    Improving written content with Grammarly and attending the Masters of Scale Summit

    Grammarly is a valuable tool for improving the clarity, directness, and conciseness of written content, while also prioritizing data security. For professionals like Tucker Legersky, who need to produce numerous documents daily, Grammarly's commitment to responsible AI and its ability to save time make it an indispensable resource. Meanwhile, the Masters of Scale Summit offers an exclusive opportunity for individuals to connect, learn, and innovate, with applications now open for the October event. Lastly, Ari Wallach, a futurist and founder of Longpath Labs, emphasizes the importance of envisioning a positive future and reconnecting with the moral imperative of businesses to create a thriving global civilization.

    Exploring the trends shaping the future and choosing which futures to work towards

    The future is not a fixed destination, but rather something we actively shape through our actions and decisions. Futurists, like Ari Wallach, help organizations navigate the trends and possibilities of the future by developing multiple scenarios and identifying what needs to be true for those futures to manifest. Wallach emphasizes that futurists do not predict the future, but rather explore the trends shaping it and help organizations choose which futures they want to work towards. By recognizing the future as a verb, we can take an active role in shaping it and prepare ourselves for the opportunities and challenges it brings. In today's business landscape, where marketing is moving towards using big data and machine learning, this perspective is especially important for companies looking to scale their marketing engines and stay competitive.

    Understanding our disconnect with future selves

    As individuals and as a society, we are biologically wired to focus on the present, which can lead to short-sighted decision-making. However, understanding and connecting with our future selves through simple interventions like daily reflection or writing letters can lead to healthier personal outcomes and ultimately benefit humanity as a whole. This disconnect between our present and future selves is a fundamental challenge that we face, but the advancements in technology, such as the ability to communicate via the internet, are evidence that we are still making decisions that help us survive and progress. By recognizing this challenge and taking steps to bridge the gap between our present and future selves, we can make decisions that benefit not just ourselves, but future generations and the planet as a whole. The work of the speaker, as outlined in the series "A Brief History of the Future," is to encourage this mindset shift and inspire action towards a more sustainable and interconnected future.

    Envisioning a Better Future

    Our evolutionary past has hardwired us to focus on survival and negativity, but to create a thriving global civilization in the future, we must also envision success and focus on what we want. Our daily actions, no matter how small, have long-term impacts on our species. The media's prevalence of dystopian visions is a reflection of our negativity bias, but we must push ourselves to think positively and make decisions that contribute to a better future. Everyone is a futurist in their own way, and the decisions we make at the micro and macro levels have significant impacts on our species' future. The key performance indicators (KPIs) for this show are people making different decisions in their lives and work, and changing behaviors as a result. Instead of focusing on specific futuristic solutions, the show highlights individuals and organizations working on various issues.

    Considering the long-term impacts of our actions

    We all have a responsibility to consider the long-term impacts of our actions, especially in business, and think critically about how we can create a better future for generations to come. This includes addressing challenges like climate change, but also considering the ethical and moral implications of our decisions and the role of legacy. The longest-running companies, many of which are in Japan, operate as if the current leaders are representing future generations. However, individual incentives often prioritize short-term gains over long-term vision. To think and act long-term, it's essential to recognize the interconnectedness of business, politics, culture, and ethics, and for all of us to take responsibility for shaping the future. Climate change is a significant challenge, but it's not the only one. We must also consider the implications of emerging technologies and the balance between government policy and business impact. Ultimately, it's up to all of us to ensure a sustainable and thriving future for generations to come.

    Navigating social and political climate as a business leader

    Business leaders are facing a challenge in navigating the current social and political climate, as they feel the pressure to engage in open dialogue but also fear alienating their audience. To succeed, they must act as "temporal incursion agents," considering the needs of future generations and making decisions that will benefit both the present and the long-term. Another key point is the shift from output-focused marketing to outcome-focused marketing, where evaluating the effectiveness of strategies based on actual results is more important than just measuring the quantity of campaigns or emails sent. However, implementing such changes can face resistance and may require patience and persistence.

    Listening to diverse perspectives is key to effective leadership

    Effective leadership requires active listening and understanding of diverse perspectives. Aparna learned this the hard way when her team's skepticism towards her new marketing strategy forced her to pause and engage in open dialogue. By paying attention to their concerns and asking questions, she uncovered a crucial missing piece in her plan. This experience highlights the importance of considering various viewpoints and being open to feedback, especially in the business world where visions of the future are constantly evolving. Furthermore, the impact of culture and sync in shaping our collective future was emphasized through the example of Drake's music and fanbase. This decade's battleground will be shaped by ideas about our desired future, and it's crucial for these visions to allow for logical consistency and openness to all humans flourishing in an inclusive society.

    Limiting Perspective with Short-Term KPIs

    Our current focus on short-term key performance indicators (KPIs) in politics and technology is limiting our perspective and preventing us from addressing the bigger picture. This conversation is reminiscent of college students discussing trivial matters, while overlooking the larger implications of climate change, technology, and AI. We need to shift our perspective and consider the long-term consequences of our actions. Regarding technology and AI, they have the potential to make our lives easier and help us live sustainably on this planet. However, the current focus is on optimizing for near-term business interests. Instead, we should aim for a public AI infrastructure that prioritizes flourishing futures. This requires a collective effort and a serious conversation about the power and implications of these tools. The potential for creation and destruction is immense, and we must approach this with the same level of importance as the future of democracy in our country. Let us not cover AI like horse race politics, but rather, engage in a meaningful dialogue about its impact on our future.

    Reflecting on Our Impact on the Future

    We are currently living in an "Oppenheimer-like moment," where a small group of individuals hold significant power, and it's crucial for us to consider the long-term consequences of our actions. To be more "futureing," we can ask ourselves simple questions, such as whether we can look in the mirror and be proud of our actions, or if our children would model their lives after us. Another practice is writing a letter to our future selves, which can change how we think about our role in shaping the future. Lastly, Ernest Becker's theory of death anxiety suggests that our focus on the short term is a way to deny our mortality. By acknowledging our mortality and expanding our perspective to include future generations, we can make decisions that benefit both ourselves and future generations. These practices may not be easy, but they are essential for creating a better future.

    Focusing on positive impact beyond one's own lifespan and prioritizing customer needs

    Focusing on making a positive impact beyond one's own lifespan and prioritizing the needs of customers can lead to greater comfort and unity within a team or organization. Ari's insight that people will remember how we show up for others, rather than material accomplishments, encourages a more relaxed and connected perspective. In the business world, this mindset can lead to a more effective and cohesive team, as demonstrated by Aparna's success in refocusing her department strategy by putting the customer first. This approach not only benefits individuals and teams but also contributes to shaping a better future for society as a whole. Businesses have a significant role in driving positive change, and prioritizing long-term impact and customer needs can lead to a more unified and effective business community.

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