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    What’s at stake for the climate if Trump wins?

    enOctober 24, 2024
    1
    Guardian

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    As the US approaches a critical election, the implications of a potential Donald Trump victory for climate change are dire. In this engaging episode featuring climate activist Bill McKibben, listeners gain insight into the significant stakes involved, the urgency of the climate crisis, and what each candidate's policies might mean for the future of our planet.

    The Timing of the Election is Crucial

    • Critical Climate Period: This election is touted as the most crucial climate election in history, as urgent action against climate change is needed. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warns that emissions must be halved by 2030 to avert catastrophic climate events.
    • Historical Context: McKibben highlights that he has been warning about climate change since 1989, noting a shift from forecasts to real-time alerts about climate impacts.

    Trump's Climate Skepticism

    • Climate Denial: Trump's approach to climate issues is characterized as denial. McKibben refers to his views as remarkably ignorant, exemplified by Trump's nonsensical comments about rising sea levels.
    • Policy History: During his presidency, Trump pulled the US out of the Paris Climate Accords, a move that McKibben claims was one of the most stunning abdications of responsibility in history.

    The Implications of a Trump Victory

    1. Repeal of Climate Policies: Trump’s potential return to office could mean a reversal of progress made under the Biden administration, which has seen significant investments in clean energy.

      • Project 2025: This 900-page policy proposal from a right-wing think tank aims to roll back current environmental protections and policies.
      • Fossil Fuel Industry Support: Trump’s connections with the fossil fuel industry suggest he would prioritize their interests over climate action.
    2. Increase in Emissions: McKibben cites an analysis from Carbon Brief that estimates a Trump victory could mean an additional 4 billion tons of CO2 emissions over four years.

      • Comparative Impact: This figure is comparable to the annual emissions of the EU and Japan combined, underscoring the gravity of the situation.

    The Current Administration's Efforts

    • Biden's Initiatives: While McKibben acknowledges that no action so far has been enough, he credits the Biden administration with making significant strides in tackling climate change, specifically through financial investments in clean energy.
    • The Inflation Reduction Act: This legislation was pivotal in allowing substantial funding to facilitate the transition to sustainable energy.

    Comparison to Harris' Plans

    • Continuity of Efforts: It is assumed that Kamala Harris would continue Biden's policies, although the need for faster action remains. The current administration is making progress, but McKibben stresses that it is not enough given the urgency of the climate crisis.
    • Campaign Tactics: The Biden-Harris campaign is cautiously addressing climate issues, particularly in swing states where undecided voters may sway the election.

    Grassroots Efforts and Public Sentiment

    • Mobilization for Change: McKibben shares insights into grassroots efforts like the Silver Wave tour, which aims to mobilize older voters who are passionate about climate and democratic action. Volunteers are actively engaging in swing states to reach undecided voters.
    • Personal Reflections: Amidst the anxiety about the tight election race, McKibben expresses hope that grassroots movements can effectively support pro-climate candidates.

    Conclusion

    As the election date approaches, the stakes for the climate continue to rise. A Trump presidency could set back progress on climate action and exacerbate the current crisis significantly. Engaged citizens and climate activists like Bill McKibben emphasize the importance of mobilization and voting as crucial actions to protect the planet's future. The episode serves as a potent reminder of what is at stake in the upcoming election and the larger imperative for climate action in the U.S. and worldwide.

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