The Feel-Good Knicks, Award Movies, Week 18 Picks, and a Boston Sports Report With Sean Fennessey, Joe House, and Bill’s Dad

Hey, Happy New Year. I got a good pod for you. We're talking basketball and football and movies and New York sports and Boston sports. It's a New Year's buffet. It's next. We're also brought to you by the Ringer podcast network. I put up a new rewatchables on Monday night. We did Friday night lights, the movie, me and Mallory Ruben. We did it as a video podcast on Spotify, but you can listen to it anywhere. You can also watch it on YouTube on the Ringer movies, YouTube channel. You can watch all the clips and videos from this podcast.

On the Bill Simmons YouTube channel, you can watch Sal and I do our Sunday podcast live right after Vikings Lions on Sunday night on that YouTube channel. Don't forget about Fandall Sportsbook as well. We're doing 30 on 30 every Friday, trying to figure out who the 30 point scorers are going to be. They put odds and off it. I tweet out my favorite picks.

on Friday, so stay tuned for that as well. Coming up on this podcast, I'm going to talk to Sean Fennacy about the end of the Rogers era, the rise of the next, and whether I should see a certain Oscar contender before the Oscars.

So there's that. I have Joe House coming out. We're going to talk about NBA futures heading into 2025 stuff that jumped out to us with title ads and win totals, MVP, all kinds of stuff. And then million dollar picks, week 18, we've been smoking hot. Can we keep it going? We'll find out. Last but not least, my dad.

talking about the state of Boston sports. He's kind of a wreck these days. So we're just going to give him a platform and he can do this thing. So that is all next. First, our friends from Pearl Jam.

All right, Joe has to say, we're taking this late morning Pacific time. So there's some sports that are going to happen after we put this up. There's college football that will happen. There's a lot of basketball. There's some good basketball games as well.

We're doing a billion dollar picks. We've been doing really well. Can't wait to talk about the games, how weird this slate is. But I sent you a bunch of NBA stuff because this is a weird inflection point of the season right now with awards, with odds, with conference stuff. And I was going through it this morning and I was really surprised by some of the odds for things. The first thing was the title odds, where Boston and OKC are right where you would think. Boston's plus 200 OKC's plus 250.

The fact that the Knicks had better title ads than Cleveland, I was kind of shocked by it. The Knicks are 10 to 1, Cleveland's 11 to 1. And then after that, it's Denver 15 to 1, Dallas 17 to 1. That's what they had when these futures, there's legacy stuff from the start of the season. They can't like jack them around too much. And then we'll go through some of the other ones later. But I was really surprised Cleveland isn't being treated more favorably.

by the odds community. What else do people need to see from this team? Because right now they're 29 and four. They're over on their own Fando for wins for the season is 61 and a half. I don't know. They're probably going to have home court advantage. Round one, round two, round three. What don't people trust? What is your opinion on this? Their performance in the playoffs. I mean, this is exactly why the Knicks are ahead of them. We watch these two teams.

slightly different composition, but Cleveland, you know, largely the same team as last year, perform in the most recent playoffs. And Cleveland didn't knock anybody's socks off. And the Knicks were unbelievable. They were.

you know, an injury issue away from being in the Eastern Conference finals. It felt like the next slightly different next team. I would have a slightly different Cavs team because they've got a totally different version of Garland this year. Now that he's healthy, Mobley went up a level, a new coach who I think has made a real difference for them. And over and over again, they just answered these tests. I don't know if you saw any of the Warriors game the other night, but they just,

You know, they're just slaughtering teams. They're not, it's very similar to what was happening with the Celtics last year. And I, you know, they're plus 11. I think they're plus like 11, three rating. They're killing teams. They're up by 20 in a lot of these games. And it was like last year where people didn't trust it with the Celtics for a while. And then eventually they trusted it. I, maybe I trusted too much with them, but I, I'm, I really believe I think they have as good of a chance as anybody. And I don't understand the odds.

Well, part of the thing with Cleveland, I think they're the only team in the NBA that is undefeated against teams that are 500 or worse, which is exactly what you want, right? That's a hallmark benchmark kind of level of achievement when you play a game season.

Yeah, they're worse than you in the regular season. You're supposed to beat their ass. And that's how you build up a great regular season record. And that's how you put yourself in a driver's seat in terms of a home court advantage throughout the playoffs. I just think it's fair where these odds are because

When do we get to see some of the true sort of leverage moments? This team put under stress and duress. Now, the thing that could, if you wanted to talk yourself into the value proposition, Kenny Atkinson has all the chops.

He has the pedigree with the warriors being along for that ride. He knows exactly how a good organization. He took the nets and was really competitive with the nets before he fell out of place.

Yeah. Yeah. But I mean, that that team overachieved that next team. Yeah, they did. And so, you know, he was, he, we in our analysis of how this Cavalier season might go when we were together in October, thought that he more than any other element to that team could be a real elevating force. And that's exactly what's happened. Yeah. And we, and we, we trusted the Garland comeback year. We trusted this stability with Mitchell.

And the big X factor was, what's Moby got for us this year? Right. Moby went up a level and he's sitting threes better. And I, you know, I think, I think he should be in the all-star team. Even if you look at their last 20 games, their net, their net ratings 11.9 heading into Thursday night and the weekend. And the,

Cleveland OKC, Boston, the Knicks, and the Grizzlies are all nine and above in net rating the last 20 games. And Memphis is the one I could see more confusion about Memphis, whether what's real, what's not real with them, just because.

It doesn't, you know, Moran, I want to see if can, can you just play for a solid month and a half and just be out there every day? Um, they've had some, some, some good schedule luck so far. We'll see if that exists, but right now they're building such a big nest egg. Like they're 23 and 11 right now. Yeah. They're over under is 51 and a half on Fandall, which 51 and a half, that means you have to go 52 and 30.

So to me, that's a little bit of a lack of a trust, I think, from the betting community, at least with them. There's some weird ones, though, like the Knicks being 10 to 1 makes sense to me. That seems like the right range for them, right? Denver is 15 to 1.

I think just because of the legacy of what people bet before the season, same for Dallas, 17 to one. But if you go a little further and you dig in, like Memphis is 27 to one, Houston's 44 to one. Memphis and Houston are going to be probably be top four seeds. So when you just look at it like that, you're like, how do those people have weight wear sides than Denver? A team that just seems like a mess night today. It is even though Yokech is as great as he's been. What do you think of the Clippers at 75 to one to win the title?

No, just a complete didn't even make you stop for a second. No, I'm not saying they're going to win the title. It just seemed like those odds seem really high to me. The one that caught my attention and I mean, all the respect to the Clippers. Great job by them.

And I know this is going to run contrary to some action that we got down last week, Minnesota at 30 to one that we're finally at a number for them where it's like, wait a minute. I mean, that team was in the Western Conference finals last year and they have a super duper star on their team. This first stretch of games, the first third of the season for them, you know, 17 and 15 through 32 games.

not up to the level that we might have anticipated in the least. Well, we thought there would be some depth that was added. The Carl Anthony town's piece, we were saying, well, maybe it won't really affect the defense that much and what they get in terms of offensive versatility. Yeah, maybe their shooting won't go down, but yeah, it did affect them all over the place.

in every which way. Having said all that, I mean, 30 to one, they still have Anthony Edwards. They still have the only way that makes sense to me is if you're assuming that there's a Randall trade out there for them.

that they can turn him into something else. Cause the thing that's changed the last couple of weeks is defense ends up finally got going. Yeah. And that's added all the stuff we thought he was going to add before that trade. And the athletic Jack Krasinski wrote a really good piece about it. Just like, you know, we always forget the human elements sometimes with, with these NBA trades.

And Dante was just fucking bummed out the first month of the season. Like he wanted to be on the Knicks. He had, he had a great run with him. It was the best professional runner of his career. Now he's on this weird Minnesota team and he just didn't play well and he didn't look like he was happy reinvesting himself. And now he's added a little something I've been interested to see with dealing him what they get.

out of him too. If he's just, you know, him and Reed Shepard are kind of the two X factors of these rookies on good teams that don't really play. Right. And Reed Shepard hasn't been good either. I think Dillingham has been good in spots, but I'm just wondering what happens with those guys down the stretch. So the Rockets are another one at 44 to one that just like, if you're just factoring in a trade and you can, can they turn Van Vee or Jalen Green?

into a much better version of those guys than maybe those odds go up, but I don't sense the appetite from them this year, making a major move. So we'll see. And then Orlando at 43 to one is the only other one, just cause they'll have their guys back at some point, the infrastructure they have with the defense and the coaching and the reps that they've been getting for dudes like De Silva, Anthony Black and people like that. So, you know,

I to me the best odds are Cleveland 11 to 1. I'll go along with that. I think they're favored in the first two rounds. It's probably going to be.

I don't know that whoever it is in round three, it might not be my team. But game seven will be in Cleveland. That's not nothing. So a couple over under is really quick. Celtics 59 and a half just seems way too high. They're 24 and nine. That 59 and a half basically is 23 losses. That's 14 more of the rest of the way. They can't seem to get anybody healthy. I also don't really think they care about the one seed.

Golden State is still 45 and a half and they're 16 and 16 heading into tonight. What? What world are they winning 46 games unless there's a major trade coming that I can't anticipate?

It's that there is some possibility, I guess, that the market thinks that there's a trade for them yet. It's going to be really hard. It is a hard one for me. Yeah, that's a hard under for me. I mean, go ahead. Well, just Clippers, 46 and a half.

That would make me blank just because of the injury potential. The miles are putting on hard end. I don't know what they're getting from Kauai when he comes back, but the Golden State line. I don't see that. We're already in on Indy 43 and a half. We did the over even though they're 16, 18. They're minus 250 to make the playoffs. Minnesota, you mentioned.

They're minus 340 to make the playoffs right now, even though they're 17 and 15. So I think people are agreeing with the way you saw big picture of what's happening with them. But they're over under is 47 and a half now, which seems too out of me. It's high. That's a tough stretch. Yeah. That means they'd have to go 31 and

Like 19, rest of the way, something like that, 31 and 18. I don't see it. OKC, 62 and a half is the over under now. They're 27 and five. I think they get it.

I would still, I would still be bullish on that. Wouldn't you? Sure. It's fine. I feel like it's shocking every time they lose. They revolve deep. We're already like fully subscribed, fully allocated on every OKC. But if you wanted to just see for fun, you know, another little bit to get down. Will they get to 63 wins? Feels totally plausible. 63 and 19, sure.

It feels mid 60s to me unless there's another entry plus they haven't even gotten chip back. So here are the two hardest for me. Phoenix was 45 and a half right now. They're minus 134 to make the playoffs. So people are putting a lot of faith into something turning around here. They're 15 and 17. I just like even their last 20 games. They're six and 14. They're minus 3.1 net rating.

We really need this. This would be the first boost season boost that we've lost. We had our boost this year was Cleveland and Phoenix to win 45 plus. Okay. See to win 55 plus. And that's what we boosted on Fando. We're going nuts for it. I don't know if Phoenix gets to 45 wins. Do you, do you see it? What's missing with them other than the worst centers in the league? Yeah. I, um,

We really, I think, believed that the coaching change and what they'd be able to do from the perimeter, especially like, you know, that they would change what they had, what the single biggest problem was a math problem, which was they didn't get up enough threes and they didn't make enough threes. And we say, okay, bud is going to come and change that. And they're going to be this high scoring, like super fun entertaining team that just is winning 120 to 115.

And they're not that. And the problem is, you know, it's kind of the same problem as last year when they were a great underplay.

Durant can't really play night to night. And it really doesn't make sense for him to play night to night. And they just rotate two out of the three guys. Yeah. And you know, Bill, Bill doesn't move the needle. He doesn't help them win basketball games. He's actually been putting up stats lately. And it doesn't seem perfectly fine. Right. Exactly. There, there are three and seven over the last 10. And he's, he's in all of those games. So, you know, you know what? They're the big picture front office mistake they made.

was they tried to put together this big three model, which had been so successful in the late 2000s and the 2010s because the league wasn't as deep.

Now the league is deep. You need depth. You need the ability to weather an injury for 10 games. You need random guys stepping up night to night. And I just don't know if that big three model works. Great. Cool. We have three really good players. It doesn't matter. Like you're competing against other teams that have seven, eight, nine players that have real depth. That was something the Clippers figured out when they miraculously didn't offer Paul George that fourth year and landed all these other dudes. And now they have depth and they have the ability to

You know, whether Kawhi not playing for two and a half months because they have enough guys. So, uh, that's a hard under for me. And I think we're going to lose our bet. And I'm bummed because I, that was one of my favorite streaks that we had going. The other one, San Antonio is 39 and a half. And that's up four wins from where we were the start of the season. They're 17 and 16. They're plus 360 to make the playoffs.

And what we've seen from Wembley, Goldsbury and I talked about it a little on Tuesday. Like he's basically 29 and 12 every night now with four blocks, whatever it is, and is turning into this crunch time dude. And they have trades to make potentially if they want, they want to add another guy.

I kind of like the plus 360 for the playoffs for them as a fire. Oh, okay. I don't know if they're going to make the playoffs. I just like the odds. Let's look at this real quick. So where they're sitting right now is there in the nine hole. Yeah. And so let's see who they have to climb over. So the Lakers would have to drop, which I think I really think I could see that happening. That's not crazy talk. And then that would be the team.

They'd have to jump the Lakers basically. And then you'd have to assume Phoenix, Sacramento, Golden State, those teams, they had to beat those teams as well. I'm not saying it's going to happen. Plus 360 though. I just think they're put the four to one chance of it happening basically seems reasonable to me considering they have a guy who is now like a top seven or eight guy.

I like this. Let's fire on it. Let's take a break in this. A couple other ones. So MVP is basically a two horse race. SGA minus 105 yoked plus 115. And I think if OKC is in the, in the mid 60s for wins and SGA is doing the stuff he's been doing all year and Denver is like a seven seed, you know, 45 win team. SGA is going to win. I think if the way it's going now,

I think SGA wins. And I was surprised the odds were even. We're just staying on that. Well, I totally agree with the way that you're approaching this. And I also want to get down on this a sizable number because I don't see Oklahoma City backing up or, you know, I'm all back on wood. I mean, it would have to be some kind of crazy injury situation. I mean, wait till Chet comes back, right? Wait till they really have their

their whole team. The reason that I think it's especially compelling with SGA is because it addresses the thing that you and I talked about over the last couple of weeks, which is this transition moment for the league. The league really needs to start marketing the new class of stars that it has, and SGA should be

A face of the league. He should be one of those guys people need to see him there needs to be some marketing around his what are the all right now which I thought was a good that's a good sign exactly right. So even odds and I actually think he should be favored by more and if I was going to suggest anyone else.

Look, I don't think he's going to win, but when be at 110 to one. No, no, no, listen, 110 to one. He, by the way, he has the fifth best odds on Fandor right now because it's S.J. and Yo, kids, Giannis is plus 950. Tatum's 22 to one. And when he's 110 to one, you want to put $10 on it? No, I had a bet on that. I'm just I'm pointing out value.

I'll put $10 on it. They have to win 50-some games. I'm just trying to think of the last time the number five guy.

out of MVP was over a hundred to one. Fair enough. Because that's how dominant SGA and Yokos has been. But we know at the league like, you know, SGA, he can get a dumb injury for four weeks. Yokos, Denver could go slide backwards. Who knows? Tatum 22 to one would be more fun if Boston was playing better. And we're going to find out with Boston on this road trip there on. Rookie of the year is a catastrophe. Zach, it is our favorite of plus one 20.

Missy on New Orleans a second now. And by the way, plays crunch time for them. But it's a terrible team. Castle 7-1 Wells is 10-1. And Reese Ashey is 25-to-1 who would probably still be my pick because he's starting to play more and more from them just for the odds. But I don't know who's going to win that.

I thought, did you see Tom Haberstros break down just in the last like 24, 48 hours of ED? It's very good. He does a bunch of clips. And with the numbers, the plus minus numbers for ED have been outstanding. And there's a lot of good evidence about him, how active he is and how he's very quietly really propelling that team. And if Memphis, you know, over this stretch of, you know, jobbing week to week,

Yeah. They're sort of able to kind of tread water for a bit. I think in the, in the Edie's minutes are still a relevant part of it. I think that's a pretty good bet at this stage. The plus 120, it's kind of my attention to be honest with you. Castle 701, I like to heat a little bit of a while the last couple of weeks, but I still like him long term. But yeah, Edie, everything we thought before the draft of, if he goes here, he's this really interesting piece and a nine man rotation that you can, and he's been everything, uh,

The glass half full side of the Zach Edie argument. Yes. He's hit all of it. The Fence Square of the air, Webby's minus 270. For me, it's like if he's below minus 500 on that, just grab it. Go ahead and lay it. Most improved, the two guys that jumped out were Jaylyn Johnson, three to one is the favorite. But Dyson Dana is a 10 to one who is probably the best perimeter defensive player we have. I was surprised 10 to one was

as high as it was. And then, um, coach of the air, Kenny Atkins, his favorite minus 180, mostly a plus nine 50 jumped out to me because the fact that that team is five, six games over 500 with all the injuries they've had is, is, uh, is crazy to me. So anyway, that is, uh, that is my way out of all those bets. We just talked about what was your favorite? Uh, the Oklahoma city over 62 and a half. Yeah. I think I'm with you.

It's like we already have more than enough on them. Anyway, that is our little NBA chicken. All right, we're going to take a break and come back. The red hot million dollar picks. All right, million dollar picks week 18. So I don't remember.

a week 18 or in the old days of week 17 or last week of the season that had this many question marks of who's rolling over and who's not. And I don't know why that's a share, but we even have playoff teams this year.

like the Rams where I'm like, so they're, they're not going to win. Like the Seahawks are minus six now favorites and the Rams still have a chance to like lock down a three seed. We were asking Peter Schrager about it this week and, and, uh, and he was texting us like just the Rams haven't had a buy since week six.

They're banged up. McVeigh wanted to give Stafford and the receivers and Kyron Williams a week to heal for the playoffs and really likes his backups. So that choice that the Rams have of like, if we locked down three, we're probably playing Washington in the three six in LA or we dropped down to four and we're playing the loser of Minnesota Detroit.

I don't know. I, I really would have wanted to play Washington. No offense to your, to your, no offense to keywords. Right. I just, I would have gone for it, but I, I get it. That team must be really banged up as my takeaway.

Well, and you we've seen it. We keep watching. We're last three weeks. I bet has been been dragging. They just can't score. And, you know, uh, shrags included some of the stats for Kyra Williams. That dude needs a break. Give him a rest. Uh, it is a curious kind of decision out of the Rams, except for that's what they do. Sean McVay has done this before.

So, you know, the end, whichever of the teams between Detroit and Minnesota that they get will indeed be banged up. I mean, just in terms of battle scars from the game, this coming Sunday night that will decide the one seed in the NFC, the loser of that game. Real real stakes. Like it's awesome. If you win, you don't get to play for a week. If you lose, all of a sudden you're traveling somewhere and five or six days and playing around one playoff game. So yeah.

Um, well, it ties into what we think will happen with that Detroit Minnesota game, which we'll get to in a second, but I was looking at Rams plus six and a half against Seattle. Like maybe, maybe they hang. I don't really know what Seattle's motivation is because they're out.

Um, well, there's, um, Gino Smith motivation. He's one of those guys with a bunch of incentives. Yeah. He's 186 yards. There's a basket of achievements for him. That'll get him an extra three million bucks this year. So, and I think the team will know that, understand it. Mike McDonald is motivated to beat McVeigh in his first season. They were, they, they lost in overtime. Yeah. Seattle. So I think there's plenty of motivation for Seattle. I'm just not laying six and a half.

Now, because unless the Rams, the way that the rosters work right now, they have to play some of their good guys on defense. They can't sit their entire defense. And the defense has been the thing that's kept them. The defense propelled them into the playoffs.

the way that the defense played over this past month, they saved the game against the Cardinals on Saturday with an interception in the end zone, right? I mean, you know, the defense is the key. So I think in Seattle's offense has been fits and starts. There is a difference for Seattle. Their splits when they play on turf and domes is they've been very good. There's only been a handful of those games this year, but they've scored

prolifically. So that would be part of why you might be concerned. They can win by margin. Um, if the Rams like, you know, start pulling guys, but I, I, I like the Rams to be live here. Rams Moneyline with the over 38 and a half is plus four, 38. It's fun. It's fun. Rams plus six and a half. Teased in a four point T is on Fando up to 10 and a half.

with the Chiefs 14 and a half. Oh, and you can, and that's plus one 10 on Fandall. If you want to talk yourself into chiefs and Rams, not probably going to roll over in these games. So that's, that's in there for us quickly and the Chiefs.

I just, I'd be really scared of taking the other side in this game. I could see the Chiefs winning. I don't think Wentz is going to be that bad. I wouldn't lay the 10 and a half and I'll be glad to grab the 14 and a half. If that's what you're offering me in this, in this four point tease, the chiefs are not

an f around team. They have been in this circumstance four times over the last sort of five, six years or so. And they tend to cover and they tend to win outright. I think they're, they've covered four of these situations and they've won outright at least a couple times. They are not to be trifled with and this is still yet Denver.

on a losing streak with their rookie quarterback in his highest leverage game of his entire career. And he's capable of throwing some picks. I mean, the chief's calling card has been their defense all season long now. Their secondary is vulnerable, but let's, let's, you know, before we get super excited about Bonex in a must-win playoff kind of situation. I mean, 10 and a half. Come on.

Yeah, it almost seems like maybe there's two ways to play it. We could just do smaller bets on the Chiefs plus 10 and a half of the Rams plus six and a half and assume you're going to split those and maybe win both. You could tease them together with the little four point T's plus 10 and a half plus six and plus 10 and a half plus 10 and a half.

Or you have some fun, do Chiefs money over 39 and a half. That's plus 744 on Fandall. Rams money over 38 and that plus 438. Just put small ones on both and hope one of them hits. And we'll have an answer for you at the end of a million dollar picks. Two games I want to bet on.

I want to bet against the Pats and I want to bet against the Titans. And here's why. The lines are crazy low. Bills are favored minus two and a half over the Pats. Texans are favored minus one and a half at the Titans. I have no idea why the Pats are Titans would want to win this game. And you can go back to the Giants game last week and say, well, you would have said that about the Giants. I watched that entire Giants game.

It was a complete flooky collapse by Indianapolis combined with Drew Locke just had a really good game. And if you're Drew Locke, why wouldn't you want to have a good game? You're like trying to, you know, prove that you could be a starting quarterback next year. Um, that game just kind of fell away from the Colts. It was a coaching abomination. There was a special teams touchdown. There are all these specific reasons.

Bill's Pat's like, it's, and I'm gonna talk to my dad later in the pot about why Drake May's playing just what's how, how just awful this Pat season's been. I can't believe that they would just give away the number one pick on the last week of the season. Is Drake May really playing? Are they just saying that? Because he plays one quarter and leaves or I just- He really makes no sense whatsoever. None. The only person that it makes sense for is Gerard Mayo. Well, so this is the problem. He is charged with a fucking football team.

But this is the problem. If he, if the coach and everybody knew they were coming back next year, this is where we go. We're going to start Joe Milton. We want to take a look for Adam and week 18 and we're going to try some other guys. We're sick. And so if you don't know, you're coming back.

You kind of want to win. You want to end the game at a high note. You don't want somebody to say, Hey, you guys looked like shit the last couple weeks of the season. Yeah, because I bench my quarterback, motherfucker. And that's like a week 18 win over the bills who've said everybody is really going to change the outlook, the career trajectory of Jared Mayo. He's he's stunk off season long. We've had 17 games of evidence, like, you know, the past.

to be fair are exactly where they should be. It's where the market anticipated. It's why they had the lowest forecasted wind total of the year. And here we are. Congratulations on getting it done. But like the twists and turns have been bizarre. And it does make you wonder who's in charge. And I think this coming Sunday game, the crafts better step in. Whoever, what's the GEM's name, Bam Pal? Is that the guy?

No, he's the OC. The GM is is the interim GM is Elliott Wolf, who would ever after Drake may put together one of the worst drafts in the history of the NFL. Um, no, you have to lose the game. And it's indefensible because if they get the first pick, they're going to be able to trade back, even if they trade back three spots to number four and get more picks. You just basically giving away players and you're not going to take a quarterback at the top. Anyway, there's no defense.

It's long-term leverage. It's franchise-altering leverage. And when you weigh the risk, when you weigh the cost benefit of a week 18 win versus the trajectory for your Epping franchise going forward, you have the cornerstone quarterback. The thing that you need to do now is get other good players on the Epping football team. And the only way to do that, the

fastest way to do that is by doing the thing you're sitting and looking at right the second, which is to lose the motherfucking game and get as much as you can in terms of capital. This is like very basic business building proposition shit right here. Yeah. We only have two good players and God's always had a concussion last week. So he shouldn't play. May has been banged up, took a big shot last week. You sit those two guys and say they just don't have enough talent to beat even the bill's second strength. So I like the bills minus two and a half.

And I really like the Texans minus one half against the Titans. I think the Titans are terrible. The stretch that they've just been on recently is just a roller coaster ride of shit. And, you know, the Texans have lost their last two, right? They've locked up the four seat for a while, but they kind of need to play well for a game. You could say like, oh, they don't need the game. They're already in. It's like, no, they kind of need to look good for three hours.

I just find it hard to believe they're going to toss away the game and go into the playoffs, finishing 98 for the season, hosting somebody good either the charges of the Steelers and just not feel good about anything that's happened for a month. I totally agree. I totally agree. I want to bet both of these and I think we split at least one. If the Pats and Titans both win,

That means the Browns are going to have the first pick in the draft. When do things ever work out for the Browns? Oh, that's, I feel bad. Sorry, Brown fans. You know, it's true. Yeah. I mean, Cleveland writ large did get LeBron. So we can't, you know, Cleveland has some, some, some good fortune over the last three years ago and he left. I'm just saying 30, but you know, he brought him a title over the last 30 years. We don't have to say that Cleveland's, you know, well, then they got the Kyrie, they got the, they won the Kyrie ladder. Cause the league felt bad for them.

That's one of my top five. Are we sure this was on the level? In any event, the guys are the action network. They call the Titans, the point shavers, which I think is fantastic. And I totally agree with. What are they two and 14 against the spread? Yeah, the worst. They have locked in the worst. They can. They've already done. They're already at the worst, but if they lose this one more spread as well, then they are historically the worst against the spread in the history of the NFL.

Yeah, and the thing is, their quarterbacks suck. I just don't see it. I think they're terrible. They lost to Jacksonville last week. They got swept by Jacksonville. It's an organizational disaster. I couldn't believe with my own eyes. I had gambled on them when they came to Washington and they had just beaten Houston and Washington was laying six and a half. I was like, Oh, that's it. And the Titans at that point had some advanced analytics that said their defense was good.

They are, they're, they suck the high heaven. I think Washington had 200 yards rushing in the first half. They, they're abysmal organizationally. So yeah, really, let's go easy to go against the Titans. All right. So we'll put Pat, we'll put stuff against the Pat's and Titans.

The two big games I want to focus on and there's so many games where it's like, I don't know if that team's going to care. I don't know if this team's going to care. I don't know who's playing. I don't know what the motivation is. But we know Vikings lines and Steelers, Bengals. We know that all four of those teams are going to give a shit about the game. Steelers, Bengals, everybody's on the Bengals. It feels like the line is Bengals minus one and a half in Pittsburgh. The Bengals are eight Nate for the year.

The Bengals have really no good wins. Last week's win was probably the best win they've had of the season. I don't think their defense is good. Bondex missed multiple wide open guys and like he hit one, but he missed three others. I thought the Broncos should have won the game. I know Burroughs really good. I know Burrough with Chase and Higgins are really good together. Chase Brown ankle injury. They're not going to be able to run the ball the same. But to me, this is a Steelers moment.

I think they need the game. If they win there, the five seed, if they're the five seed, they get to go to Houston and play a Houston team that none of us think are good. They should beat the Houston team. They beat that Houston team, assuming the rest of the playoffs goes chalk for around one, then they would go to Kansas City for around two. Kansas City coming off, you know, God only knows what they do this week, bye week next week. Pittsburgh's going to go to Kansas City be like, yeah, we can play with these dudes.

I don't really like what I've seen from Pittsburgh the last few weeks, and I know you don't either. But they also had this crazy three games and 11-day stretch against three of the five best teams in the league. And now I think their stock's too low. We've been at the craps table house with the Steelers a lot. And we stayed a little too long in that Philly game and we got our ass kicked. I'm ready to put some money and some dice and some chips down on the craps table on the Steelers again. I think they're going to win.

Yeah, you and I are seeing this exactly eye to eye. And I think it's important to continue to emphasize that the perception of the Steelers because of this three game stretch, this three game slide, which was always circled in bright red as being an impossible task at the end of a season going up against

the three best teams in the NFL by a lot of ways you want to assess it. Yes, Detroit and Minnesota, but without their best receiver, an offense that needs that receiver, that needs that over the top option, and the perception of who the Bengals have become because they had a luck win against the Cowboys, a special team's luck win against the Cowboys,

And then they beat the Titans and then they beat the Browns. And then they held on against the Broncos at home. And what was for them a playoff game? Because if they lost, there was no playoff possibility whatsoever. It was not exactly a cover in glory moment for the Bengals. Their defense absolutely positively was right there trying to give up that game. Well, think about the special teams piece too, like that.

I don't trust their kicker at all. This is going to be a three point. This is going to be a classic Steelers, Pittsburgh, Tom, one game. And the Steelers have Boswell and these guys have a kicker that I don't trust from any distance, basically. Absolutely positively. Right. And remember that the the Bengals last loss was to the Steelers in Cincinnati where the Steelers had 530 yards of offense.

I think they haven't dialed. I think they understand how to exploit this, the Cincinnati defense. And it feels like a tremendous opportunity to grab the Steelers here, getting points at home. It's like classic Tomlin moment. So disrespectful. Steers with some rest, 10 days between Wednesday and the Saturday. So they're everybody here. I love this. This is a classic, classic Tomlin. Look, if they lose, a burrow kills them.

I'm not gonna regret betting on the Steelers. I feel the same way. All the Steelers have come through over and over again in this spot at home. We've seen it too many times. And I think there's real stakes for them. That's the piece.

The Rams, I get it. Like it's like, okay, either we're going to be hosting Washington in the 3-6, or we're hosting probably the Lions coming off a really physical, brutal playoff game in the 4-5. It matters, but it doesn't really 100% matter. This Steelers thing matters. The difference between playing Houston in Houston versus going to Baltimore and playing Baltimore for the third time,

This really matters to them. And I don't think that I think the Bengals are eight and eight for a reason. I agree. It's not like, you know, T Higgins missed a few weeks, right? Other than that, this is who they are. They have a couple of good players and a lot of shitty ones. It's the defense. The defense has been bad all season. You can't count on that defense. The defense doesn't get soft when they need to. That's not who this team is. So do you like the Steelers plus one and a half or do you just like the Steelers plus one 10? I like the money line.

Yeah. The plus is going to win. So a little more. It's a little more appetizer. Yeah. Okay. And then the other one is Vikings Alliance. And I feel like now every Thursday, I'm just talking about the Vikings, how I don't understand why people don't realize they're good. They came through again last week. And the best possible thing happened in that game last week.

They dominated their kicker missed a couple field goals. The Packers really got it going with eight minutes left when the Vikings were way up. They stopped blitzing as much and doing some of the stuff that got them the spot there in the first three quarters, laid back a little bit, love started to look good. And all of a sudden it was, you know, a two point game as the final score. It was not a two point game.

The Vikings are awesome. That's been the tale for the Vikings all season long. You look at their resume, you're going to see a slew of one score games. They are one score games because they were beating the crap out of teams and then teams came back on them. I mean, Jordan loved these nuts. Did it twice. He came back, you know, and made the game a wayside of a one score game.

Uh, and you know, this was very quick aside, Jordan loved these nuts. They need to handle their business against Chicago. Um, cause I think Washington, this game will be going on simultaneously. I like Washington, but Washington Dallas is always a walker.

Yes, you do not like say, Oh, yeah, Washington should walk over. So I think, uh, and, and the, the Packers need to like, you know, show something. They got their ass beat. They, that was a physical, they got out physical. Their, uh, defensive line got out physical by the Minnesota.

front. So Jordan loved these nuts and the Packers better show up and show out. But for the Vikings, I have one way that I want to play this. And I really, I'm not convinced to move too far beyond the way that I want to play it. What's here?

I love them as a teaser leg. I think it's an incredible teaser leg taking them as two and a half point dogs and pushing them up to eight and a half. The lions are not in any kind of way shape or form in a position to win by margin. And they can't win by margin because they're to protect the lead when they're up right 14 in the fourth quarter. Yeah. And I respect the line so much. But look,

They could have and should have lost that game against San Francisco. I mean, the Niners had a million chances. Yeah. Missed field goals, pretty overthrowing guys. Both of his interceptions to Kirby were grotesque overthrows. They were both directly on Brockbury. Then he got hurt at the end.

Yeah, so I mean, and so I don't think Minnesota is going to aid and abet its own demise the way that the Niners did. But this game to me is like, you know, razor thin. I have tons of respect for the Vikings and everything they've done. This is like for, it's such a good matchup, Dan Campbell and KOC, like,

really good coaching matchup and you know home team that the line seems right to me two and a half seems fair. I just love the idea of the Vikings getting more of that touchdown.

I think the Vikings are going to win and I want to bet on that piece of it. But I also want to put them in a tease because I agree with you. Like there's stuff we could do. We could do Pittsburgh plus four and a half in Minnesota plus seven and a half. That's plus one twelve. Great one. We could do Washington minus two twenty just to win with Minnesota plus seven and a half. That's around even odds. We can do that as well. Those would be my two. I don't want to do Washington.

You were nervous about this Washington game. Yes, yes. I was nervous about the game. What they did against the Eagles that come back against a division rival and everything they put out and then for them to bounce back and show up and take care of business against the Falcons again in the most dramatic fashion possible at some point like the cumulative effect of that. This is a storybook season for Washington.

They lead the league and come from behind victories. They lead the league in terms of scoring inside the last minute. They lead the league in fourth down conversions. Like there's a whole bunch of stuff. It would be a rightful capper for this Washington team to beat Dallas in week 18, push themselves into the six seed. Like that is an absolute unbelievable miracle for the franchise, but man, the last 25 years.

You must take recognition and take note. That's all. So you're rooting for Trey Lance. I am definitely not under no circumstances. I hate Dallas. I'm. No, no, I'm saying you're rooting for Trey Lance to be named starter for this game that he starts. That helps you rush because he's not a, he's not a professional quarterback. He is not. Oh, thank God. Yeah. If he's the quarterback, I'm really rooting for him. So it sounds like

We should put Vikings plus 130 and Steelers plus 110. We should just bet those and then do a tease maybe with.

I mean, the other way to do it is just do the teas and make that the big bet. I like the teas better because I do think the resourcefulness of Detroit and their incredible backbone over the course of this entire season, even in the face of all that bad injury luck. They just keep coming out. I love so much. The Campbells. No Montgomery too.

Yeah, I know. I mean, I understand. Look, it's, it's just they're, they're decimated. It's a bummer. I hate it. I hate the injury luck for them, but they're badasses. I just, I don't want to look like if, if one of these two teams screws up somehow and then we lose both games.

That's my fear. Cause that happened last week because I love Minnesota last week and you threw some water on it. You scared me off a little and we ended up putting them in a parlay with the Colts and the Colts lost. And then I just, I won nothing on Minnesota, even though that was one of my favorite bets. So I understand part of me when there's just do the Viking Steelers money lines.

And then maybe we do that. I mean, you're saying individually, you just play the separate money line. Yeah. Say the part of the upper money lines. No, not part. Okay. Fine. Great. I get what you're saying. And then do the teas together. Okay. Oh, I love that. Cause the teas are like for the Steelers, it's tremendous as well. Yeah. From one and a half up to seven and a half. Love that. I think that's the move.

Okay. So we do Vikings money line, Steelers money line, Pittsburgh with the little teas and then bills, texts and stuff. And you want to put anything on cheese rams or no?

If you want to do that, that four point T's, I kind of loved it. Okay. He's the Rams up to 10 and a half and T's the Chiefs up to 14 and a kind of loved it. Sound of it. Yeah. We can, we'll just put a little tiny bit on that. And do you agree that we should probably scale back this week? Oh my God. Don't, yeah. Don't bet anything meaningful. We pulled everything out of our ass last week. The only thing that was a setback in any way, shape or form was the stupid cults.

I know, but you know what? We should have known better. We should know not to put. They were, they were seven point favorites. Yeah. And had no business being seven point favorites over anybody. And that was a rare, like we got suckered in on a bad team, basically just assuming the giants would take care of business. And it was just a classic culture and the absolute

Absolutely. Everybody needs to go situation. Right. And they're probably, well, hilariously, Atlanta is in the exact same spot right now. Atlanta is laying seven and a half, just the exact same way the cultural laying seven and a half. Atlanta's laying seven and a half to Carolina, you know, who's been spunky. I'm doing that. I'm doing that. I'm staying away from the NFC South. Okay, good. Fine. All right. Million dollar picks.

Week 18, last week we went $641,000. It's pretty good. We're up $2.177 million for the year. And we're going to scale back this week.

smart because it's week 18. It's a stupid week. I want to have a nice little $2 million nest egg for the playoffs. The playoffs, baby. Yeah. I don't want to be like, I don't want to be at the blackjack table of 20 minutes too long after they change the dealers. Let's just take it nice and easy. Maybe we throw away the money line bets and just do Pittsburgh, Minnesota as the teas that we're buying. It's one of my favorite bets of the week. All right. All right. First bet.

Pittsburgh, we're gonna do a slight adjusted parlay with them plus four and a half Pittsburgh against Cincinnati with Minnesota plus seven half against the trait. That is plus one 12 on Fandul. And the reasoning for this, we don't think Pittsburgh is being judged correctly after their horrible three games and 11 days stretch. They are now 10 days rest against a team that they put 500 plus yards on.

They're home. They're underdogs. This is the all time classic Tomlin situation and then Minnesota plus seven half. I think we both think they're better than Detroit, but this gives us some buffer. If anything weird happens, even if they're down 10 or 14 late, they're going to get the cheap touchdown because Detroit stinks. So that's plus one 12.

We'll put it. We'll put 150 K on that. Okay. Just to respect ourselves. Fair, fair, fair. And then I want to put 50 K each on Vikings plus 130 and Steelers plus 110. Great. No argument. All right. Then we are going to put 100 K.

on two teams against two teams that should not want to win this weekend. The Patriots and the Titans. So Bill's minus two and a half hundred K and that over the Pats. Good. The Pats win. I'm going to lose my mind. I'm just telling you right now. Just don't just mute me on Twitter. Just do it. Do it now. I'm going to fucking lose my mind. Don't watch the Sunday podcast. I'm going to lose my mind if they win this game. Oh, Texans minus one half. I want to see it.

Texans minus one and a half over the Titans. That's the point shavers. Yes. The point. The Titans over the point shavers. Let's go in for two and 50 and he gets to spread this season, which is the most of it. You're just going to bet against them every week. You'd be up a cajillion dollars. That could have been $1,000. Yeah. Right. A cajillion dollar. So we're putting a hundred K each on that. And then last but not least, just a little 50 K flyer.

on Chiefs plus 14 and a half adjusted with Rams plus 10 and a half. That is plus one 10 on Fando. We just feel like the Chiefs are going to hang around and make the Denver fans nervous. And I think the Rams are going to hang around because I don't think MacVay is a I just want to throw a game away guy.

I think it's a let me see. Let me see what we have a Blake quorum. Let me see what Jimmy G. What's what do I got here? He trusts Jimmy G. Yeah. What do I got with my third and fourth receivers? Maybe I'll run some trick shit. I just think he'll I think he'll have some fun in this game and get the team ready. So 50k on that. And those are the million dollar picks for week 18. There's one more stake for this house heading into the to the weekend.

I need a Houston win and I need an Arizona win. And I finish future over unders. That's all I did before the season. I'll be 27 and five right now. I'm 25 and five Houston win. They go over Arizona win. They go over 27 and five house. That's like, that's, that's, that's getting the job done. That's very well done.

At some point, that's just impressive. As I said it last week, we need the positive media account. Somebody who just points out positive takes that people had, or great takes on something, or like, hey, this person's been successful lately, like cousin Sal with the Wise Wagers when he was 13 and two. Hey, look at this. Kudos to him.

Need more positivity on social media in 2025. Anyway, Houston, Arizona, if I can hit both of those 27 and five. I'm rooting for you. Keeping my fingers crossed. I'm rooting for you. Good luck with Washington. So when you're here for round one.

Rams Washington is in play in play. I mean, I don't want to that Saturday night. Talk about it. It's just, it's just too rich of a possibility. Let's just humbly acknowledge to the football guys. There is some possibility if everything went the way the universe gets the three seed. Washington gets the six seed. Maybe that's the Amazon Saturday night game. You're going to be here. We'd have to like seriously consider.

go into that game. Oh, no, we wouldn't consider it. We're going. And I already know where we're who we're going to sit with. I mean, you know, we've got all we've got Washington fans in Los Angeles. The ownership of Washington would be so thrilled to see some of us. I think, you know, I think we'd have a tremendous time rooting for it. Well, you'll see us there. I would actually root for Washington that game, I think.

Thank you. Thank you. I mean, you know, but I'd also be rooting because I'm sure we'd be with Chang. Yes, we would. I'd also be rooting for his three and a half hour roller coaster ride of a of a possible mental breakdown. We'll actually do it as he just angrily eats stuff to like he gets out all his neuroticism with food. That would be really fun to watch. Why we get along well, me and Chang. Yeah. Right there with the house. Happy New Year. Great to see you. Happy New Year. Great to see you as well. Let's go.

Trump fantasy is here, gamut of emotions for him right now, end of the movie year, end of another depressing jet season, but maybe the start of something special with the Knicks. So I don't know. You want to start positive for once? I would love to. What do you mean the start of something positive? It's been an amazing three plus years here. Now you're feeling contentory in a real way. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I'm glad to hear you say that. You were pretty down on that bridges trade. I think we were both down on the car. A lot of picks. Yeah. Can we talk about the picks?

Well, they're not going to matter that much if the team's really good for the rest of the decade. That's what I was going to say. I'm not crazy about that 2031 pick, but all these other picks, I don't know, if they're a 55 win team for the next five years, who cares?

Who cares? It's a great way to think about it. The town's thing is the wind of winds though, because that could have gone nine different ways. And it feels like at least so far, we're almost, we're two nap months in the season. So far it's gone as well as it could have possibly gone. And he's way more popular than even I could have expected in my wildest dreams. And he's really fun to watch. And it just feels like he's at the peak of whatever his powers are.

I was not really a fan of him as a player, but I think watching him on the Knicks has revealed how much I was not watching the T-wolves, honestly, because he's even more skilled than I had realized. And he's a good fit with this roster. And I thought for some reason that him and Thibodeau had a really bad experience together, but that does not seem to be the case. No, that's true.

And they seem to be getting along great now. I don't understand how they repaired that, but that he fits this team very well. Obviously he doesn't play great defense as your key interior defender, but that's not the plan. I don't think long term. So I don't know. It's weird. They, they're really, they had a cupcake schedule in December for sure.

And they, but they've also played a ton of games on the road. So it's, it's weird. Like they really could be like a 55 win team and they maybe might be the second or third best team in the NBA right now. Maybe maybe four fourths seems right. Yeah. I'm talking later on the pot. I talked to my dad about the Celtics and, you know, they have a really hard part of the schedule coming up. There's a chance for the next to grab the two seed here.

and have at least home court for the first two rounds that they wanted to. But the thing that I mentioned this to Goldsbury on Tuesday, the thing that I worry about as a Celtic fan with them is the buyout potential of one or two guys who were like, yeah, cool. I'll be in New York for three, four months and shoot some threes for you and grab some rebounds.

So I heard you say that to Kirk. So like, who's on that list in your mind? Who's somebody who's hard to say? Well, because so many teams are doing well or doing DC and are, you know, haven't really packed it in yet. You know, you kind of don't know who the candidates are yet. So like, like the trade had that terrible J and Ivy injury yesterday, right? The trade was played really well. He was a huge part of what they were doing. And then, you know, Cole Anthony goes and his leg is out for the air. It sucks. But maybe now maybe that's a team that says, ah,

Yeah, maybe we're not a playoff team now and goes the other way. And now there's bio guys in the team. I just don't know. Nick's fans have been talking about getting beef stew in the mix in some way for for months. I think since the towns deal happened, knowing that they needed a more interior defense. And that's it. He feels real nixie to me. I think he would fit in really well with the trade for him though is the problem. We would. Yeah. Yeah, you're looking at more. Yeah, you're looking at more of the dudes.

I don't know. I'm the Portland, those kind of teams, the Sacramento, who knows, but I'm sure it'll be somebody and it won't be somebody we're expecting either. But yeah, it's fun that Nick Celtics probably going to be round two, probably going to be the two, three.

would be my guess unless something dramatic happens. And that will be the most meaningful Celtics, Nix, these teams are actually pretty even in 40 years. Bill, I'm sensing a real, a little bit of a sadness in your voice about this, about the Nix being the legitimate franchise. I'm happy for the fans. No, it's really better when the Nix are good.

I'm happy. I'm happy for the fan base. Everyone says that. But if we go to the NBA finals, we will be insufferable. Everyone will hate the Knicks in a second. Ask Philadelphia fans how they feel about Knicks fans right now. They fucking hate us because of what happened in last spring.

So I think it's cool that we're a good story and what can you say like Leon Rose, I never would have guessed in a million years that he would have been this good at roster construction. Almost every move he has made, barring a couple of signings like the Kemba signing, have been brilliant and he's been able to wriggle his way out of bad moves very well and he's drafted well. It's wild. It's been very exciting. There's a really fun scenario.

where the Sixers are in the plane and somehow get to a spot where the nicks are the two seed and somehow the Sixers win the seven eight game and all of a sudden we get Sixers nicks again because that was it. That's starting to be the best rivalry in the NBA with the hatred from the fan bases.

Yeah, obviously the Sixers look a lot better now too. And their match, the matchup would be so significantly different because you've got Paul George and Michael Bridges and Carl Anthony Towns were not a part of that match last year, plus a bunch of other guys affiliated to their roster too. So it would be different, but the same. I mean, one of my favorite sports memories of 2024 is the Divo double bang, you know, which, you know, didn't end that series, but it felt like it ended that series. And if I felt like a

I felt a tide shifting in the conference when that happened. I was like, oh, wow, we are where the Sixers were three years ago. Like we are a team that people are like, they're not the best team in the conference, but you don't want to fuck with them. And we are missing Dante. So that's a guy. Can Dante be bought out and resigned? Is that on the table? Can you resign if you've been traded?

Yeah, I don't know the role on that, but he's playing too well. I don't see, I don't see a snare for that. You'll get somebody interesting. It's weird to see you because not only do you have this, but the Met Steel Soto from the Yankees. You have that too. Like we head into 2025 with real New York sports optimism from you for once.

Yeah, I feel like I'm about to be fired or something. You know, it's like things are going well for me with my sports teams. We will get to the Jets, but yeah, the soda thing is unreal. I don't even know how to talk about it. This is something that never would have happened through the first 40 years of my life. Obviously, Steve Cohen has changed and that's pretty dramatically.

I also don't think that they're a playoff team right now if you look at their roster. So I'm not going to get over my skis about the Mets. They still have a lot of work to do. And they're pitching staff when you compare it to the rest of the National Ease is not very good candidly. So the Soto thing is unreal. Soto Lindor. Vientos is very, very exciting.

We'll see. We will see. What's going to have with Peter Lanzo? Will they trade for a pitcher? There's a lot to happen there, but they've totally changed their reputation in baseball, which is fucking awesome. All right. Enough optimism to Jess. You couldn't wait. You could not wait to get off of that. This is it. This is it for Rogers and Devonta Adams and the coach and you need a new GM and you obviously need a new owner, but that's not happening.

There was a big athletic story about how weird it is with the owner and his kids being involved. It was just over and over again. The data confirming, the anecdotes confirming, the eye test confirming that this is one of the most memorable shit shows in a while.

You predicted it before the season. It's been even worse than I think you would have imagined. I would not have predicted four and 13. I would have said maybe seven and 10 and they missed the playoffs or eight and nine and they missed the playoffs. Because last year there was seven and 10 with Zach Wilson. Yep. They were seven and 10 with Zach Wilson two seasons in a row and they're about to go four and 13 probably with Aaron Rodgers and basically great health.

They have not had a lot of massacres. They lost CJ Mosley for a while. They've had some health issues on the offensive line, but like Rogers hasn't missed a game. Priest Hall has only missed one or two games, I think. Garret Wilson hasn't missed a game. I mean, their best players are playing.

And they stink. They're terribly coached. Aaron Rodgers is obviously an awful influence on the organization. I still don't really understand what the fuck he's talking about in public like 85% of the time. I have no idea why he's grinding axes the way that he is considering how poorly he's played. His stats are really good and they're very deceptive if you've been watching the games, which I unfortunately have been.

Um, he can't move as well in the pocket and he's so, so careful in his desire to not make a mistake that he often doesn't take chances where you need to have an exciting offense. So it's just not fun to watch what should at least be like an entertaining offensive team. They've sucked on offense this year. So it's, it's been horrible. The body language doctor is not like anything he's seen. No, but I think that point that you made earlier though,

not being able to understand what his agenda or his point is in some of his interviews. I think it's a great point because sometimes I'll see transcripts or there'll be some clip that goes on Twitter and it's like Roger says this on Mac fan. I watch it and you almost wonder is like is this a this is a bit

Like what's he doing? I think he's just really online and really like responding to the critics, but we don't know who the critics are because we don't see his mentions, the mentions of his mind. I mean, he just seems like a really weird guy right now.

Well, that's especially to be the guy who's supposed to be the, the calming force, the driver of your race car. When you have somebody super radical now seems like he's clearly hoping he doesn't have to come back next year. Um, and seems like he's getting a little bridge burning so they'll maybe get rid of him.

Can I suggest the theory to you? Yeah, let's hear it. So let's look at the last 10 years of professional athletes. We've had more and more great stars play longer and longer into their careers, right? We've got Tom Brady, we've got LeBron James, you know, even like Federer played for a very long time, like a lot of great athletes.

who extended their careers for health reasons or what have you. But a lot of those people have gotten more and more odd in their public persona. And one way to think about it is being famous for a long time makes you kind of crazy. It makes you paranoid. It makes you entitled.

but I'm about the same age as Aaron Rodgers, and I'm getting weirder, and I'm getting riddled with anxieties, and there are certain things that my body is breaking down, and I'm getting bent out of shape about it, and I've got a family, and I've got different kinds of responsibilities. So it's like when you're 27, and you're locked in on your sport, and you're the thing that you're doing, it's because you don't have anything else going on in your life.

When you get older and like your parents start dying and you start thinking about your legacy, whatever the hell that is, you get weird. And Aaron Rodgers just seems like he's been going through a midlife crisis for like four years. And we keep thinking he's the guy from 2011 in Green Bay.

And he's not. He's just a middle aged guy who just happens to be one of the best throwers of the football of all time. And so it's been fucking annoying that the one time we got a genuinely great quarterback, it happened to coincide with him going through a personal emotional crisis and we're watching it transpire in real time. It's a good theory. Well, I wonder how much of that ties into COVID.

And how weird so many people got just being alone for nine, 10 months during COVID and getting pushed to be more and more online. And like, if you, if you didn't have a family around, like, and you're just by yourself a lot, like, what were the ramifications that we both know people in our lives that just pre post COVID just felt like they were slightly different people. Yeah, look at C.R. He's completely falling apart.

Yeah, C.R. is. I mean, I wasn't going to mention that. C.R. is now a maniac. Now, I don't know how it plays out, but I do feel like there's some endgame with him where he's not going to retire. And he clearly thinks something is happening for him next year somewhere. And I just don't know where that is.

Yeah, I was thinking about that too. He probably should retire. He can still clearly still play. I don't know. I don't know. I feel like he can move in the same way anymore. He can't. I think that's notable this year is he used to be so great at evading pressure and buying himself two, three, so you just can't do it anymore. No. And as you said earlier, it doesn't seem like he wants to make mistakes. He's going to finish the season with

you know, 26 touchdowns and 10 picks. And on paper, it will look great. But he also, he only does throws that are like these safe throws down the sidelines. He's like timing catches or like these quick things. And, you know, you really are seeing him just being like, uh, Josh Allen gun in it.

Yeah, I mean, it's hard to watch kind of what the contemporary superstar quarterback is now relative to what his play is like and what the Jets quarterback play has been like for the last 50 years. That's the thing is like, if he finishes with 26 and 10 and throws for 3,800 yards, that's a top five quarterback season in Jets history. Like that's how pathetic the team is, even though he has been terrible. So it's not ideal. I feel like, I don't know, like,

If the Cardinals trade Kyler Murray, is there a one year Aaron Rodgers thing that could happen there? You know what I mean? Like there, there feels like there are some spots where you could comfortably see him in a warm weather situation, having one last hurrah, but I just don't want it to be in New York.

I think Brady has ruined our ability to look at all of this stuff logically. Because quarterbacks are supposed to hit their late 30s and just get worse every year. And then Brady just didn't happen with him. And I've said this before, but it's very similar to the LeBron thing.

The LeBron thing is just really unusual. We're not going to see a lot of people just play until they're 40 and be able to put up 25, 10 and seven and just bowl through guys, even though they've had a kajillion miles. So I don't know. I think this is what it should end like. This Kirk cousin, same thing. You should hit your late 30s and you should start becoming worse at quarterback. It's too hard to play. Movies. Yeah.

Um, I'm still getting through all the movies. Okay. There were a lot this year and I got, I felt behind cause of basketball and football, but I've seen a lot of them now. Um, it was a really busy December. There was a ton of new movies in December. Yeah. They really dumped a lot of them late. It felt like, uh, this weird award strategy or something and it's been hard to get through all of them with all the other stuff, but I've been, I've been trying. I don't have a movie that I really absolutely love this year.

And I don't, I know you're talking about this on your podcast. But is there, was there a movie in 2024 that you're just like, I'm fucking right or die. I love this movie. I'll fight anybody who didn't like it. It doesn't feel like that movie exists this year.

No, I have not given five stars to any movie this year. You're like a dancer. I'm five star match. I'm honestly developing that. I'm trying my best. I think I've given out eight five star films in the last nine years or 10 years. Yeah. So.

Yeah, no, there were not any this year. Now, my favorite movie is The Brutalist, which we can talk about. It is a divisive movie. And if people don't like it, I'm not going to pick a fight with you about it. I understand why people don't like aspects of that movie. But no, I think the thing and the thing that you're feeling is the same thing that it seems to be will be an issue for the Academy because we've never really gone this far. At least since I've been doing this, where the best picture race is as open as it is. I think people genuinely do not know what's going to win best picture. And it speaks to that lack of consensus that you're talking about.

Yeah, all these different films have pieces of things that feel like it's the movie of the year, but not the whole thing. We had somewhere. What was that three billboards year? We never really decided.

what the movie was that year. And then, yeah, I mean, all of a sudden, that was the Roma and green book year as well. Or is it the previous year? Maybe that was the previous year. Maybe that was the previous year that was like, get out and Lady Bird and yeah. But those years, we, those were like ride or dive movies. We were like, get out. Like we had great arguments that year. I remember that three billboards here. We just kind of, it's black clansmen. There was a bunch of them where it was like, I liked it.

But I wasn't all the way there. Like, I thought that way about Enora. I thought the first hour of Enora, I was like, just absolutely riveted. The second hour, you know, it lost an hour. I was still really glad I saw it. I thought it was a really original, awesome creative movie, but it was a little flawed too.

I think that's probably the front runner as much as there can be for Best Picture. It's a movie that I really like. I really like all of Sean Baker's movies. It isn't my favorite of his movies. I think it's got a great central performance and that helps it a lot. But it's a fairy tale about class. It's not going to be the most crowd-pleasing movie despite having this insane screwball energy that people seem to be responding to.

Well, it also the second biggest part in the movie is somebody who's basically insane for two hours. He's Russian Borat. Yeah. Yeah. And it's a choice. It was really, listen, it's really memorable. It has a couple of distinct memorable scenes, but if that one best picture, that would be kind of shocking. Conclave has the big twist in the end. Conclave has

All the breadcrumbs of what a best actor, sorry, best film looks like. It's another one. It's bringing into this world. It's kind of cool. There's great actors that I like. And I got like 82% there for me, doing percentages. I didn't get 100% for me.

I watched the second time with my wife over the break and I had the same feeling, which is the feeling that I had. I think it's very propulsive and entertaining. It's a great watch. I think the twist is a little silly and ham-handed. I had someone suggest to me. I was just talking about this with Amanda. Someone suggests to me that if they had put the twist in the middle of the movie and only had the Ray Fine's character know the twist,

And no one else know it might have changed the dynamic of the movie and maybe not made the twist feel as like rushed. Yeah, it was cool. I don't usually like being like your movie would have been better if you just done this because I don't fucking know what I'm talking about. But that was a cool idea that I think maybe would have made me feel a little bit better about the movie because it's, you know, the craft is really good. It's edited beautifully. The great performances like refines is.

exceptional in the movie. You know, you got Lithgow and Tucci and my guy Tedesco vaping. Like it's just some great stuff in that movie. But it felt a little bit like kind of silly and a little bit like ta-da with the reveal at the end that made me not like. Didn't feel a little like ta-da, felt a lot like ta-da. Yeah. It was like, how do we end this? Then somebody got an idea over coffee one day and all of a sudden that was the end of the movie. I didn't think he was better than Chalamet.

That Finds was really good. I thought what Chalamet did. Sierra and I did a little ringer movie's YouTube thing about it. I know you talked about it too, but I didn't love the movie. I really liked watching it. I don't know if I would watch it again, but I think I liked watching it for the actors and not the actual movie. I thought it was really conventional, but I really liked watching Chalamet. I liked all the main actors I thought were excellent. I didn't know Chalamet had that in them.

It's really proud of him. I felt a little, I don't know. Our little baby's all grown up. Yeah. You know, he did it, you know? The world's number one Bill Simmons fan is now the world's number one young movie star. Yeah, I fully agree. I agree with everything that you said in your conversation with Chris. I feel the same way about the movie. I think the movie is, you know, James Mangold doesn't make like bad boring movies. You know, his movies are always like rock solid good watches.

This is by far, far from his best movie, in my opinion. I think it is pretty conventional. There's not a lot of story. I think the movie doesn't makes a good choice by not trying to explain who and what Bob Dylan is, that he's more like this spirit that moved through this period of history and Chalamet embodies that spirit really well. And obviously his like singing and guitar playing is, it's amazing. I mean, it's just my expectations where C plus is a win.

And it was in a, it was in a range. It's a hundred percent. I really think he could win. I really think people's heads have been turned. I think a lot of people had the kind of lowered expectations that you were talking about. I know I sure did. I was terrified to watch this movie as a psychotic Bob Dylan fan. I think for the most part got the idea of Bob Wright. I wish the movie tried to explore a little bit more of the why instead of just like showing you stuff happening. But, um,

You know, the friend of mine, a friend of mine had a really good point that I was hanging out with a New Year's Eve about the movie that so much of the movie hinges on the person that's watching it, understanding the before and after of Dylan, which they try to do in the movie and they're just kind of showing you. But if you're under 35, you don't get it. You don't understand it because you don't know the backstory of it that it was like music was like this.

And then it became like this. And it wasn't just Dylan, it was the Rolling Stones. It was a lot of different art, the Beatles, all these different artists who went from basically black on white TV to color TV in music over the course of four years. And the movie shows us that, and it's trying to tell us that, but I don't know if it ever gets a message across for somebody like my daughter who doesn't know anything about the 60s. You know what I mean? Yeah, I do. And I mean, I think the movie is not really pitched at her. I think there's like a little bit of a,

kind of a bait and switch here because Xiaomi is the star. So of course, like in theory, it's a movie that should appeal to young people, but it's a movie for boomers and for older people. You know, it's people like I was texting with Julie yesterday and she said that her parents like were profoundly affected by the movie. And because they grew up, you know, admiring Bob and listening to folk music and that being a meaningful part of their lives. And I mean, how could it not be? You know, like if my mom would have loved this movie,

She would have just felt so close to it, and she would have loved the idea of a young movie star getting Bob Dylan the way that Shallamay clearly does. If you listen to his press interviews, he knows everything about Dylan. He's read every book. He knows every bootleg recording. He is encyclopedic about it, which is pretty cool, but you can't expect a 19-year-old to have that same level of information. Hopefully what it will do is it will put people on a path to finding out about some of this stuff and the way the culture shifted over that time that you're describing.

Yeah, I felt differently. Like I kind of felt like I knew everything in the movie. So I was learning basically nothing. So I was just conscious on the actors.

Right, there are no surprises at all if you knew. I mean, you're a bigger Dylan fan than I was there. One like, we were like, oh my God, I didn't realize there was nothing like that. No, and I said this before the movie even came out that, for me personally, that's just not the most interesting period of time in Dylan's life. It's also a period of time that is extremely chronicled. Like there are documentaries, multiple documentaries about this period of his life. There is lots of contemporaneous footage of him talking during that period.

But once you get into like 66 through 1980, there's not a lot nearly as much. I mean, he's doing way less press. He disappears for like years at a time. He shifts his musical style so dramatically. So that stuff, all that is like that's discoverable territory where you could interpret what was happening. What we see in 62 through 65.

That's legendary American music history. Yeah. So I felt the same way I just didn't feel like I was seeing anything new, but maybe that's not the movie's job. Maybe the movie's job is just to represent that period in time and they did the best they could. It was missing that one, like walk the line. I always had Johnny Cash, volatile guy.

It's relationship with this way. It had like this hook that I was like, I kind of want to know more about this. I always wondered what this was and it dove into it. And this didn't really have the Joan Baez relationship, but it didn't feel like just wasn't his, wasn't his riveting.

Yeah, I mean, you're describing like dramatic tension, you know, like white line has dramatic tension and there's no dramatic tension in the Bob Dylan movie. It's like he came along. He blew people's minds. He was the first meaningful folk artist who was performing all original songs. People are literally in the audience staring with their mouth open at a 23 year old kid explaining God and the universe and the way we relate to each other. And they were take breathless, taken away, falling in love with him. Everyone all fell in love with him at the same time. And then he betrayed them by leaving their movement. That's, that's the whole movie.

So there is no dramatic tension in that story. It doesn't mean it's not fun to watch. It is fun to watch. Two movies that I'll kick their coverage for me. Okay. We haven't talked about this. I really liked heretic.

I thought it was one of the best horror movies in a while. And I just was late seeing it. My daughter had signed the theater and she's like, you've got to see this movie. I knew nothing about it. I intentionally read nothing. And I thought it was one of the best horror movies of the last 10 years. And I don't even know if you'd call it a horror movie, whatever, whatever genre that is.

I thought it was really cool, really well-written. I liked the actors. I thought Hugh Grant was great. It made me think about shit. I just thought it was really good. It wouldn't be shocking if that was one of the 10 best films, right?

I think it's on the outside, but maybe not as far on the outside as I would have thought three months ago. Hugh Grant is nominated for Golden Globe, which is happening on Sunday. In like 12 years of knowing you. Golden Globe to me is like rotten tomatoes for you and I bring up rewatchables. It's a little bit more respectable than it was five years ago. They're owned by different people. They have different voters, but you're right. It's not that big deal.

So in 12 years, I don't know if you and I have ever had a Hugh Grant conversation. Where do you stand on Hugh Grant? Fascinating career. We're three plus decades now. Go back to early 90s with him. And there's been a lot of iterations from him. And now he's kind of into this old creepy English guy version of Hugh Grant, which I'm all in for.

He's playing a lot of dirt bags and villains, which has been very fun. Thank you, Grant. It's great. So you'd like to take two or did I like it more than you love the first two thirds love the like thriller. Man traps to women in his house stuff. It gets a little funky at the end for me when it kind of twists on the story. I thought some of it was interesting and some of it I didn't love as much, but I love the writing and the like.

It was very like post Tarantino, like Guy explains all his theories to people stuff that I really, I always think is fun and Hugh Grant is so game and, you know, him making the connections between like the Holies and Radiohead and Lana Del Rey and the board game stuff. I thought all that was so fun. So yeah, I dug it. And I really like those two young actresses, Sophie Thatcher, who's on yellow jackets, Chloe East, who was the girlfriend in the fablements, both of whom I think like could be big stars someday.

Yeah, but that also fits into 2024 where it was like, this movie I really like, but it was missing something. I agree with you the last 20 minutes.

It's like, ah, you landed the plane, but I kinda hit my head on the ceiling of the plane as you were landing it. But we made it. But I like that. I was really glad I was fun. Yeah, I like the guys who made it too. I just wasn't crazy about the ending. And Nickel Boys, I thought. And I'd heard some people mention it, but I just thought it was so inventive how the filmmaking was just a really cool movie. It was really unusual and unique, and it really stood out to me.

Did you find you watch it home? Yeah, which was probably a mistake. I wish I'd seen the theater. Did you find it challenging to lock into it? Because I saw it at a film festival and people were walking out, because it is really unusual the way that it's done. It's done in this first person, perspectival way where you are the character, essentially.

It was cool through the whole film. I never really seen a movie theater that it would make you want to almost want to throw up. So maybe it was better I saw it at home. It was disorienting at first for sure. I really, really like it. It's one of my favorite movies of the year. I think the guy who made it, who played point guard at Georgetown, by the way, Ramel Ross, who's best player, who's a great guy, super smart guy. But there's nothing like it. There's nothing like that movie. It's really deep, has a lot to say. And it's just really, really interesting the way that they made it. So I'm stoked that you like that.

Yeah, because it made me think that guy, maybe it's this next movie or two movies from now, we'll have an awesome movie. You know what I mean? Yeah. Like all the ingredients were there for, I want to see what this guy does next.

It's funny that you say that, though, because I had him on the show in December. Yeah. And he was like, I'm not really like a director. He's like, I'm a college professor. And if I want to make another movie, cool, if not, no, like his previous movie was a documentary that was nominated for an Oscar. But he was, he kind of, I wouldn't say he stumbled into it, but he's not strategic in the way that like all these directors I interview, they're always like, and then my next movie is going to be like a sci-fi epic.

He's not like that. He's just like, whatever, if a book comes along, I think he did the movie because the Brad Pitts production company called him and they were like, we liked your documentary. Do you have any thoughts on this novel by Colson Whitehead? And that's why he made it. Right. So two that didn't get there for me were the substance and baby girl, but I was glad I saw both. Okay. I've never wanted to watch either again.

Baby girl, I have people in my life, like my mother who absolutely hated it. And usually it's the kind of movie she likes because my mother's weird. But really good performances at the top of it, movies that we're trying to say stuff and took swings. I don't know how you've talked about both, but I just, I appreciated the swing. It just didn't, the movie, neither movie worked for me. The substance is exciting for me as a

Like a fan of crazy horror, you know, as a fan of body horror and this like explosive kind of stuff that is almost never built around female characters is like a female writer director. The whole movie is about the female perspective with the expectations are women in our society, etc, etc. So.

Seeing that and then watching her like basically go all the way with it make a two hour and 20 minute movie that's just like disgusting and explosively like primal like just like Puss and gore and blood dripping from Demi Moore like it's really gross And the fact that that movie is like an Oscar contender is so wild to me. I really liked it is just like an act of here's everything. It's so minimalist animal effort

Yeah. I don't know if it needed to be two hours, 20 minutes long, and I did not enjoy watching the last 30 minutes, which I think was the point of the movie. You're not supposed to enjoy the last 30 minutes. Exactly right. It is durational. It's like, sit through this and fucking watch what we do to women. That's what the end of the movie is. And what women do themselves because of how they feel about the expectations that they have. Baby girl, I think is a little less successful in the substance. I'm so interested in your mom not being into it because

It's obviously sort of an update on the erotic thriller. Well, that was her take. She was like, the 80s movies did this so much better. This is trying too hard not buying it. I don't understand why Nicole Kidman wanted to do a movie like she just, et cetera.

I would argue that it's like a little bit more of a black comedy than that, that it's almost like using the erotic thriller to springboard to make like a comedy of manners. Um, and that's meant to be received a little bit more humorously. Like everything Harris Dickinson is doing to Nicole Kidman in the movie is very funny to me, you know, like the glass of milk and ordering the glass of milk. I don't want to spoil the movie for anybody else. There's a couple of things in there that I was laughing in the theater and like not a lot of other people were.

And I was like, I think they went in expecting nine and a half weeks or expecting disclosure. And so maybe that was a marketing thing.

I think they wanted to push it as a sexy movie, and it is kind of a sexy movie, but it's very, I don't know, it's very humorous. I have interviewed the director of that movie a couple times now, and she's super funny, and very like, she's an actress, and she's very outgoing, and charismatic, and goofy. And so when you meet her, you're like, this is not supposed to be like some Adrienne line movie from 1989, like that's not her energy at all. But you know, your mom has got some of the goat tastes, so I'm not gonna challenge her.

knows for our two. I'm, as I told you, I'm not a gothic Dracula vampire guy. I'm just not who's not. I'm not the audience for that movie. Some people in my life really liked it. Some other people are like, eh, um, and he was like, he loved it. Yeah. That's been Dracula for my entire life though, or vampires or whatever, whatever version of this. Um, I just, for me personally, I'm not a fan. Break it down for me. Why do you never like any of them? I didn't even like the copalo one.

But is it about something about the blood sucking, the fangs, the Eastern European thing? What is it that you turned off? I don't know. It just doesn't work for me. I can't defend it. I can't explain it. I've just, even since I was a... The last one I liked was... They used to do the creature feature or whatever, the double features, the Christopher Lee movies. They would show all the time on Channel 56 in Massachusetts. The Hammer Horror War II. Yeah, and it was always like the Dracula ones or the...

Those movies from the 50s. I don't know. I just could never get there with any of them. I always was more like for horror. I was always more of the I want to be able to relate to this in some way. I can't relate to going to some weird dark mansion in the middle of nowhere and trying to figure out. I just doesn't work for me, but other people love it. Can I give you an opening to suggest Nosferatu for you? Nosferatu is a movie about real estate.

The whole movie is about... I did notice there was a redfin element to it. There is 100% a redfin element. Account summons a real estate agent to his castle because he wants to buy a little hacienda, a little pietta tear in Germany. And that's the plot engine of the movie. Guy wants to come to a German town. So selling sunset, dark Germany? Absolutely. Selling sunset with syphlitic metaphors about sex and blood.

I don't, it might've been better for me in the theater being trapped to it. Like being trapped to the screen versus I saw it at home. I'm sure that was a piece of it, but I was. Yeah. I mean, my wife falling asleep with a half hour to go was, was like minus a thousand on Fandall. And then that happened. And, uh, but what's weird is my daughter didn't like it, but my daughter's boyfriend loved it and saw it in the theater twice. I just think in like, if you Kyle loved it, like some people, like this is a type of genre they love.

Yeah, I mean, it's literally a 100-year-old thing. I mean, the original Nosferatu was in 1922, and it's a story that never expires. People just love vampires. They love vampire stories. I like vampire stories. I've probably seen hundreds of vampire movies at this point in my life. This one, you know, Robert Eggers is the director. He's made four movies now. All of his movies have the same kind of thing where there's like a

attention to period detail, the lighting and direction is so specific and focused and unique and his level of craftsmanship is basically unmatched in genre filmmaking. And that was the fun part to watch. It's an exceptionally well done movie. But if you don't like those stories, you don't like those stories. I've never, I don't even know if there's a vampire movie. I didn't even really like Buffy the Vampire Slayer and all that stuff. I just never got it.

You know, maybe I'm more of a werewolf guy. Is that possible? Well, the Wolfman is coming to theaters in January, starring Christopher Abbott and Julia Garner. It's a blown out. Okay. The brutalist I've not seen yet. It's 200 minutes. You send a very attacking text message to me over the weekend. What did you say? I said, I might not have the 200 minutes until after the playoffs. It might have to be like two weeks before the Oscars situation.

So two or three minutes is I could take a train from Back Bay Station in Boston to New York. And the brutalist wouldn't be over as I'm getting into New York.

Maybe you should watch it on the train ride, on your iPad. Just stuck on the XLR, watching Brutalist. I mean, you know, the- This seems like it's a movie for you. It seems like it's a movie for the die-hard movie nerds, and I get it. What's the runtime of the Godfather, Bill? Three hours? It's two hours and 55 minutes. Okay, so 175 minutes. So you're tacking on- You're getting a pair that- 20 minutes? 20 minutes to the Godfather?

Well, I'm only comparing it because other people have been comparing it because it's meant to be an American epic the same way that the Godfather is with big gestures and breathtaking performances and beautiful craft and a movie with full of ideas that is also extremely entertaining. I don't, you know, it's not as good as the Godfather. I'm not suggesting that. Have you seen it twice? I've seen it twice and I'm seeing it a third time on the big screen next week that I really, I really like this movie. I think it's not, it's not perfect. No movie is perfect, but I think that there's like a,

The conversation around how long it is and whether or not it's only for film nerds is like, I don't know, man, you like Apocalypse Now? You like The Godfather? You like great, grand, epic visionary movies. You like There Will Be Blood? It's in the same tradition. So what's the problem? What's the issue? You'll watch nine hours of a horrendous Netflix show. I'll watch 10 straight hours of NFL on Sunday and watch some of the worst quarterbacks we've had this decade.

That's right. I've watched how many hours of Aaron Rodgers have I watched in 2024 for fuck's sake? I can sit through three and a half hours of the brutalist. It seems like it's it's a can't miss her. Well, there's been some like like Roma and there's been some over the over the last 10 years. I'm just like, I just I'm tapping out. I don't I don't care. OK, here's what the case I'll make.

I think the second half of the movie has been much more controversial than the first. The movie is bifurcated. There's an intermission, a literal intermission, 15 minutes in the middle. The first half is just, here's the cell. It's a classic story of the American rise. An immigrant comes to the country and they try to make a better life for themselves. In this case, it's someone coming after surviving the Holocaust from Hungary. And he's an architect and an artist, but he has to start at the bottom and he has to build himself up and he has to have opportunities come up his way.

So he blogs, he blogs for Hoopsight, and he does rumors, and he manifests trades. And the movie is just like the first 90 minutes of the movie is just up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up. And it's incredibly exciting. And the second half is, you know, it's a roller coaster. Roller coasters are fucking fun. The brutalist, is it pretentious art film? Yes. Is it also an incredibly fun movie with like big bull performances? Are you a guy, Pierce guy?

For a long time, never understood why Hollywood stopped biting. He's incredible in this movie. Very funny, ridiculous over the top. He's a very familiar character. I think if you can carve out the time. I just got to clear out. Nobody in the house. I just got to clear out focus, put my phone in another room and just trap myself. One room, one room without Pistons Hornets. You don't have to watch that game tonight. Just turn yourself over to the brutalist.

And maybe you'll learn something about yourself. Even here, tick. I had little Sixers Kings going on the bottom left TV. Keep me grounded. Brutal is no basketball on any TVs. That honestly, that hurts. That like hurts my brain. The idea of running. See what was happening with, you know, it wasn't like it was not that bad. This is for your post, Mike Brown firing.

No, this was last night. Oh, last night, OK. Yeah. So you were like, I want to see what who took over for Mike Brown, I don't even know. Doug, the great Doug Christie.

Oh, right. Former basketball wife star. Right. Was Jackie there? Was she in the front row? Probably. Probably made two little finger points on it. So who wins best film right now? I mean, the odds really are not yet until we get the final 10. It seems like it's wide open. You know, Amanda came back to the show today. Yeah. Congrats, Amanda. Welcome back. She's back. And she, she was like, I think it's wicked and the wicked thing is happening. And if that happens, like, I, I might need to go to Hawaii for a few months. I, I might need to bail for a while.

four minutes. That's how far you made it. Yeah. This stuff for me. I mean, that was what she said too. She was like, it's not for me. I mean, I'm in the business. If I had a four year old daughter, like if I, or if I was you and Tate, I would have gone. I would have sat through it, but it's not. I'm out.

My daughter liked it, didn't love it. Um, I think there's two kinds of movie people. There's the kind like you or the movie where you have to see literally everything, right? Then there's the, the pick and choose diehard movie fans. And I've hit the pick and choose part of my life.

at this point. And it's like, I'm just not gonna, I'm not gonna see everything anymore. I'm gonna, I'm gonna, and if there's a couple of people in my life who are really, really pushing a movie that I trust, I'm like, oh, they seem really, all right, fine. But for the most part, I don't feel, there's also way more movies out than there's ever been. And the, in the old days, there was always like, you kind of knew, oh, this is an awards movie. This is a big popcorn movie. This is a movie trying to get a lot of people.

Now there's just a lot of movies coming out where I don't even know what the goal was the goal of the movie to make money. Like who, who greenlit this? It was the goal to try to make this in under three million. It feels like we have more of those than ever before and it's really hard to.

Tell which of the essential ones to watch. It's a great question. I thought about it too. I was just watching an interview between Conan O'Brien and Billy Crystal and Billy Crystal was talking about his experience hosting the Academy Awards. And Conan was like, you had it easy, man. There were like 38 movies and everyone had seen all of them.

And now there's like 300 releases just in America, every year. Plus all the streaming shit. Then you start adding in like the carry-ons and all those kind of movies. And it's just, I just feel like there's more choices than we've ever had before. And weirdly, the TV's gotten worse.

Yeah, I'm curious to see if TV shows are better next year. I've never watched as little TV as I watched in 2024. This is the fewest. I mean, since I was five years old, probably, but yeah, I don't know. I, the movie stuff is hard. It's obviously making me crazy because I feel like I have to watch everything and that's not healthy. It's like it doesn't make sense to try to watch 300 new movies a year every year. I'm going to fucking burn out, but they're also getting longer.

That's the other piece. It's like when we do rewatchables and Craig's like, whoa, it's an hour 34. Like I'm so excited. All these, all these movies now feel like they have to be gigantic, but it's still, I feel like the creativity is still there. Um, I think there's

more choices than ever for what, you know, what you like. I still feel like there's, we have a nice generation of younger actors now that we were really, you came on here a couple of years ago, we were really worried about the next generation. And now I feel like there's so many like under 35 under 40 actors that I really believe in now.

It's a great time. I mean, just looking at Dune Part 2, you know, it's like, it's Chalamet, Florence Pugh's, and Daya Austin Baller. Like, we're good. We got like that. Even at Florence Pugh Andrew Garfield movie that my wife and daughter loved, like, I'm glad people are making those movies though. It's like, here's our audience. It's cancer and cooking and this lady's going to die in the end. That was the original title. Cancers and watches together. Yeah.

I like that movie because it felt like 1996. It was it's just a really good 1996 draw like weepy. And yeah, I mean, look, you have to work harder than you used to have to work to know. It used to just be like by understanding weekly. I'll tell you everything you need to see anything beyond that. You're a real film fan. You're a real cinephile. Now, I don't know. I mean, there's movies I haven't seen that came out this year, they came out last year.

And in theory, I should know. I should have seen everything. It's impossible to make the time and to recommend all the right stuff. So it's challenging. But I think 2025 is going to be a good culture year. I feel pretty strong. Well, we know that TV is going to get better. And hopefully, there's some good movie stuff, too. All right. You can listen to fantasy in the big picture. You can hear them in the rewatchables every so often. Congrats on the Knicks. Congrats on not having Aaron Rodgers in your life anymore after this weekend. Probably. We'll see. What if they bring him back?

I can't imagine. I texted you that Garrett Wilson, the move needs to be. He just needs to go off on Aaron Rodgers. And just the Jets fan base would be like, finally, our savior spoken. Let him just say the words him or me out loud into a microphone. I would love them. Yeah. That sounds great. All right. Happy New Year, Sean. Thanks, Bill.

All right, my dad is here. We're taping this 1230 Pacific time on Thursday. We're three days away from Bill's Patriots waiting to see if the Patriots are going to do the right thing and actually not intentionally lose the game, but maybe maybe structure things a certain way so that they don't get a win. What's the mood like in Boston with this Patriots team as we head into week 18?

Well, people I've talked to this week are furious that Mayo is thinking of even starting May. Yeah. I mean, he almost had two concussions in two games now.

He led us to believe in a press conference over the weekend that he was going to start the other rookie and give him a shot. And now all of a sudden they interviewed him last night. And it's typical of what he's done all year at flip flops. You know, it seems like he changes his mind or listens to different people. And now he says, well, may he's healthy? You know, we want to give him a chance.

Nobody wants to give them a chance. We want to shut them down. Right. Yeah, there's two reasons you want to shut them down. One, he gives us the best chance to win. They don't want to win because of all these extra assets you get with the pick. The other thing is he's getting the crap kicked out of them. Right. And at this point, I'm just happy like that hit he took in the Chargers game. I'm just happy to.

put him on the shelf, Gonzalez same thing, get him out of there. Let's just get out of the season and then kind of figure out what we have with the team. Instead, like to win this game and to lose out on all the extra assets you would get from a trade down.

To me, it almost looks like organization. You have to look at it and go, who's running the team? Does the coach think he's going to be there? Does the GM think he's going to be there? What do the owners want out of this? And it's a recurring theme that we've had for a year. It doesn't seem like anybody is really in charge. It's ludicrous. It's apparent, at least that's the score. But if you listen to talk radio here, that Mayo thinks if he wins this last game, he shows ownership that he's got the team back on track.

Meanwhile, if I'm ownership.

I'm surprised they haven't suggested to him very strongly that shut me down. Gonzalez didn't practice all week. He had a concussion in the last game, shut him down. He's probably shut down anyway. And play all the reserves. Yeah, let's see what we got with Joe Milton. Yeah, I'd love to watch Joe Milton actually. They say he's got a rocket of an arm. I'd love to see him out there. Now, if he played too well, I'd be upset.

We're in line for that number one draft pick. We've had a terrible season.

Don't let the coach think that he can save his job by winning a meaningless game. But this is what happens when the coaches motivations and the GM's motivations aren't aligned with the owners motivations, right? If the coach knows he's going to be here next year, you're totally fine throwing the game away because you know the team, it's the best thing you can do for the team. If you feel like you're on thin ice, you're thinking about it differently. But the guy who's really on thin ice is Bob Kraft.

who I think over the last year, it's been one of the biggest turns, I think, of a fan base feeling about somebody that belonged to the fan base, where you would go to these Celtic games. Every time they showed craft, if he was in the stands, standing in your vase chain or huge cheers. This year was not the case, right? Well, this year, I've only seen him at one game, and he wasn't even recognized on the Jumbotron. He was sitting next to the owner.

So I knew he was there, but they didn't recognize him.

And the same is true when Belichick used to come to the games. He'd get a standing ovation. He hasn't come this year. Yeah, which I guess makes sense. He's probably got any jobs. Yeah, he's got a lot of jobs elsewhere. Yeah. And he has to satisfy his young girlfriend. But, you know, the craft thing is interesting. I bet there's a piece of Bob Kraft that doesn't want to finish as the number one worst team in the league. There's an ego thing maybe for the owner too.

And you think so? I hope you're that right. I hope I'm that right. But I mean, to have the worst team in the league, that takes an ego hit for the owner of the team too. Well, I remember when we were talking about Missoula after that first year and whether they should bring him back or not. And we were really concerned about a bunch of stuff that we saw during this season from him. But we were always factoring in.

This was about as unfair of a situation as somebody could possibly be in. He gets the job right before the year. He loses, you know, he's the number four assistant. He loses other assistants that were on the team during the year. He's young. He's friends with some of the guys on the team. Everything that there was, the Grant Williams, Marcus Smart pieces. Right. There was a case like, hey, they give him the offices and they give him a better bench of people. They made the Grant Williams, Marcus Smart trades.

Let's see what he's got, and he's gotten better as it's going on. I don't know what the case is with Mayo. I agree. It's a good comparison because

Remember that that Celtic team still achieved pretty highly. Yeah, that team won a lot of games and game seven in the Eastern Finals. So it wasn't like he was a dumpster fire. No, I'm not defending Missoula. I think he has learned a lot over the two years now, three years. You promoted him. He's first row Joe for you now. He's just Joe Missoula. Yeah. Yeah, we like Joe Missoula.

Mayo is a lot. He's a different case. His press conferences are even when he gets interviewed by a journalist. He's all over the place. I don't think he really has an idea.

what he has in mind for this team. Yeah. And even even as evidence this whole week, is he going to play May? Is he not going to play May? Does he want to win this game? Well, he got interviewed the other day, said, you know, he wants to win. He's not interested in draft placement. The fans are. Yeah. I mean, we are. Well, it's such a dramatic difference. Yeah.

in assets. And I'm not a huge tanking guy and I get why it's, I think sometimes it could be really cancerous if that just becomes a strategy. When you're in the situation, they're in here where the quarterbacks banged up and it just makes no sense. I don't know why they wouldn't want the number one pick. But the draft pick aside, I don't want me to get hurt.

Yeah, we might have the worst offensive line in the league. It's certainly the worst we've ever had since you and I have rooted for that. I can remember the worst for the Patriot team. I don't trust that he won't get hurt with this offensive line, unable to protect them. He shouldn't be out there. Now, I guess that begs the question.

Any quarterback to put out there is vulnerable, but you can't put out the franchise quarterback. Well, especially when he's, he's a little bit reckless, which is a great quality. Unless like that, you know, what he did last week in the Chargers game was, was pretty reckless. Like he was going out of bounds. He spun back in, ends up taking this huge hit. It's the first drive of the game. Um, yeah, it's weird. I feel bad for Mayo cause it seems like a nice guy. And I just think sometimes

It's the wrong job. He was never, I don't know if he was ever actually the defensive coordinator. I don't, I think he was, you know, part of the team, Belichick's obviously running so much of it, but he's just seemed overmatched this whole year. The press conferences, even though they don't, they don't matter that much, but they kind of do too because they're the connection and the fan base and the connection is seeming like you're stable and you have some sort of North Star that's guiding you. And even,

You know, that the reminders, Stevenson, he's not starting this week. We're starting Gibson and it's like, no, actually reminders started. Hey, what happened, coach? I was a coach's decision. It's like, no other team does this where the guy just changes his mind. And he's had like five of those. Yeah, he probably has had more than five, but, uh,

I can't say the fan base here has any trust in his ability to be a head coach. It's interesting. For the two years before Yellow Check left, Mayo was on TV like a pregame show or after game show. He discussed the game and the defense and he was very eloquent. He knew his business. It's a lot different though stepping into the head coaching job. You and I talk a lot about

uh, assistant superintendents or assistant coaches. And sometimes you're meant to stay in the assistant role and do a great job. Right. To be the number two guy or the number three guy versus think he's, he's in over his head and he's overwhelmed. It just seems like he's overwhelmed. Um, well, the big thing for him though is that

I mean, every head coach has to have some sort of specialty, right? Like sometimes there's like the culture coaches and it's somebody like Harbaugh who's like, he's good at everything as a coach, but he's really about like a culture and coaching different parts of the team. I think the best coaches have always been guys that do everything and have some sort of

identity of that. But then there's other coaches who are like, well, at least I really know this. I'm really good at offense. I'm really good at defense. This week, he was supposed to be this defensive guy. And the defense is abominable. I mean, it's basically the same guys. Gonzalez is back. They basically flip Gonzalez for Barmore. They lost Bentley this year. But for the most part, it's the same guys. The secondary is just a train wreck.

And DVOA wise, I think they're the worst team in the week. They never seem like they know what they're doing. And that's where you get to the other side, real out of the penalties and all the stupid stuff. They just don't seem well-coached. I don't see anyone can watch them and be like, oh, well, they're doing this well. They're not doing anything well. It's possible Mayo would have been helped if he had picked the right defense of the coordinator or picked a different offensive coordinator. Well, he's obviously the vampelle was the 12th pick.

Others turned it down. Yeah. The defensive coordinator that he picked was a line coach. Yeah, that guy is not staying there. He's not staying next year. No, but lots of teams have a philosophy of bringing in actually the Celtics this year and a little bit last year as well.

Missoula got the opportunity to bring in his own coaches. Now, who did he bring in? He brought in veteran coaches. He brought in guys like to sell who have been around the league a long time and can help him.

you know, as he's learning over the two and a half years on the job, the Patriots didn't do any of that. You know, they, they're offensive coordinators certainly has experience, but I've never seen that he's successful where he's been. So they brought in a guy who hasn't been successful from Cleveland and elsewhere. One thing he's good at is admitting that he hasn't done a good job. Like I actually see he seems like a nice guy, but it's like, you're the same guy who's running bubble screens on third and 17 and right now.

We're going backwards more than we're going forwards in some of these drives. So the question for me is sometimes you can just miss with the coach. And this is, I tweeted out all the one and out coaches that have happened in the NFL. It happens. It seems like it's about once a year where somebody's like, ah, we just had, we just picked the wrong guy. Like Nathaniel Hackett on the Broncos. Right. We were like, ah, this guy's kind of a disaster. We should probably get out of this one. And they fired him during the season. Um,

And the question for me with Mayo is how attached is craft to the decision? Because this was his guy. He basically was out and said, I decided five years ago, this is my coach. He really believed in this guy as a person, human being. And by the way, he might be a great guy.

I just haven't seen any evidence. He's a real head coach. And the problem is you have variables sitting there who we know is a good coach. And that's who everybody knowing that wants. And it's, you bring this guy because, you know, they talk about, oh, can we get T Higgins? Like I don't think they're going to get anybody if, if to the outside world, they look poorly coached and poorly run. Drake Bay is a great asset, but that's not enough to like lure people to come here.

I wonder, though, if you're bringing up what's part of the problem, craft hand-picked Belichick's successor. It makes him look bad if the guy gets fired after one year. Couldn't he extricate himself with it by being like, look,

I love this guy. I really believe in him. My mistake was giving him a job that maybe he wasn't 100% ready for yet because he didn't have enough experience as a coordinator. Like there's ways you can get out of that. Yeah, I'm not sure. Bob Kraft's age that that's the route he's going to take. He could make him vice president of the paper company. Just move him over to the gym. Just move him up.

Could we get up co-GMs? Yeah. I mean, he wouldn't do a worse job as a GM than Elliot Wolff did. That's the whole other issue of the GM. Wow. You look at our draft from last April. It's horrendous. Now, they had to take May. He fell in their lap. Yeah. They couldn't not take May in the first round. You look at the picks after that.

That's why I'm a little worried. Yeah. You know, even if we finish with the worst team in the league and we get this big package from the Giants or somebody Oakland or Las Vegas. Excuse me. Are you confident that we're going to make good draftics? No, no, but that's the thing is.

At least last year compared to this year, now they have this asset. They have a franchise QB. They also hopefully will have the number one pick in the draft. They have Gonzalez. They have all this cap space. So if you're looking for him from the outside and you're somebody who actually knows your shit, that's a good job now. I don't know if it was a good job a year ago. What was the job? It's like, I hope Drake May is good. And that's really about all you're bringing to the table. Now it's like,

Yeah, we have franchise QB, like you can really like build something. I just like, we've seen it happen too many times. Like Harbaugh goes into the Chargers. They probably had more assets than we have heading into the off season, but just the move from Brandon Staley to Harbaugh was worth five, six wins and now they're in the playoffs. And it feels like the Pats, like do you see their schedule? They're playing the NFC South next year. They're playing all the last place themes.

You think, it wouldn't be that hard to turn this around. I think that's a good point. For some reason, despite finishing with the third worst team last year, we had one of the toughest schedules in the league. I know. Now, some of those teams didn't pan out as well as projected, but it does seem like we have an easier schedule next year. And you're right, teams turn around in the NFL.

But they typically turn around because the whole administrative structure coach GM would have has been turned around. Well, Washington did it, right? Dan Quinn, the hard Adam Peters, they did all these super smart free agent signings of these kind of second tier dudes. They got Daniels, they got their quarterback, and they immediately built a great team around them.

Um, like for what the, a great team for what the ceiling was, right? They're going to be a 10 win team. I don't know. Nobody saw that coming, but you're your home team, the charges. Nobody expected. I mean, you expected it. You expected with the coaching change. I, yeah. Cause I thought Staley was that bad last year. Yeah. I just think you could kind of tell when an NFL coach doesn't have it at this point. You know, so anyway, we'll see what happens.

nerve-racking week 18 pass game, that would be unbelievable if they somehow beat the bills for no reason. Well, I mean, last year, we won an inexplicable game that we should. Nebraska's game. Yeah. And it cost us the same kind of draft. Kyle and I watched it together. I know we ended up with Drake, who might end up being the best guy out of all these guys, though. So we're taping this for the Celtics little road trip here.

Celtics are 24 and 9. You've been to a bunch of the games. What's not going well with this season? What's missing? Defense, defensive energy, defensive effort. It's inconsistent. It's like they try to turn it on, usually in the fourth quarter. It's helped them at times to win games that it looked like they were going to lose.

And then other times they just haven't been able to come back. The other thing I've noticed, and this is obvious, we're getting the best effort from every team that comes in here. Yeah, the bullseye games. Yeah. I think we've lost six home games already. We only lost four last year. Some of them have been close. A couple of them have been crazy games that we weren't even in the game. Yeah. You know, I could say it's been injuries, but a lot of teams have had injuries this year.

The Porzingis thing, you and I, when they traded for Porzingis, we liked the trade with one caveat, his injury history. He got through almost all of last year into the playoffs, pretty healthy. And now we're seeing little things happen. And then the other guy, holiday, a terrific addition, great veteran on the team, but missing some games.

He's a good example of the three point shooting. I think he was 40 something percent last year. He's 34% this year, pushing us the same thing. It houses down to houses down to. I mean, the only guy who's really up is a protrude. It's inconsistency and the defensive effort is not always there. And I don't know if it's like an effort or they just think they can turn it on when they need to.

or it's the injuries or a combination of all of that. And then on top of that, every team that comes in here wants to be the champions. You can see it. When Philly came in, Christmas Day,

That's the best game for like played all year. Yeah, that was a game seven for them. I went to the game. I saw in person that Brooklyn game when they still had all their guys and those guys were going all out and it was going to be the highlight of their year if they beat the Celtics in Boston. Yes. And we're seeing a lot of that. You know what's interesting about that though? Because we've seen this go the other way after you win a title where you win the title and then the next year you're even better and more awesome.