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    Ukraine ‘fires Himars into Russia for first time’ & the precarious future of the Ukrainian economy

    enJune 03, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Ukrainian-Russian conflictUkrainian forces are using US-supplied weapons in ongoing military conflicts near Vovchinsk, resulting in heavy Russian casualties, while the overall situation remains complex and uncertain with conflicting reports

      There are ongoing military conflicts near the Ukrainian city of Vovchinsk, where Ukrainian forces are holding off Russian advances. The use of US-supplied weapons by Ukraine inside Russian territory is a topic of controversy, with conflicting reports of such incidents. Ukrainian forces reportedly suffered heavy losses, with up to 1,270 Russian casualties in the last 24 hours, according to Ukraine's military. The Donbass region continues to see intense fighting, with Russia claiming to have captured a village and advanced in all directions. The overall situation remains complex and uncertain, with conflicting reports and information from various sources.

    • Ukraine conflictRussian aggression continues in Ukraine, international support for Ukraine persists, and China is accused of working with Russia to disrupt peace efforts.

      The situation in Ukraine remains tense, with ongoing military activity and international involvement. In the village of Umanskaya, there is ongoing conflict, specifically Russian attempts to push northwest. Meanwhile, international support for Ukraine continues, with Greece sending the first F-16 fighter jet instructor to train Ukrainian pilots. Additionally, over one million military-aged Ukrainian men have registered for potential conscription since a new mobilization law was enacted. At the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, President Zelensky accused China of working with Russia to disrupt a planned peace summit in Switzerland, an allegation China denied. The Shangri-La Dialogue, which focused on regional issues, saw widespread applause for US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin's statement that NATO expansion did not cause the Ukraine crisis. President Zelensky also formally recognized both Israel and Palestine during the dialogue.

    • Ukraine-Russia tensions, global impactsUkraine's invitation of Israel and Palestine to a peace summit and potential Russian-Chinese oil pipeline dispute add to the geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with potential economic implications for Europe and the global economy, particularly regarding Ukraine's Black Sea ports and military industrial complex.

      The ongoing geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, as well as other global powers, continue to impact various regions and economies. Recently, Ukraine invited Israel and Palestine to a peace summit in Switzerland, marking a surprising intervention from President Zelensky in support of Palestine. Meanwhile, in Europe, the D-Day 80th anniversary commemorations are taking place, with leaders including President Biden and President Zelensky expected to attend. Elsewhere, there have been signs of a dispute between Moscow and Beijing over an oil pipeline project, which could have significant economic implications. In her essay for The Telegraph, Lillian Biddings explores the potential consequences of a Russian takeover of Ukraine on the Ukrainian economy and the global economy, highlighting the importance of key assets such as the Black Sea ports and Ukraine's military industrial complex. These developments underscore the complex and evolving nature of international relations and the potential ripple effects on various economies and industries.

    • Ukraine economy under Russian occupationA Russian takeover of Ukraine would result in seized Western assets, disregard for property rights, labor shortages, and significant economic disruptions, causing a grim future for the country and its people.

      The potential Russian takeover of Ukraine would have devastating consequences for the country's economy and people. Ukraine's economy is resilient but struggling, with surviving industries mainly export-oriented. However, labor shortages due to mobilization and hidden employment are causing significant problems. The country possesses vast resources and human capital, but under Russian occupation, Western assets would be seized, and respect for property rights would be a joke. The situation is precarious, with the metro in Kiev as just one example of the widespread labor shortages and resulting disruptions. Overall, a Russian takeover would mean a grim future for Ukraine's economy and its people.

    • Ukraine labor shortagesThe ongoing war in Ukraine is causing significant labor shortages and economic instability, particularly in industries like publishing, leading to rising wages and difficulty finding replacements for skilled workers. Russia's attacks on infrastructure, such as the largest printing press, are making the situation worse.

      The ongoing war in Ukraine is causing significant labor shortages and economic instability, particularly in industries like publishing. With a 27% contraction in the available labor force, the government is struggling to mobilize men for the war effort, leading to a shortage of skilled workers. This is having a ripple effect throughout the economy, causing wages to rise as companies compete for a smaller pool of workers. The longer the war continues, the more people will leave the country, taking their expertise with them, making it difficult and time-consuming to find replacements. The recent attack on Ukraine's largest printing press is a clear example of Russia's intent to destroy the nation's cultural and economic infrastructure, further exacerbating the labor shortages and economic instability in the country.

    • Ukraine conflict consequencesRussia's takeover of Ukraine could result in gaining control of Ukraine's military industrial complex and access to significant external financing, with potential serious ramifications for NATO and the West.

      Potential consequences if Russia were to take over Ukraine in its entirety. The destruction of Harkiv's factory drug printing house serves as a stark reminder of the devastating impact such an event could have. Ukraine is home to a significant military industrial complex, with impressive innovations such as drones, howitzers, and naval drones. If Russia were to gain control, it would possess not only the physical weapons but also the technology, plans, and intelligence behind them. This could have serious ramifications for NATO and the West. Additionally, Ukraine requires significant external financing to keep the country functioning, with an estimated $37 billion needed for 2024. The potential seizure of Russia's central bank assets could provide a substantial solution to Ukraine's budget needs. Overall, the discussion highlights the potential risks and costs associated with the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

    • Ukraine's economic challengesThe ongoing conflict in Ukraine has caused economic instability, a brain drain of specialists, and hindered reconstruction efforts. Attracting specialists back and addressing the debate over seized Russian assets are crucial for Ukraine's future development.

      The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has resulted in significant economic and human costs, including a brain drain of specialists and a lack of project managers. This is hindering the country's reconstruction efforts and making it more vulnerable to corruption. Attracting these specialists back will be crucial for Ukraine's future development. Another major issue is the debate over seizing Russian assets to fund reconstruction. While some argue it's a necessary punishment for Russia's violation of international norms, others fear the precedent it could set and the potential backlash from other countries. Despite the urgency of the situation, there has been little progress on this issue due to the fear of repercussions. Ukraine's current GDP growth of 3.2% is a step in the right direction, but the overall economic and financial situation remains challenging.

    • Ukraine's economic growthUkraine's economy is growing due to resurgence in exports, international financing, and duty-free trade with EU. Stability of banks and military resources are crucial for further progress.

      Ukraine's economy is experiencing growth due in part to a resurgence in exports, which have nearly reached pre-war levels. International financing and duty-free exports to the European Union have played a significant role in helping companies get their products out, as the domestic market has collapsed. The stability of banks, which hold most of the external financing, is also contributing to the growth. However, every industry in Ukraine is facing challenges when looked at closely. Francis Durney emphasizes the importance of giving Ukraine the resources it needs to win the war, rather than just focusing on reconstruction. Lillian Rahn also emphasizes the importance of military resources for Ukraine to win the war against Russia. Listeners can stay updated on Ukraine news by signing up for the Telegraph's Ukraine newsletter or following the live blog on the website. The podcast is available on Twitter Spaces every weekday at 1pm London time and can be followed on various podcast apps.

    • Global reach of podcastingPodcasting is a global medium with diverse perspectives and talents from around the world, expanding opportunities for underrepresented voices

      The latest podcast production, "Ukraine," comes from Rachel Porter and the team at David Knowles and Louisa Wells. This information is significant because it highlights the global reach of podcast production and the diverse perspectives that come with it. The fact that this particular podcast was produced by individuals in specific locations around the world adds depth and authenticity to the content being shared. It's a reminder that podcasting is a global medium, and there are talented producers and storytellers all over the world bringing unique perspectives to listeners. So, whether you're in Ukraine or anywhere else, there's a podcast out there for you. And with the continued growth of the medium, the opportunities for diverse voices to be heard are only expanding.

    Recent Episodes from Ukraine: The Latest

    Russia attempts encirclement in Donetsk & Ukraine ‘ready for talks with Russia if in good faith’

    Russia attempts encirclement in Donetsk & Ukraine ‘ready for talks with Russia if in good faith’

    Day 883.

    Today, we bring you updates from Ukraine where Russia is pushing forward in Donbas, we analyse the latest news from China where Ukraine’s Foreign Minister has said Ukraine is ready for talks with Russia if Moscow is prepared to negotiate in good faith and we speak to Mathieu Boulegue on his co-authored new research for Chatham house into the state of the Russian military.



    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Journalist). @djknowles22 on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Mathieu Boulegue. @MatBoulegue on X.


    Articles Referenced & Show Notes:


    Free Telegraph Subscription for Students:


    Enjoy free access to The Telegraph with your university student email address:


    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/studentsub 


    Army ‘not as strong as it could be’, says Armed Forces chief (The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/23/british-army-is-not-as-strong-as-it-could-be-says-armed-for/


    Britain must be ready for war in three years, says Army chief (The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/23/britain-ready-war-three-years-army-chief-warns/


    Chatham House paper: https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/07/assessing-russian-plans-military-regenerations/about-authors



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 24, 2024

    Ukraine offers lessons for 21st century warfare, says former army chief Zaluzhny & Kamala Harris's views on Ukraine in spotlight

    Ukraine offers lessons for 21st century warfare, says former army chief Zaluzhny  & Kamala Harris's views on Ukraine in spotlight

    Day 882.

    Today, we bring you the latest news from Ukraine, discuss Valery Zaluzhny’s first remarks as Ukraine’s ambassador to the United Kingdom and we speak to author and researcher  Hana Josticova on her work documenting the experiences of the people of Mariupol before the full-scale invasion.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Journalist). @djknowles22 on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent). @RolandOliphant on X.

    Hana Josticova (Author, Researcher and Academic at Glasgow University's Central & East European Studies Department. @HankJostic on X.


    Articles Referenced:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/22/west-third-world-war-world-improves-weapons-ukraine-general/

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/20/our-existence-depends-on-us-election-result-ukrainian-mp/

    https://aviationweek.com/shownews/gascc-riat/ukraine-achieving-low-cost-kills-against-russias-attack-drones

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/22/west-third-world-war-world-improves-weapons-ukraine-general/ 


    Hana's website: https://hanajosticova.com/

    Hana's book: https://ceupress.com/book/mariupol-2013-2022


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 23, 2024

    Russia advances in Donbas, Ukraine hits another oil refinery & hunting spies in Germany

    Russia advances in Donbas, Ukraine hits another oil refinery & hunting spies in Germany

    Day 881.

    Today, we bring you the latest news from Ukraine as Russian forces advance on Pokrovsk, we analyse what Biden’s decision to drop out of the presidential race may mean for US foreign policy on Ukraine and we look into spy-hunting in Germany.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Journalist). @djknowles22 on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent). @RolandOliphant on X.

    James Rothwell (Berlin Correspondent). @JamesERothwell on X.


    Articles Referenced:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/20/cultural-asset-or-spy-hub-inside-the-russian-centre-germany/


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/07/19/defence-secretary-suggests-ukraine-can-use-storm-shadow-mis/


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 22, 2024

    Return to Bucha: how a community rebuilds after a massacre

    Return to Bucha: how a community rebuilds after a massacre

    This episode is available now to Telegraph subscribers and will be available to everyone on the 17th July.


    In the first of The Telegraph's special podcasts on the war in Ukraine. Presenter David Knowles and Producer Adélie Pojzman-Pontay travel to Bucha and Hostomel, north of Kyiv, to hear the stories of citizens who survived Russia's brutal occupation in Spring 2022. 


    In Hostomel they meet Roman, a young Ukrainian man who fled his new apartment as Russian forces advanced. When he returned after the liberation he discovered the disgusting ways the occupying troops had treated his home.


    Then, they travel to Bucha to see an old friend, Ihor Savchenko. Two years on from the occupation of Bucha, Ihor is helping his community piece their lives back together even though the war threatens to engulf him once again. 


    We first met Ihor's daughter Katya in 2022 - listen to that episode here: https://shows.acast.com/ukraine-the-latest/episodes/658301371b4a0600176a40ee



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest


    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk




    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 20, 2024

    UK signals go-ahead for Storm Shadows strikes inside Russia & Trump ‘to call Zelensky’

    UK signals go-ahead for Storm Shadows strikes inside Russia & Trump ‘to call Zelensky’

    Day 878.

    Today, off the back of the Blenheim summit we assess the breaking news that Britain has granted the use of Storm Shadows on Russian soil. Plus, we consider a new report as to why the Ukrainian counter-offensive failed, and the significance of a British soldier fighting for Moscow.


    Contributors:

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Aliona Hlivco (Political Scientist. Managing Director at Henry Jackson Society). @aliona_hlivco on X.

    Daniel Hardaker (Freelance Journalist). @danielhardaker4 on X.

    Hamish De Bretton-Gordon (Former British Army Tank Commander). @HamishDBG on X


    Articles Referenced:


    War with China is closer than we think (Aliona Hlivco in The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/19/war-with-china-is-closer-than-we-think/


    Putin is leading Russia into a demographic catastrophe (Francis Dearnley in The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/15/putin-is-leading-russia-into-a-demographic-catastrophe


    Preliminary Lessons from Ukraine’s Offensive Operations, 2022–23 (RUSI)

    https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/special-resources/preliminary-lessons-ukraines-offensive-operations-2022-23


    From the front line of the battle to save Kharkiv (Svitlana Morenets in The Spectator)

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/from-the-front-line-of-the-battle-to-save-kharkiv/


    Russia’s vast stocks of Soviet-era weaponry are running out (The Economist)

    https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/07/16/russias-vast-stocks-of-soviet-era-weaponry-are-running-out


    Englishman fighting in Ukraine says Kremlin recruiting English speakers (Daniel Hardaker in The Telegraph

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/14/ben-stimson-english-speakers-in-russian-army-ukraine/


    Ursula Von der Leyen wins second term as EC president with European ‘air shield’ pledge (The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/18/ursula-von-der-leyen-wins-second-term-ec-president/



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 19, 2024

    Don’t let Putin blackmail you, Zelensky warns allies & Ukraine launches major attack on Russian Black Sea bases

    Don’t let Putin blackmail you, Zelensky warns allies & Ukraine launches major attack on Russian Black Sea bases

    Day 877.

    Today, we look at the fighting around Krnky on the left bank of the Dnipro river, we’re live at Blenheim Palace in Oxfordshire where Volodymyr Zelensky is meeting European leaders and we discuss Russian so-called ‘meat assaults’


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Journalist). @djknowles22 on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Iona Cleave (Foreign Breaking News Reporter). @iona_cleave on X.

    Verity Bowman (Foreign Reporter). @VerityBowman on X.

    Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondent). Barnes_Joe on X.



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 18, 2024

    Putin fortifies palace against increased Ukrainian drone threat & Boris Johnson urges Trump to stand by Ukraine

    Putin fortifies palace against increased Ukrainian drone threat & Boris Johnson urges Trump to stand by Ukraine

    Day 876.

    Today, we bring you the latest news from Ukraine, hear about life in Kyiv through Ukraine’s record breaking heatwave and look at the latest diplomatic news from Europe and the US.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Journalist). @djknowles22 on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.


    Articles Referenced:


    Boris Johnson urges Trump to stand by Ukraine (The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/16/boris-johnson-urges-trump-back-ukraine-meeting/


    Putin is leading Russia into a demographic catastrophe (Francis Dearnley in The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/15/putin-is-leading-russia-into-a-demographic-catastrophe/


    Thread by Famian Hoffman of the University of Oslo:

    https://x.com/FRHoffmann1/status/1813198919683436604


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 17, 2024

    Zelensky pleads for more F-16s and Patriots & what does JD Vance believe about Ukraine?

    Zelensky pleads for more F-16s and Patriots & what does JD Vance believe about Ukraine?

    Day 875.

    Today, we bring you the latest news from Ukraine, discuss Trump’s nominee for Vice President, controversial Ohio senator JD Vance and we look at how the EU is reacting to the maverick diplomacy of Hungary’s Victor Orban. 



    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Journalist). @djknowles22 on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Cara McGoogan (Narrative Audio Journalist).@cjmcgoogan on X.

    Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondent). @Barnes_Joe on X.



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 16, 2024

    Heatwave smothers Ukraine as heavy fighting continues in Donbas & investigating sexual crimes by Russian troops

    Heatwave smothers Ukraine as heavy fighting continues in Donbas & investigating sexual crimes by Russian troops

    Day 874.

    Today, we analyse the heavy fighting around Toretsk and New York as Russian forces push forward, bring you political and diplomatic updates from around the world and we speak to War Crimes Reporter Olesia Bida from the Kyiv Indepednent about her documentary ‘He came Back.’


    Just a note from us that this episode contains discussion of extreme sexual violence and cruelty.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Journalist). @djknowles22 on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    With thanks to Olesia Bida (War Crimes Investigations Unit and Ukrainian journalist @KyivIndependent; author of documentary 'He Came Back'). @OlesyaBida on X. He Came Back: https://kyivindependent.com/he-came-back/


    Articles referenced:

    Journalists identify 2 Russian soldiers who committed sexual violence during occupation: https://kyivindependent.com/the-kyiv-independent-identified-russian-soldiers-who-raped-women-during-occupation/


    Ukrainian women shared their accounts of rape by Russian forces. We found their assailants: https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-women-share-their-accounts-of-rape-by-russian-forces-as-reporters-investigate-their-assailants/


    Trump’s shooting will transform this election - just not in the way you think (Frank Luntz in The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/15/trumps-shooting-will-transform-this-election/


    44% of Ukrainians believe that the time for negotiations has come, but the majority do not agree to Putin's conditions (Ukrainian Pravda)

    https://www.pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2024/07/15/7465706/



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 15, 2024

    Shock as Biden calls Zelensky "President Putin" at NATO summit & exclusive interview with Ukraine's First Lady, Olena Zelenska

    Shock as Biden calls Zelensky "President Putin" at NATO summit & exclusive interview with Ukraine's First Lady, Olena Zelenska

    Day 871.

    Today, we report from a historic and potentially presidency-ending NATO summit, bring you the latest news from Ukraine and Defence editor Danielle Sheridan has an exclusive interview with First Lady of Ukraine, Olena Zelenska.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Journalist). @djknowles22 on X.

    Dom Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.

    Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondent). @Barnes_Joe on X.

    James Rothwell (Berlin Correspondent). @JamesERothwell on X.

    With thanks to Danielle Sheridan (Defence Editor). @SheridanDani on X.


    Articles referenced:

    'Biden’s gaffe has ruined months of our hard work, say European officials' (The Telegraph):

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/12/joe-biden-gaffe-europe-nato-putin-zelensky-trump/


    'Being Volodymyr Zelenskiy: How war has changed Ukraine's leader' (Reuters):

    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/being-volodymyr-zelenskiy-how-war-has-changed-ukraines-leader-2024-07-12/


    'A Better Path for Ukraine and NATO: What Kyiv Could Do Now for a Place in the Alliance' (Foreign Affairs):

    https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/better-path-ukraine-and-nato


    UK hasn’t allowed Ukraine to use Storm Shadow missiles inside Russia, MoD clarifies (The Telegraph)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/11/starmer-ukraine-british-storm-shadow-missiles-russia/


    Reflections by Michael Kofman:

    https://x.com/KofmanMichael/status/1811079176822435851


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Ukraine: The Latest
    enJuly 12, 2024