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    Ukraine ‘fires Himars into Russia for first time’ & the precarious future of the Ukrainian economy

    enJune 03, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Ukrainian-Russian conflictUkrainian forces are using US-supplied weapons in ongoing military conflicts near Vovchinsk, resulting in heavy Russian casualties, while the overall situation remains complex and uncertain with conflicting reports

      There are ongoing military conflicts near the Ukrainian city of Vovchinsk, where Ukrainian forces are holding off Russian advances. The use of US-supplied weapons by Ukraine inside Russian territory is a topic of controversy, with conflicting reports of such incidents. Ukrainian forces reportedly suffered heavy losses, with up to 1,270 Russian casualties in the last 24 hours, according to Ukraine's military. The Donbass region continues to see intense fighting, with Russia claiming to have captured a village and advanced in all directions. The overall situation remains complex and uncertain, with conflicting reports and information from various sources.

    • Ukraine conflictRussian aggression continues in Ukraine, international support for Ukraine persists, and China is accused of working with Russia to disrupt peace efforts.

      The situation in Ukraine remains tense, with ongoing military activity and international involvement. In the village of Umanskaya, there is ongoing conflict, specifically Russian attempts to push northwest. Meanwhile, international support for Ukraine continues, with Greece sending the first F-16 fighter jet instructor to train Ukrainian pilots. Additionally, over one million military-aged Ukrainian men have registered for potential conscription since a new mobilization law was enacted. At the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, President Zelensky accused China of working with Russia to disrupt a planned peace summit in Switzerland, an allegation China denied. The Shangri-La Dialogue, which focused on regional issues, saw widespread applause for US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin's statement that NATO expansion did not cause the Ukraine crisis. President Zelensky also formally recognized both Israel and Palestine during the dialogue.

    • Ukraine-Russia tensions, global impactsUkraine's invitation of Israel and Palestine to a peace summit and potential Russian-Chinese oil pipeline dispute add to the geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with potential economic implications for Europe and the global economy, particularly regarding Ukraine's Black Sea ports and military industrial complex.

      The ongoing geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, as well as other global powers, continue to impact various regions and economies. Recently, Ukraine invited Israel and Palestine to a peace summit in Switzerland, marking a surprising intervention from President Zelensky in support of Palestine. Meanwhile, in Europe, the D-Day 80th anniversary commemorations are taking place, with leaders including President Biden and President Zelensky expected to attend. Elsewhere, there have been signs of a dispute between Moscow and Beijing over an oil pipeline project, which could have significant economic implications. In her essay for The Telegraph, Lillian Biddings explores the potential consequences of a Russian takeover of Ukraine on the Ukrainian economy and the global economy, highlighting the importance of key assets such as the Black Sea ports and Ukraine's military industrial complex. These developments underscore the complex and evolving nature of international relations and the potential ripple effects on various economies and industries.

    • Ukraine economy under Russian occupationA Russian takeover of Ukraine would result in seized Western assets, disregard for property rights, labor shortages, and significant economic disruptions, causing a grim future for the country and its people.

      The potential Russian takeover of Ukraine would have devastating consequences for the country's economy and people. Ukraine's economy is resilient but struggling, with surviving industries mainly export-oriented. However, labor shortages due to mobilization and hidden employment are causing significant problems. The country possesses vast resources and human capital, but under Russian occupation, Western assets would be seized, and respect for property rights would be a joke. The situation is precarious, with the metro in Kiev as just one example of the widespread labor shortages and resulting disruptions. Overall, a Russian takeover would mean a grim future for Ukraine's economy and its people.

    • Ukraine labor shortagesThe ongoing war in Ukraine is causing significant labor shortages and economic instability, particularly in industries like publishing, leading to rising wages and difficulty finding replacements for skilled workers. Russia's attacks on infrastructure, such as the largest printing press, are making the situation worse.

      The ongoing war in Ukraine is causing significant labor shortages and economic instability, particularly in industries like publishing. With a 27% contraction in the available labor force, the government is struggling to mobilize men for the war effort, leading to a shortage of skilled workers. This is having a ripple effect throughout the economy, causing wages to rise as companies compete for a smaller pool of workers. The longer the war continues, the more people will leave the country, taking their expertise with them, making it difficult and time-consuming to find replacements. The recent attack on Ukraine's largest printing press is a clear example of Russia's intent to destroy the nation's cultural and economic infrastructure, further exacerbating the labor shortages and economic instability in the country.

    • Ukraine conflict consequencesRussia's takeover of Ukraine could result in gaining control of Ukraine's military industrial complex and access to significant external financing, with potential serious ramifications for NATO and the West.

      Potential consequences if Russia were to take over Ukraine in its entirety. The destruction of Harkiv's factory drug printing house serves as a stark reminder of the devastating impact such an event could have. Ukraine is home to a significant military industrial complex, with impressive innovations such as drones, howitzers, and naval drones. If Russia were to gain control, it would possess not only the physical weapons but also the technology, plans, and intelligence behind them. This could have serious ramifications for NATO and the West. Additionally, Ukraine requires significant external financing to keep the country functioning, with an estimated $37 billion needed for 2024. The potential seizure of Russia's central bank assets could provide a substantial solution to Ukraine's budget needs. Overall, the discussion highlights the potential risks and costs associated with the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

    • Ukraine's economic challengesThe ongoing conflict in Ukraine has caused economic instability, a brain drain of specialists, and hindered reconstruction efforts. Attracting specialists back and addressing the debate over seized Russian assets are crucial for Ukraine's future development.

      The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has resulted in significant economic and human costs, including a brain drain of specialists and a lack of project managers. This is hindering the country's reconstruction efforts and making it more vulnerable to corruption. Attracting these specialists back will be crucial for Ukraine's future development. Another major issue is the debate over seizing Russian assets to fund reconstruction. While some argue it's a necessary punishment for Russia's violation of international norms, others fear the precedent it could set and the potential backlash from other countries. Despite the urgency of the situation, there has been little progress on this issue due to the fear of repercussions. Ukraine's current GDP growth of 3.2% is a step in the right direction, but the overall economic and financial situation remains challenging.

    • Ukraine's economic growthUkraine's economy is growing due to resurgence in exports, international financing, and duty-free trade with EU. Stability of banks and military resources are crucial for further progress.

      Ukraine's economy is experiencing growth due in part to a resurgence in exports, which have nearly reached pre-war levels. International financing and duty-free exports to the European Union have played a significant role in helping companies get their products out, as the domestic market has collapsed. The stability of banks, which hold most of the external financing, is also contributing to the growth. However, every industry in Ukraine is facing challenges when looked at closely. Francis Durney emphasizes the importance of giving Ukraine the resources it needs to win the war, rather than just focusing on reconstruction. Lillian Rahn also emphasizes the importance of military resources for Ukraine to win the war against Russia. Listeners can stay updated on Ukraine news by signing up for the Telegraph's Ukraine newsletter or following the live blog on the website. The podcast is available on Twitter Spaces every weekday at 1pm London time and can be followed on various podcast apps.

    • Global reach of podcastingPodcasting is a global medium with diverse perspectives and talents from around the world, expanding opportunities for underrepresented voices

      The latest podcast production, "Ukraine," comes from Rachel Porter and the team at David Knowles and Louisa Wells. This information is significant because it highlights the global reach of podcast production and the diverse perspectives that come with it. The fact that this particular podcast was produced by individuals in specific locations around the world adds depth and authenticity to the content being shared. It's a reminder that podcasting is a global medium, and there are talented producers and storytellers all over the world bringing unique perspectives to listeners. So, whether you're in Ukraine or anywhere else, there's a podcast out there for you. And with the continued growth of the medium, the opportunities for diverse voices to be heard are only expanding.

    Recent Episodes from Ukraine: The Latest

    Ukraine reinforces Chasiv Yar amid fierce fighting & rage, love and memory with Ukrainian author Oleksandr Mykhed

    Ukraine reinforces Chasiv Yar amid fierce fighting & rage, love and memory with Ukrainian author Oleksandr Mykhed

    Day 850.

    Today, we bring you updates from the front lines, discuss Ukraine’s ongoing bid for NATO membership and we interview Ukrainian writer and soldier Oleksandr Mykhed.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles on X

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    With thanks to Ukrainian author Oleksandr Mykhed. @mykhed_o on X.

    https://www.penguin.co.uk/authors/303637/oleksandr-mykhed


    Upcoming events:

    Chalke Valley History Festival: 

    https://www.chalkefestival.com/


    Scarborough Fair 29th 

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/


    Article Referenced:


    Exclusive Olena Zelenska interview (The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/20/olena-zelenska-ukraine-hope-burnout-family/


    Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jY2UD11kbmE



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 21, 2024

    US to redirect key Patriot air defence orders to Ukraine & analysing Russian diplomacy in Vietnam and South Korea

    US to redirect key Patriot air defence orders to Ukraine & analysing Russian diplomacy in Vietnam and South Korea

    Day 848.

    Today, we bring you the news from Ukraine, analyse Vladimir Putin’s diplomacy in Vietnam and North Korea, and we speak to Ukrainian teenagers in Warsaw on studying abroad and adapting into Polish society more than two years since the start of the war.



    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles on X

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent). @RolandOliphant on X.

    Gabriella Jozwiak (Freelance Journalist). @GabriellaJ on X.



    Upcoming events:


    Chalke Valley History Festival: 

    https://www.chalkefestival.com/


    Scarborough Fair 29th 

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/


    ==


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 20, 2024

    Russia accused of beheading Ukrainian soldiers & Kim Jong Un signs ‘groundbreaking’ security pact with Vladimir Putin

    Russia accused of beheading Ukrainian soldiers & Kim Jong Un signs ‘groundbreaking’ security pact with Vladimir Putin

    Day 848.

    Today, we bring you the news from Ukraine, continue analysing Putin’s state visit to North Korea, and talk to Security Analyst Jimmy Rushton in Kyiv on the situation on the front line and Ukrainian strategy for the year ahead. 


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles on X

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Jimmy Rushton (Security Analyst). @JimmySecUK on X.


    You can read Jimmy's Substack here:

    https://jamesrushton.substack.com/


    Articles Referenced:


    The haunting pictures of emaciated Ukrainian prisoners of war (The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/18/haunting-pictures-emaciated-ukrainian-prisoners-of-war/


    ‘This country gave me a lot’: the Vietnamese people staying in Ukraine (The Guardian):

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/18/this-country-gave-me-a-lot-the-vietnamese-people-staying-in-ukraine


    Niall Ferguson: 'We’re All Soviets Now' (The Free Press)

    https://www.thefp.com/p/were-all-soviets-now


    To hear Francis on The Daily T, listen here:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/podcasts/


    Upcoming events:


    Chalke Valley History Festival: 

    https://www.chalkefestival.com/


    Scarborough Fair 29th 

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/


    ==


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 19, 2024

    Ukraine pushes Russia back in Kharkiv & Vladimir Putin meets Kim Jong Un in North Korea

    Ukraine pushes Russia back in Kharkiv & Vladimir Putin meets Kim Jong Un in North Korea

    Day 847.

    Today, we bring you the latest updates from across Ukraine, analyse Putin’s visit to North Korea, and go to Germany to hear about the tricky start Ukraine have had at the European football championships  


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles on X

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Andrew Todos from Zorya Londonsk, Ukrainian football expert. @zoryalondonsk on Twitter.


    To hear Francis on The Daily T, listen here:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/podcasts/


    Ukrainian Football video:

    https://x.com/uafukraine/status/1801319839153459390


    Telegraph report on Romania 3:0 Ukraine

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2024/06/17/romania-vs-ukraine-live-score-updates-euro-2024/#:~:text=Full%20time%3A%20Romania%203%20Ukraine,Euros%20win%20from%2017%20matches.


    Upcoming Events:


    Chalke Valley History Festival: 

    https://www.chalkefestival.com/


    Scarborough Fair (29th June): 

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 18, 2024

    New US weapons narrowing gap in Ukraine & exclusive interview with Nato's Jens Stoltenberg

    New US weapons narrowing gap in Ukraine & exclusive interview with Nato's Jens Stoltenberg

    Day 846.

    Today, we discuss the latest news from across Ukraine, summarise last weekend's peace weekend in Switzerland, and Joe Barnes interviews NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles on X

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondant). @Barnes_Joe on X.



    Hear 'Ukraine: The Latest' Live at the Chalke Valley History Festival:

    Tickets are available for our two talks on Thursday 27th June.

    https://programme.chalkefestival.com/talks-and-addons?date=2024-06-27


    Hear 'Ukraine: The Latest' live from Scarborough

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 17, 2024

    Putin promises ‘immediate’ ceasefire if Ukraine drops Nato bid & G7 agrees $50 billion loan to Kyiv

    Putin promises ‘immediate’ ceasefire if Ukraine drops Nato bid & G7 agrees $50 billion loan to Kyiv

    Day 835.

    Today, we bring you the latest military updates from Ukraine, discuss Vladimir Putin’s ceasefire proposals and analyse the latest $50 billion loan to Ukraine agreed by the G7.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles on X

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.


    Hear 'Ukraine: The Latest' Live at the Chalke Valley History Festival:

    Tickets are available for our two talks on Thursday 27th June.

    https://programme.chalkefestival.com/talks-and-addons?date=2024-06-27


    Hear 'Ukraine: The Latest' live from Scarborough

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 14, 2024

    Russian economy battered by new sanctions & how Putin's forces ‘deliberately starved’ Ukrainian civilians in Mariupol

    Russian economy battered by new sanctions & how Putin's forces ‘deliberately starved’ Ukrainian civilians in Mariupol


    Day 834.

    Today, we bring you the latest military updates from the front lines and discuss a recent report that alleges Russia deliberately starved civilians during the siege of Mariupol.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @DJKnowles on X

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Hamish De Bretton Gordon (Former NATO Tank Commander). @HamishDBG on X.

    Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Reporter). @RolandOliphant on Twitter

    Catriona Murdoch (Senior legal consultant at Global Rights Compliance). @CatrionaMurdoc1 on X.



    Articles Referenced:


    Hamish’s article: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/06/12/kyivs-wonder-weapons-are-decimating-the-russian-army/ 


    Roland’s article: 

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/13/russia-bombed-food-sites-to-starve-mariupol-citizens/ 


    Chalke Valley History Festival: 

    https://www.chalkefestival.com/



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk


    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 13, 2024

    US sends rare $1bn air defence system to Ukraine & Putin 'missed the boat' to defeat Kyiv

    US sends rare $1bn air defence system to Ukraine & Putin 'missed the boat' to defeat Kyiv


    Day 833.

    Today, today – further the news from the front lines – we discuss news of cutting edge air defence systems being sent to Kyiv, assess the current strategic picture on the ground, and analyse the threat of blackouts as Moscow increases its bombardments on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure..


    Contributors:

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Liliane Bivings (Business Editor, Kyiv Independent). @LilianeBivings on X.


    Articles Referenced:


    'Putin has missed his chance to crush Ukraine' (Francis Dearnley in The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/06/11/putin-has-missed-his-chance-to-crush-ukraine/


    'Worst-case scenario in Ukraine’s energy system ‘very close to realistic,’ largest private energy company says' (Liliane Bivings in The Kyiv Independent)

    https://kyivindependent.com/worst-case-scenario-in-ukraines-energy-system-very-close-to-realistic-largest-energy-company-says/


    'Russia lists abducted Ukrainian children on adoption sites' (Financial Times)

    https://www.ft.com/content/2d0013d2-a407-449f-b1e2-3d14fe65188f



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk


    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 12, 2024

    Scholz promises Zelensky "no dictated peace" as US arms Ukraine's most controversial battalion

    Scholz promises Zelensky "no dictated peace" as US arms Ukraine's most controversial battalion

    Day 832.

    Today, we bring you the latest military updates from the front lines, discuss the Ukraine Recovery Conference ongoing in Berlin, and reflect on last week's commemorations for D-Day 80 in Normandy.



    Contributors:

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.


    Articles Referenced:


    Ukraine Focus (which Francis was a guest of):

    To learn more about their work delivering ambulances to Ukraine, visit:

    https://ukrainefocus.org/ 



    'What if Putin Wins?' Essay Series:

    For seven days The Telegraph ran a series of exclusive essays from prominent international commentators imagining the consequences if Russia were successful in its war.


    'The West may not survive a Putin victory' (Francis Dearnley)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/06/04/west-may-not-survive-putin-victory/


    'China will take the mantle of world superpower from the US' (Matthew Henderson)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/06/03/china-biggest-beneficiary-russian-victory/


    'With Ukraine’s resources, Putin would be unstoppable' (Liliane Bivings)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/06/02/with-ukraines-resources-putin-would-be-invincible/


    'Putin's next conquests are already in his sights' (Dr Ivana Stradner)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/06/01/putins-next-conquests-are-already-in-his-sights/


    'Europe's fascist future awaits' (Dr Thomas Clausen)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/05/30/europes-fascist-future-awaits-if-putin-wins-in-ukraine/


    'Putin’s plot to destroy Nato is reaching its devastating climax' (Aliona Hlivco)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/05/29/putin-plot-to-destroy-nato-reaching-its-climax/


    'If Putin wins, expect the worst genocide since the Holocaust' (Karolina Hird)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/05/31/europe-see-the-worst-genocide-since-holocaust/



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 11, 2024

    Ukraine strikes Russia’s most advanced stealth fighter jet for first time & Ukraine's victory strategy

    Ukraine strikes Russia’s most advanced stealth fighter jet for first time & Ukraine's victory strategy

    Day 831.

    Today, we bring you the latest military updates from the front lines, discuss the results and implications of the european elections, we speak to analyst Mykola Bielieskov on the lack of public discussion about Ukraine’s future strategy and what that might look like, and we hear from Foreign Correspondent Ben Farmer on Friday about his reports from the east of Ukraine.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Head of Audio Development). @djknowles22 on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondent). @Barnes_Joe on X.

    With thanks to Mykola Bielieskov (Research Fellow at National Institute for Strategic Studies under UA President & Senior Analyst at Come Back Alive Foundation) @MBielieskov in Z. And Ben Farmer (Foreign Correspondent). @benfarmerDT on X.


    Articles Referenced:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/10/european-elections-what-happens-now-macron-le-pen/


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/07/france-to-send-mirage-jets-to-ukraine-but-are-they-worth-it/


    https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/05/29/what-is-ukraines-victory-strategy-we-need-to-discuss-it-now/?w345


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJune 10, 2024