Roche CEO: Future of cancer treatment, AI in Medicine and Trial Challenges
en
November 20, 2024
TLDR: In this podcast episode, Nicolai discusses Roche's leadership in cancer treatment and advancements in diagnostics with CEO Thomas Schinecker. Topics include precision medicine, AI applied to drug discovery, Europe vs China health care innovation, and challenges in global clinical trials.
In this compelling episode of Nicolai Tangen's podcast, Roche's CEO Thomas Schinecker discusses the future of cancer treatment, the integration of AI in medicine, and the challenges faced in clinical trials, particularly in Europe. Here are the key insights from the discussion:
Roche's Leadership in Cancer Treatment
- Historical Background: Roche has been a leader in oncology for over two decades, fueled by significant investments in research and development (R&D). Currently, they allocate nearly 50% of their global R&D budget towards oncology, emphasizing their commitment to innovate and set new standards of care.
- Breakthrough Milestones: Schinecker highlights the transformative understanding of the human genome, which drastically reduced the cost of sequencing from billions of dollars to mere hundreds. This advancement enables tailored cancer treatments by targeting specific oncogenes.
- Immunotherapy Advancements: The conversation also covers groundbreaking progress in cancer immunotherapies, particularly the development of personalized cancer vaccines designed to enhance the immune system's ability to combat cancer cells.
The Role of AI in Drug Discovery
- AI's Impact: Schinecker discusses how artificial intelligence is revolutionizing drug discovery, particularly in researching and developing new medicinal molecules. AI helps streamline processes by identifying the most promising compounds faster than traditional methods.
- Efficiency Gains: With AI, Roche aims to reduce their R&D costs by 20% while speeding up development time by 40%. This could mean an increase in the number of drugs developed and launched per year, significantly benefitting patients.
Challenges in Clinical Trials
- Europe's Position: Schinecker addresses the concerning trend of Europe falling behind countries like China and the US in conducting clinical trials. The European clinical trial share has halved over the past decade, primarily due to bureaucratic hurdles that delay processes and limit innovation.
- Recommendations for Improvement: Streamlining approval processes and reducing bureaucracy is essential for improving the efficiency of clinical trials in Europe, enabling faster healthcare innovations that can save lives.
Innovations in Healthcare
- Brain Shuttle Technology: Roche's work on brain shuttle technology aims to help larger molecules breach the blood-brain barrier, enabling more effective treatment of neurological conditions like Alzheimer's and Parkinson's disease. This could significantly change treatment outcomes for patients.
- Link Between Obesity and Disease: Schinecker stresses the importance of addressing obesity as a significant health issue that correlates with various diseases, including cancer. Roche has transitioned to focusing on preventive care, recognizing obesity as a root cause that can lead to multiple chronic health problems.
Roche's Business Model and Market Position
- Integrated Pharma and Diagnostics: Roche is unique in integrating both pharmaceuticals and diagnostics under one roof. This synergy enhances their ability to develop targeted treatments based on accurate diagnostics, fulfilling the growing trend towards preventive healthcare.
- Global Market Leadership: With significant market positioning in oncology and diagnostics, Roche stands as a top-three global player in cancer treatments while also leading in various therapeutic areas, including neuroscience and hemophilia.
Conclusion: A Path Forward in Oncology and Innovation
Schinecker concludes the conversation with an optimistic outlook on cancer treatment developments and the pivotal role of Roche in driving these changes. As precision medicine and AI facilitate breakthroughs, the future of oncology appears promising, albeit with challenges that require strategic interventions, particularly in Europe. This episode encapsulates a critical moment in healthcare evolution, underscoring the importance of innovation, collaboration, and leadership in battling cancer and other debilitating diseases.
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Hi everyone, I'm Nicola Tangen, the CEO of the Norwegian Southern Wealth Fund and today we have Thomas Shinaker, the CEO of Roche, which is one of the leading healthcare companies in the world.
Roche was founded in 1896, so it's really old. Lots of tradition have really innovated in healthcare, saved millions and millions of people. And we are proud that we own 2.3% of the company worth more than $6 billion. So a big thanks Thomas for joining us today. Thank you very much for the invitation.
So Thomas, when you drive into Basel, right, you have a rush on one side of the river, Novartis on the other side of the river, two of the leading pharma companies in the world. So how come that this little Swiss town has grown to become one of the super centers for bio pharma? I think it's all in the history of that region, starting with the chemical industry and then later moving into the pharma part of the industry.
So I think it's all basically in the history of that region. And located in the center of Europe, it's actually quite ideally located. In addition, it also has an ecosystem in terms of good universities, good educational system in general. And I think this really attracts a lot of people around the world, really talented people that can drive the innovation.
Well, we love it when we see these kind of hubs of different types of industries. Now, one of the things with the leader in cancer, and I read this book called The Emperor of All Melodies about the incredible progress that's happened in cancer survival rates of the last 50 years, could you just briefly take us through the main milestones in that development?
Yeah, so on the ecology side, I think one of the major breakthroughs was clearly the understanding of our genome. If you look back in 2003, it costs billions to sequence one genome and took, I think, more than 10 years to sequence a single genome. Now you can do that within just days.
and it cost you hundreds of Swiss francs or dollars, whatever currency you're looking into. So really understanding the genome was a real breakthrough. And with that, you could understand better the drivers of what actually drives cancer, certain oncogenes, et cetera. And with that, you can target much more precisely the root cause of cancer. Then I think the other breakthrough was when we found a way on how to use antibodies
something that naturally occurs in our body, but to take these antibodies and target them much more precisely at different diseases, including cancer. And I think cancer immunotherapies are a great example of that, where you can actually activate the own immune system to fight the cancer.
And I think we'll go more in that direction as well. One topic we're working on is the personalized cancer vaccine. So really in how you can even more enhance your own immune system to fight off the cancer. So there are a number of steps that have been happening. And on the other hand, I think there's a lot of innovation that can still happen and a long way to go to really eradicate cancer. How strong is your leadership in cancer treatment now?
We've been one of the leading companies in oncology for, I would say, the last two decades, at least. First, with the acquisition of Genentech, where we actually got a lot of access to this know-how, on how to engineer antibodies to better target different cancer.
you know, targets. And at the same time, you know, we need to continue to invest in research and development oncology. Right now, we're investing about 50% of our global R&D budget, so 50% of $13 billion into the ecology space because, you know, we want to continue to drive innovation and set the next standards of care. And how would you define your market positions in the other areas?
So we are a leader in healthcare overall. If you look at Just by Revenue, Roche is the second biggest healthcare company in the world, with both having pharma and diagnostics under one roof. On the diagnostic side, we're clearly the market leader.
And in pharma, we're the leader in a number of different spaces. I think neuroscience is one area where we're clearly the market leader, hemophilia, we're the market leader. In ophthalmology, we're in the process of becoming the market leader. And in ecology, we're now one of the top three companies in the world in terms of cancer medicines.
So you have, on the last call, you said you have 20 new products in the pipeline, which nine has been launched. So when you look at that pipeline, how excited are you compared to what you have been historically? If you look at the last 10 years,
of 15 years even. We've launched about two new medicines every year and this is quite a feat. If you look at the fact that to develop a new medicine it takes on average around 13 years and from the beginning of development all the way to the launch of a medicine
only about one out of 10 makes it. Now, this is not a raw specific number. This is just an industry number. So launching two every year is quite a feat. And that's the rate we want to continue. And if you continue that rate, we'll launch 20 medicines also in this decade. Now, in our pipeline, we have many, many more potential medicines. But there's always nutrition. And so you have to work on many things to get just two out of the door at the end.
Now the big thing, of course, of the last couple of years have been the obesity space where you did have the opportunity to enter. Now you have entered at a later stage. Just what happened there? Why were you a bit late out of the books?
Yeah, actually, Roche was also a leader in cardiovascular metabolic diseases in the past. And back in 2010, 2011, we actually had one of these incretants in our pipeline.
And also Chugai, one of our dollar companies, has developed an oral incretin. Now, as everything in life, sometimes you make right decisions. Sometimes you don't make the right decision. I think we've made a lot of very good decisions. And that's why we're a leader in areas like Motupus Corrosus or hemophilia. But I would say here, clearly, we should have stayed in this space throughout the phase of the last decade.
Because the topic about obesity is also a topic beyond just adipose tests. It's a topic of other diseases. If you look at what diseases are caused by obesity, cancer,
You know, there's a higher rate of cancer in obese patients than non-obese patients. If you look at kidney diseases, if you look at different eye diseases, if you look at potentially neurological diseases like Alzheimer's and Parkinson's. So obesity really has influence much broader. And so by tackling this, we actually go into prevention of diseases. And this is what health care system want from us. Health care systems want us to move more towards the area of prevention.
Are you surprised by how many problems are linked to obesity? No, I'm not surprised at all. If you look at the global population, about 50% of the world's population is obese at this stage. So in order to tackle some of these home abilities, we will have to tackle the topic of obesity.
Now, you're also working on brain shuttle technology, which allows larger molecules to enter the blood brain barrier. What can this do?
So this will be transformative, especially for diseases that happen in the brain, like neurological diseases, multiple sclerosis, Alzheimer and Parkinson's, just to name a few. And what this technology does, it actually helps the antibody, which is a big molecule, to get much more easily into the brain.
If you take a normal medicine, only or even less than half a percent of this medicine that you inject into the body actually makes it to the brain. So it's very hard to treat diseases that happen in the brain. And why is that? Well, we have this blood brain barrier. And this blood brain barrier is there to protect our brain from viruses, from bacteria, from other things that could go into the brain and could damage our brain.
And with this brain shuttle, which is a protein attached to the antibody, we can actually transport the antibody much more easily into the brain. And with that, we can treat diseases that otherwise could not be treated as effectively. In fact, we have a very promising Alzheimer medicine in our pipeline. And this antibody actually uses exactly this technology.
And we hope to launch that by 28, 29 time frame, because then we can really tackle one of the biggest problems in healthcare today. Now, you work with a lot of different partners in many different areas. Have you done it for a long period of time? What do you think is the key to forming successful collaborations in the farm industry?
Why are some of them successful and some of them are not? Yeah, so we invest about 13 billion Swiss francs every year in our research and development. And with that, we're actually the highest spender in terms of R&D in the industry.
Now, even though that sounds a lot and it is a lot, it's only a fraction of the total money spent in healthcare in R&D. So it's clear that if you want to be at the frontier of innovation, you cannot only rely on projects that run in-house, but you also actually have to tackle and understand some of these projects that are happening outside of our company.
us and the other pharma companies are constantly at the lookout to find very promising projects, compounds that we could bring in house. Now, if we look at our pipeline and what we've delivered over the last 10, 15 years, about 50% of the molecules that we've launched, the new medicines came from Roche and the other 50% came from the outside.
On the other hand, what I mentioned in the beginning is that if you look at the whole development process, it's a long process. It's 13 years on average for the industry, only one out of 10 minutes since make it.
This is, of course, true for our own pipeline, but it's also true for everything that you bring in from the outside. So this is basically the risk that we have to take in order to bring great innovation to patients that also partnerships may fail during this process. But if you want to bring true innovation, this will not happen without taking any risks.
Now, there are some similarities between far more pipeline and investment portfolio, right? You invest in products for the long term to generate returns. Now, have you got a particular kind of investment philosophy at Roche to make this successful? Yes, so when we look at our portfolio and our potential new medicines, we, of course, look at each medicine.
as an individual, but we also look at the portfolio overall. And similar to other investments that you would do, you do actually NPV calculation. You calculate what you have to invest and what the potential returns. At the same time, we look at something we call probability of success.
And so we have to understand what's the risk that we're taking in terms of technical, scientific risk, but what's also the financial risk. And then when you look at the overall portfolio, it has to make sense. So you can do a number of projects that are high risk, but also high rewards. But you also have to kind of combine it with projects where the certainty is higher.
Again, the high-risk, high-reward project, there's a reason why they're high-risk and high-reward because, for example, in Parkinson's, people have worked for decades, for decades to find a new medicine. It's very, very difficult.
But if you make it, of course, it's a huge benefit to society, but it's also a big benefit to our company if you make it. So you can make individual such bets, but you can't only make such bets because we also have to earn back the money in order to keep investing in R&D. We can't do any good for patients if we don't are not able to earn back our R&D money.
You mentioned in the beginning your strong position in diagnostics. What are the advantages of having both diagnostics and pharma in-house? I think it's critical. If you look at where healthcare is going, healthcare is going to expect from us that we improve outcomes, but also reduce costs of care.
Because we know that the healthcare budgets are limited. And I think here the combination of diagnostics and pharma can play a big role. So we believe that there is much more of a trend to go towards prevention.
Stopping disease from progressing, but also curing. Now, if you want to prevent the disease, you actually want to find the high-risk patients. And these high-risk patients, you want to treat preventively in order for them not to develop the disease. So you need a good diagnostics to find those patients to then be able to give them the right medicine. If you want to stop disease progression,
you really have to understand the cause of that disease and find a very targeted treatment to make sure that you stop the progression of this disease. And the same for cure. For cure, oftentimes there is genetic reasons or other reasons that cause a disease to happen. Again, you need a diagnostics to understand that in order to give the right kind of treatment.
So we see this trend really happening over the next decades. This will be even stronger. And having both diagnostics and pharma, we are better positioned than any other company to actually manage to serve the needs of what the healthcare systems and what patients at the end need across the world.
And where does healthcare data come in here? Because you were early in here by acquiring foundation medicine and flatter one, among other things. Why is this an important space to be? Well, healthcare data plays a role clearly across the different parts of the value chain. And it plays a big part in research and development. If you want to develop a new medicine or new diagnostics,
you have to have a lot of data to understand how to best target which molecule to design, et cetera. So the more data you have, the better it is for you as a starting point to develop new medicines and diagnostics. At the same time, I think when it comes to treatment of patients, data plays a big role. For example,
you can use diagnostics and understand the cause of disease for a number of different patients, and then you can look at how these patients were treated and how these treatments worked. Now, if you can go back and you can look at this on a bigger population level,
it will actually help you to decide which treatment to give for what kind of diagnostics for what patients. So to combine that is, I think, very critical to be even better in treating patients and improving their lives and being more precise in the diagnostics.
Thomas, if we drill down a bit further on innovation, like a naive question, why are some pharma companies better at innovation than others? What is it in particular that makes some companies stand out?
I think one topic is culture. As a company, I think that's something that differentiates us. We are able to recruit and retain the most talented people. We have a very low turnover. In fact, if you benchmark us compared to other companies in the industry, we are one of the best, if not the best, company in that aspect.
And given the long nature and the long cycles of our industry, it's important that we have also a certain level of continuity of people working on certain projects. When people keep switching between projects, I think that's not a very good thing. The second piece is a company. You have to follow the science, and you have to see where is their new scientific breakthrough.
like we did with antibodies, like we're now doing with using artificial intelligence and using organoids in our research and development. And then you have to jump on those, you have to have the long breath for those then to become to reality. And I think that's important. If you keep changing the course in a business that has such long cycles, it's actually not good for innovation to happen.
What is it that sets the rush innovation culture apart? So I think one is the culture that we have with our people, which is a very empowering culture.
The second piece, I believe, is also the unique setup that we have. We have, on the farmer side, actually two early research engines. One is Jugai, a company in Japan that we own the majority of. Another one is in the US called Genentech Research and Early Development. It came to us through the acquisition of Genentech.
And the third one is pharma research and early development. It gives us three unique shots at goal to develop new medicines. They all have very different cultures, different approaches. And when you look at innovation, it's actually helpful to have this kind of
you know, different approaches and not only have one approach across. How is AI going to change the way you innovate? So this is actually an area where chirats, so chain tech research and early development has a huge focus on. We have an amazing team there of people who are world experts in this area.
And AI plays and will play a role in the entire process of research and development. In the early stage of research and development, for example, what used to be done, where you synthesize a lot of different molecules, and then you test every molecule in vivo, so in the cell, to see which one works.
Nowadays, what you would do is you take all the data that you have, you let AI design among thousands and thousands of molecules, those molecules that have the best attributes, and then you just test a handful of different molecules in vivo.
And what that means is that we can actually be much faster. We can be much more cost efficient. We can test a lot more different molecules much faster. And with that, actually bring medicines to patients much more quickly. So that's why we're here. So if you do speed, for instance, what is it going to do to speed? So we set goals for R&D.
by 40%. And it doesn't mean that we are particularly bad that we have to set a goal of minus 40%. It's just where we believe that the industry will be at the end of the decade, when we really implement AI end-to-end. And what about costs? How much cheaper will it be? So costs, our target is to reduce it by 20%. On the one hand, we can be more effective, but on the other hand, we also want to do more.
So potentially, we can also increase the number of medicines that we launch every year, which would be great news for patients, but obviously also for our company. So in addition to speed and costs, what do you think it will do with the final drug, with the final products you come up with? Will there be significantly better, you think?
Yeah, I think that you should have a lot more innovation happening in a much shorter period of time. And if you have that, you will also obviously have better medicines. I think what it will also do, actually AI, is a lot of the manual work that's being done today, like writing study protocols, like doing all the regulatory submissions,
which are 800, 900 pages of paper. If you can use AI for all of that, and of course you need to proofread and you need to make sure that everything is correct. But it can massively reduce the amount of effort. And we can use the time of those people not to do manual labor, but really invest the time into developing new medicines. So I think there will be also shifts in the kind of work that people are doing.
So you said that now one out of ten drugs make it. What do you think the number will be in ten years' time? Well, on one hand, you will bring up the volume.
Right? So that will be helpful. In terms of what exactly we will achieve in terms of the success rate, I think you will have still a lot that will not succeed, because ultimately you will have to test it. And there are a lot of attributes that have to work in order for medicine to work. But can you imagine if you just increase it by a factor of two?
just to go from 10% to 20%, you would double the amount of medicines that are being delivered to patients. I mean, that would be huge and a game changer. What do you think will happen to cancer survival rates? Let's say in the next 10 years.
I think it will continuously improve. And the goal is clearly to eradicate cancer. And if you look at the time of HIV, when the first medicine was developed, the second medicine was developed, I think the key of how to basically achieve the fact that people don't have to die of HIV anymore was actually to combine medicines.
And the reason is, if you use one medicine, the virus will change, it will have different mutations, so it will escape that medicine. So by combining multiple medicines, it's much, much harder for this virus to escape. And it's the same for cancer. For cancer, when you put a selective pressure on it by adding a medicine,
The cells that are affected by this medicine, they will die. But if there are certain mutations, they will escape the mechanism. And they will find different mechanisms. And that's what exactly we see with cancer. And so by applying multiple medicines, you can probably, at one stage, get to the same situation as we've done with infectious diseases like HIV.
And I believe the immune system will play a big role. If we can activate the immune system to fight the cancer, to identify the cancer better, then I think we also will make a big step forward.
Moving on to Europe's place in the world here. So Europe is falling behind China and the US when it comes to clinical drug trials. And I think the European share has halved over the last 10 years, which is pretty dramatic. Why is that? Yeah, I mean, if you look at innovation, I would say there are probably four regions in the world where innovation is really coming from. One is the US.
One is Europe. China is really accelerating. If you look at the patent applications coming out of China, it's taking over. It's advancing very quickly. And the last area is Japan.
The US is doing quite well. So all of them have pretty strong academia, I would say. But what the US is doing particularly well is that they have a much better environment for startups. So there is much better access to venture capital. And with that, you have a lot of people actually moving to the US. So they have a lot of talent going to the US. And you see a lot of the innovation
which is translated from academia into these biotechs, then actually happening more in the US and probably also China now than, for example, in Europe. So I think Europe has to get that right. The second piece that Europe has to get right is they have to reduce the amount of bureaucracy.
If you look at clinical trials, et cetera, these are done in countries where you have less bureaucracy. If it takes you a year from the time you apply for clinical trial to being able to start a clinical trial, that's a year of lost time, a year of time where we cannot save a number of patients' lives if this medicine makes it.
So I think Europe really needs to work on the bureaucracy piece as well.
What particular part of bureaucracy is holding you back? Are these GDPR-related issues or what are they? GDPR-related issues, but in general, all the approvals that you have to get start a clinical trial, if that takes a year, it's just a year lost in time. You said China was taking over here. What could you be a bit more specific about China's role?
Yeah, so looking in China, first, if you look at the amount of patents that are coming out of China, this is going up exponentially. If you look at the talents that you can find in China,
I mean, it's just amazing. You have a lot of people that studied in the best universities in the world that have gone back to China and have opened biotechs, working in universities, etc. And one has to say, you know, if you look at
the mentality in China is, you know, they want to be a leader. And then they put all the efforts, all the strength of the country, of the people behind it to become a leader. I think sometimes if you look at regions, and I'm just going to pick Europe because I'm European, so it's always easier to pick on yourself, you know, maybe sometimes we've become too comfortable.
I would say the prosperity that we have is sometimes also a bit of our enemy. If you want to stay ahead, you cannot rest on the achievements from the past, but you constantly have to work at that. I think this is where China has a different attitude. To which extent can you tap into the talent in China?
So, China is actually one of our biggest countries in terms of number of people. We have there and also in terms of markets, sales, et cetera.
But beyond that, we don't only have commercial organizations there over the past years and partly decades. We've built up also a presence on the research and development side. Pharma has been there for a bit longer, but also in diagnostics, we've been there for the last couple of years.
And it's important because first of all, we want to tap into the talents that is there. And second, if you have strong R&D presence, you also can tap much more easily into the biotechs.
because you have the connectivity, you speak the same language, you can only assess the science outside if you have great scientists inside. And so I think from that aspect, I think we're in a pretty good shape, and Canadian China is going to
and will it remain a big priority for us, simply also because there are 1.4 billion people in China, and a lot of these people still don't have great access to healthcare. And so there's a lot of work that can still be done. Are you acquiring patents and companies in China? So we've done a couple of licensing deals from biotechs where we licensed in a number of molecules, and I have to say, the science is great. Is it better now than in the US, you think?
I wouldn't say that at this stage. I would say, if you look at around the globe, US, Europe, China, and Japan are where most of the innovation is coming from. US is clearly, I think, still in the leadership position, but China is catching up very quickly.
Moving on to the important topic of pricing. Of course, there's always been a trade-off in the pharma industry about how much you charge and how many people will benefit from it. Generally, are drug prices too high now across the world? If you look at pricing, you also have to look at the model of how innovation happens.
As I mentioned, you have, in pharma, a cycle of about 13 years to develop a new medicine. And you have a risk profile where only one out of 10 medicines make it. So you actually have to earn the money back.
with one medicine that you couldn't with the other nine that failed. And you only have a short period of time. You only have around 10 years and in some parts of the world this time is shortening even. 10 years to earn back the money. And then you have the entry of biosimilars. You have the entry of generics.
And so the benefit to society is, of course, already during these 10 years when you have launched this medicine, but the benefit to society goes way beyond.
If you look at the medicines that we have launched in our history, now 44 medicines are now on the WHO list of essential medicines, like antibiotics, like Valium, a number of other cancer medicines, et cetera. Now if the innovation didn't happen before,
because there were no incentives for innovation, then these medicines would not be as widely available as they are today. In fact, I always say that our industry is actually the pipeline of the generics and biosimilar industry. So if you break that, it doesn't work. I think a good example where you can see where if you don't have that incentive and it doesn't work is antibiotics.
So there haven't been new antibiotics for 50 years.
Now, we've been developing antibiotics, two antibiotics, because we see there's an ethical responsibility, and we believe that unfortunately, there will be more pandemics that will come. And unfortunately, one of the pandemics that could come could be a bacteria pandemic, and then the vaccines will not work, then we need new antibiotics. But why is no one, especially not a lot of biotechs,
Why is no one working on this? It's because the business model doesn't work. If you have a company developing a new antibiotic, what would happen is that antibiotic would not be used. It would only be used once all the other antibiotics fail. So there is not a huge incentive for biotechs to go in it. They have to survive. They have to survive. A company like ours, we can
invest a certain piece of our money that we have in research and development to do this, but biotechs cannot. Unfortunately, a lot of innovation happens in biotechs. You need to create more of an incentive system for this innovation to happen. In conclusion, if we break the incentive system,
then we will be in a situation where there will be no more progress in terms of innovation. And that's why I think it's important to understand the full context when you think about pricing. What do you think about pricing in less developed markets and the ethical aspects around that? Do you take a different approach than a lot of pharma companies? I think many other pharma companies actually have differential pricing.
Differential pricing means that based on also how well the medicine works, on the one hand, but also what's the affordability you try to price it in a fair way. And that means that richer countries will have to pay a little bit more on the medicine than poorer countries.
And I think this has to be this kind of contract between richer countries and poorer countries. Now, if you have certain politicians that wants basically the best price in the world, which is, let's say, a country in Africa, the danger is that a lot of farmer companies will say, well,
If I have to give to developed countries like in Europe or the US, I have to give the same price as a country in Africa. I cannot introduce it in Africa. So I think there has to be an understanding that we have differential pricing between the different parts of the world. And you can't have world leaders asking for the same price as in some country in Africa or in Latin America.
Five-year hands, you will have reduced your R&D cost by 20%, you have reduced the time frame by 40%, and instead of one out of 10, you now have one out of five succeeding, right? Will that mean lower costs for patients? Well, I think that, again, you have to look at the total impacts that you have.
Now, if you go to a situation where you prevent diseases from happening, then maybe that one medicine costs more, but the total costs, because you don't have to give this medicine for the next 10, 15, 20 years, goes down.
or you have less treatments in hospitals because people get less sick, et cetera. So I think you have to look at, it's not as simple as saying each medicine, but you have to look at the total impact on the healthcare system. And it's clear and that's our commitment. We want to help improve the outcome for patients, but we also want to reduce the costs in the healthcare system.
And we have to reduce it by going more towards prevention, by going towards treating people less in the hospital, but more in the home setting. Because if people constantly go to the hospital that also drives costs in the system, plus people who are sick also don't want to be confronted with their disease all the time, so that they actually don't want to go to the hospital.
So I think if we can get that done, we can bring down the cost in the healthcare system overall. Moving on to leadership, you've been at the CO of Roche for a bit more than a year. What's the most fun part being the CO of Roche? Yeah, so I've been with Roche for now 21 years.
And I love this company, I love the culture in this company, and I love the purpose of our company. And if you can see the kind of innovation that we're working on, it's just amazing. And you can see the impact
that you can have on patients' lives. I mean, when I talk to some of our researchers and medical doctors, when we run a clinical trial, that sometimes takes three to four years in the phase three.
And then the day when they see the results and they see that the results are positive and what impact they can have on patients' lives, you have people that have tears in their eyes because they see the kind of impact they can have. And so I think that's just amazing, you know, to work on something like this. The second piece is
And maybe that's also why I've been with the company for 21 years. I really care about the people in our organization. And for me, it's fun to work with these people. It's fun also to develop leaders, to see them grow. I think that's also something that is very fulfilling for me. So those are the things that I really enjoy and that I can do even more in the role that I'm in right now.
What's the biggest difference between you and sever and Schwann? Who was your predecessor? So I've been working closely with him over the last four or five years when I was the diagnostics CEO. I would say two things that I see. One is
studied finance and law, and I'm a scientist. You got a PhD in biology. I have a PhD in molecular biology and did research in the area of cancer oncology. I think that's one element. The second piece is, if you look at where I lived and grew up in my life, I was born in Germany.
But with the age of nine, my parents moved to Singapore to Asia. And this is where I grew up. I lived in total of 12 years in Asia. I went to the US to study and work in the US. So it's something that I really enjoyed working in so many different cultures. And I would say those are two elements that are probably a bit different. What do you take away from your upbringing in Asia? Well, first of all,
Singapore is at the equator, so I loved the warm weather and I loved the food. But beyond that... The chilli crab. For example, dim sum, you know, you name it. I just love Asian food. To the point where, you know, every time we go eat in Switzerland, I always say let's go eat Asian and my family is not so happy about that because I would go eat Asian every day.
But beyond that, I think you can learn something from every culture. Clearly, in Singapore, the work attitude. I mean, they have a very strong work attitude. If you look at the US, the approach to innovation, I think the culture is more extroverted than some of the Asian cultures. And I think it helps me in the role that I'm in.
because I work with people from all kinds of different parts of the world. And what I've always seen and what I've realized is, in a certain culture, like the German or the Dutch culture, people tell you directly what the problem is.
In other cultures, sometimes you have to read a little bit between the lines. So I think one of the things is this cultural sensitivity to really understand the other side that you're talking to. And I think it just helps me really working with different regions in the world. People with PhDs are often less risk appetite.
Where are you on the risk-seeking scale? I don't know if people with a PhD have heard that theory, but I would say, you know, I think without taking risks, you cannot be successful. You know, in anything in life. To be successful, you have to step out of your comfort zone.
And how do you make decisions? Are you an intuitive decision maker or are you basing everything on analysis? I think here, again, you probably have to have a balance. I like to understand the data and I like to understand the problem. I think oftentimes when people don't try to fully understand what the problem is, they come up with solutions that don't work.
You can only get to the right solutions and topics that make life of everyone easier in the company if you first fully understand the problem. And then what for me is important is to have sparring partners to understand the different perspectives on the data.
And I think that's important to come to a decision because you may have one perspective and other people have different perspectives, so to really fully understand that. But at the same time, you have to also get to a point where you then quickly make a decision.
You know, oftentimes people just spin along on the data and they never get to the decision. Now, one of the things I often do also is I talk to the different experts. Now, it depends, is it the decision I have to make or is it someone else in the organization has to make the decision. But if it's my decision to make, I try to talk to different experts and I try to understand, you know,
Does their view and their decision conform with what I believe? If that happens, I think that oftentimes these are probably the easier decisions. If I see that everyone else has a different opinion, then I must be wrong. But oftentimes it's something in between, where you have different, then I know it's a difficult problem, when you have very different opinions.
At one point in time, you have to make bad, based on the facts, based on the information that you have, you have to make the decision, and you have to go forward. And oftentimes, you have to hope that decision is right, but
there may be times when your decision is wrong. But some people you can talk to are CEOs in other companies who have been educated at Roche. You have COB or Marine, Bayer, Chileards, AstraZeneca. Now, why has Roche been so successful in developing leaders? Yeah, I think on the one hand, it's clearly a sign that we have a good culture.
And on the other hand, it shows that we have been very good in hiring great people and developing those people. So I think this ability to develop people and have a strong focus on people is what drives a lot of innovation and also good decision making.
Because at the end, innovation is also based on good decision making. So investing in people I think is something very critical. And it's not something that we've just done over the last couple of years. It's something that we've done for a very, very long period of time. And that's how you build a strong base of strong talents in the organization.
You said you'd been at Roche for 21 years, and if we take the last three CEOs, they have been there for an average of 15 years as CEOs. Now, you look at the S&P 500, the average time is five years. So, incredible, incredible length of service. What are the pros and cons of that?
So if you look at the fact that we're 127 years old, it shows you that we've been quite successful with this kind of model. The benefit is clearly that given the fact that we have a very long cycle of development of 13 years on average, you also have to have a long breadth.
You can't change direction in every one two or three years because actually nothing will happen in this industry. You have to have determination, you have to have stamina, you have to have resilience because you will have setbacks. But at the same time, you need to be open to change and drive change forward and be also very performance oriented.
Clearly, the long view is important, but also during this long view, you have to deliver. If you look at just the last quarters where we had very significant growth of 9% in each quarter, I think we also deliver in the short term. It's not only just long term and weight, we will deliver in the long term. For us, it's very clear that you also have to deliver on the short term.
What are the advantages of having family backing? The Roche family and the Hoffman family have the majority of the voting rights in the company. What kind of advantages do that give you? This long-term thinking, if you constantly change direction in a company, first of all, of this size, the change direction of a company of more than 100,000 people also takes a bit of time.
And then you look at the long cycle of innovation that we need. So this long-term thinking, I think, is very critical part, again, with delivering short-term performance. And the structure we have is really beneficial for that.
Some personal things. Thomas, being ahead of an incredible pharma company, do you live a very healthy life? Well, I try, for sure. Of course, I think it's also important because a job like this is quite intense in terms of the amount of time that you work, et cetera. So being in a healthy space is critical to actually deliver performance. What do you eat, for instance?
Oh, extremely healthy. Right now, over the last couple of years, at home, we hardly eat any carbohydrates. We eat quite a little amount of meats, et cetera. But I have to admit, it's more my wife than myself. So sometimes, when I'm on a business trip, I can escape that a little bit, but when I'm at home, I can't.
Sports. I love sports, but age is catching up with me. I love soccer. I used to play when I was a child. And I love squash. I guess that has to do with the fact that I grew up in Asia, and squash is a big thing in Asia. And if you look at the amount of running and calories that you burn, actually squash is one of the best sports you can do.
I don't think you could say that age is catching up here. You're only 49 and it's super young. Yeah, but I see it when I play soccer now with my son and other friends. Ten years ago, I could keep up right now. I have to say, playing with 30-year-olds becomes quite difficult for me. Sometimes my head knows what to do, but my body doesn't catch up with my head.
You have a slogan in Roche that you cure medicines so that people can spend more time with the people they love. How do you spend your time with the people you love? Yeah, so basically 90% last of my free time I spent with my family and with my kids.
The kids, you know, we go hiking, we go do sports, also enjoy going on holiday with them. We go once a year, we go, it's mostly Easter, we go somewhere into the sun.
Because after long winter, we need to recover and really get energy from the sun. So we do that and really like that. I guess it also has to do with the fact that I grew up at the equator, that I really long for warmth and sun after long winter.
What do you read? So being a science geek, I guess, I love reading lots on science. I actually still read publications because I just find it very fascinating. And it keeps me up to speed on what's happening on the science side. That's why I also love having conversations with scientists because I learn something all the time.
So I like that. I spend a lot of time reading up on politics, also history, things like that. I really enjoy reading those things. What is your advice to young people? Having three kids, I guess I have to give advice quite a lot to my children. One of the things that I tell them is
What happens in social media is not the real world. The real world can actually be quite exciting and people should spend more time in the real world. And oftentimes what you see in social media is just also not completely true. The other thing I tell them is there are no shortcuts in life.
So, you know, if you want to achieve something, the only way to achieve this through hard work. There is no other way to achieve things other than through hard work. And I think that's important for people and the younger generation also to realize. Well, sounds like you work really, really hard. Big thanks for being on the podcast. Big thanks for curing all the diseases. And please keep up all the good work in Basel.
Thank you very much for the conversation.
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