financial markets

Former U.S. President slams both China and the EU, telling our colleagues Stateside that America is being taken advantage of economically. JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon urges the Federal Reserve to act cautiously on rate cuts, arguing that a U.S. recession is still a possibility as President Biden unveils his budget for 2025, which proposes higher taxes, spending and debt. BoJ governor Kazuo Ueda has dampened optimism about the state of the Japanese economy ahead of a key meeting which could see the central bank raise rates out of negative territory for the first time since 2016 as the 10-year JGB reaches a three-month high. Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi is to launch its first ever EV, helping to push shares up on the Hang Seng. GOP House leaders move against social media giant TikTok with a bill that could require its parent company ByteDance to either sell the platform or be liable to a fine in the U.S. 

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The Nikkei tumbles, posting its worst day in the more than a year on speculation the BoJ will finally raise rates, helping the yen while hurting exports. In China, sticker prices rise for the first time since lates summer but manufacturing price deflation continues to drag. New Delhi agrees to signs a $100bn free trade deal with the European EFTA bloc, ahead of a spring general election. And in energy news, Saudi Aramco sees FY profit fall by up to 25 per cent but its still manages to posts its second-highest net income ever while increasing its dividend. 

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Former U.S. President Donald Trump dominates the GOP Super Tuesday races. NBC News projects he has won almost all of the 15 states voting in the primary contest. Wall Street stumbles for a second straight day with tech stocks weighing. The Dow is down ahead of Federal reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill. We are live in Westminster ahead of Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s UK budget later today. Personal tax cuts set to top the agenda. And in IPO news, Swiss-American dermatology company Galderma plans to list in Zurich, aiming to raise $2.3bn. 

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China hosts its annual legislative sessions with an aim to deepening economic reform. Beijing is grappling with the four issues of deflation, demographics, debt and de-risking. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 hits the 40,000-point level for the first time on the back of strong tech stock performance. Stateside, the Nasdaq, Dow and S&P 500 also hit fresh highs. Hamas delegates are in Egypt hoping to negotiate a Ramadan truce in Gaza. U.S. Vice-President Kamala Harris calls out Israel over the humanitarian situation in the territory. Saudi Arabia has decided to extend its voluntary oil supply cut until the end of Q2. Russia performs its own cuts as Opec+ nations attempt to steady the market.  

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JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has played down suggestions that the U.S. economy may still enjoy a soft landing, saying investor optimism is mis-placed. With A.I. dominating the agenda at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, we hear from Microsoft President Brad Smith who says the new technology is transformative and here to stay. In Japan, January inflation slowed which affected the BoJ’s 2 per cent target and supported the case for the central bank to end negative interest rates in the coming months. Chinese fast fashion company Shein has signalled it may list in London rather than on Wall Street following increased SEC concerns about the firm in the U.S. In Paris, French President Emmanuel Macron hosts Western leaders, pledging to support Ukraine and also not ruling out the possibility of European boots on the ground.

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We are live at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona where A.I. is dominating the agenda. Deutsche Telekom CEO Tim Höttges tells CNBC that Europe is lagging in the digital world. Berkshire Hathaway posts a record 28 per cent jump in Q4 earnings bringing the company’s cash pile to $167bn but CEO Warren Buffett warns that a repeat performance in coming years is not guaranteed. Donald Trump comfortably defeats Nikki Haley in the GOP primary in her home state of South Carolina to cement his lead as the Republican presidential nominee frontrunner. Haley, however, has vowed to fight on. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine drags into a third year as a U.S. Congressional impasse continues to hold up military aid for the country.  

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Chip maker Nvidia adds $277bn to its market cap in one session, smashing the previous added value record high and prompting stock market highs across three continents. Asia-focused bank Standard Chartered posts an 18 per cent surge in FY pre-tax profit. It is due to offer a $1bn share buy-back and a large increase to its dividend. Reddit may list in New York in the next few weeks, becoming Wall Street’s first social media IPO since Pinterest in 2019. And the U.S. government is preparing 500 new sanctions against Moscow following the death of opposition activist Alexei Navalny in prison last week. President Joe Biden has met with his family on the eve of the second anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.  

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The PBOC makes its biggest ever cut to the country’s benchmark mortgage rate as authorities look to shore up the beleaguered Chinese property sector. In banking news, Capital One strikes a $35bn deal to snap up credit card issuer Discover Financial – the largest acquisition so far this year. German industrial giant Bayer slashes its dividend by 95 per cent to the lowest legal level in a bid to drastically cut costs and alleviate its debt situation. The world largest listed mining company, BHP also reduces its dividend payout following a plunge in H1 net profit as commodity pricing remains rocky. And we are live at the Singapore Air Show where China prepares to unveil its first home-grown passenger aircraft. IATA director-general Willie Walsh tells CNBC the aviation sector is still seeing examples of supply chain concerns.  

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The S&P 500 achieves a fresh record high for the eleventh time this year – this as U.S. consumer spending in January falls more than expected in what could be an early warning sign for the American economy. In Japan, the Nikkei moves close to levels not seen since 1989. Crypto exchange Coinbase sees shares surge more than 14 per cent in extended trade. CFO Alesia Haas told our colleagues Stateside that Bitcoin ETFs are behind the company’s first quarterly profit in 2 years. And we are live in Bavaria where U.S. Vice-President Kamala Harris ahead of the Munich Security Conference where she will work to assure European allies that Washington will honour its NATO commitments. 

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Wall Street posts its fifth-straight week in the green with the S&P 500 breaching the 5,000-point mark for the first time. We hear exclusively from IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva who warns about the need for China to introduce economic reforms and stabilise its property sector. NATO leaders baulk at comments made by former President Donald Trump saying he would not support allies who did not honour defence spending commitments in the face of an attack by Russia. Italian luxury fashion brand Tod’s has announced it will delist from the Milan stock exchange and go private in a deal with LVMH-backed PE group L-Catterton, valued at approximately €1.4bn.

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The S&P 500 posts its ninth record session this year, briefly breaching the 5,000-point milestone. Similarly in Asia, the Nikkei hits 37k for the first time in 34 years before pulling back while Hong Kong equities are in the red at the start of the Lunar New Year. Disappointing sales for L’Oréal as northern Asian markets slump, with the French cosmetics posting a miss on sales and profits. In the U.S., President Biden dodges a Special Counsel report about his handling of classified documents and berates reporters for questioning his mental acuity.

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German engineering giant Siemens posts a 56 per cent rise in Q net income and boasts an order book of more than €22bn. CEO Roland Busch says the China market remains a concern. Shares in chip maker ARM are up 40 per cent in after-hours trade after the firm hiked guidance on strong A.I. demand. ARM’s major shareholder Softbank also posts a $16bn gain in earnings. Disney hikes its forecast and announces its foray into gaming, investing $1.2bn in Fortnite maker Epic Games. In China, producer prices fall for a sixteenth consecutive month while consumer prices have their steepest fall since 2009. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 records another record high – just five points shy of the 5,000-mark.   

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UBS posts a better-than-expected Q4 net loss of $279m. U.S. markets are in the red as the 2-years Treasury yield reaches a one-month high as strong services numbers pushes back expectations of an early Fed rate cut. In China, authorities move to mitigate a slump in the stock market helping both the Hong Kong and Shenzhen indices up. In pharma news, Novartis buys up cancer treatment firm MorphoSys while Novo Nordisk snaps up a key manufacturing sub-contractor for its obesity drug WeGovy. BoE chief economist Huw Pill says it is a matter of when, not if, the central bank moves to cut rates after retail sales slow in January.  

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Money markets temper expectations for a March cut after Fed Chair Jerome Powell warns of moving too fast too soon - saying he wants to see more data to confirm that inflation is headed down to 2%. U.S. yields jump following a stellar payrolls report, as hiring hits 353,000 in January - nearly twice the forecast. The wild ride in Chinese stocks stretches into a new week, with the Shanghai Composite hitting a fresh 52-week low despite efforts from regulators to calm the situation. And The U.S. launches more strikes against Iran-backed groups in the Middle East in retaliation for an attack on a base in Jordan, as White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan warns this is just the beginning.

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U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell dampens investor hopes of a much-anticipated rate cut in March with the S&P 500 suffering its worst session since September. French lender BNP Paribas disappoints, posting a Q4 profit of just over €1bn on higher provisions. The bank also pares back its profitability targets. In retail, Adidas predicts profits will almost double in 2024 to €500m following the sportswear titan’s controversial split with rapper Kanye West. And we hear from a slew of European CEOs today with Q4 corporate earnings in full swing.

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Both the Dow and S&P 500 notch their sixth record session for the year as the U.S. Treasury slashes its Q1 borrowing guidance. Investors Stateside are now anticipating mega-cap tech earnings. In Hong Kong, tech and property firms drag stocks lower. Asian indices bar Japan are set to now break a two-month winning run. Car giant Renault cancels plans to list its EV unit due to poor market conditions and slowing uptake throughout Europe. Gambling giant Flutter debuts on the NYSE and now plans to make Wall Street its home in what appears to be yet another blow to the LSE.  

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Tesla earnings disappoint, sliding by 40 per cent in Q4. The EV maker has warned of weaker sales throughout 2024. Meanwhile, streaming giant Netflix sees shares hit double digits, helping the Nasdaq along with 34 points as new subscribers topped 13 million for the quarter. In aviation news, the FAA has limited production of Boeing 737 Max 9 jets but has approved existing craft for service with the first planes expected to fly from tomorrow. And we are counting down to the ECB’s first rate decision of 2024 where investors expect a ‘hold’ and more guidance on the future path of cuts.  

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The U.S. Santa rally is back on but European indices fail to follow suit with UK GDP receiving a downward revision signalling a potential recession next year. Sportswear giants in Europe see declines in early trade following Nike’s revenue forecast cut. The brand has unveiled a $2bn cost-cutting initiative which has knocked 10 per cent from its U.S. share price. Chinese authorities issue new spending and time rewards for online gaming, pulling Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index into the red. U.S. President Joe Biden has joined other American lawmakers in demanding closer scrutiny of Nippon Steel’s proposed $15bn takeover of iconic U.S. Steel.

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The Wall Street Santa rally hits a wall with the Dow and the Nasdaq breaking a nine-day winning streak. The S&P 500 records its worst session since September. In media news, CNBC sources claim Warner Bros./Discovery and Paramount have launched merger talks in what could be a landmark mega-deal to gain market share in the streaming industry. Toyota sees shares nose-dive following a major U.S. recall due to a suspected airbag sensor fault. And we hear from French sports minister Amélie Oudéa-Castéra who says next summer’s Paris Olympics could generate up to €10bn and create 180,000 jobs as the city puts the finishing touches to the world’s biggest sporting event.

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