Election Night 2024 with The Daily Wire

Hey, this is Matt Walsh, host of the Matt Walsh Show, and you're about to listen to the Daily Wire's election night 2024 episode. Join me, Ben Shapiro, Michael Knowles, Andrew Clavin, Jeremy Boring, and special guests for in-depth coverage, real-time electoral maps as results pour in, and expert analysis. You won't find anywhere else from key battlegrounds to exclusive insights. This is the election night coverage you won't want to miss.

Welcome to the Daily Wire's 2024 election night coverage. I'm joined by our backstage pals, Ben Shapiro, Michael Knowles, Andrew Clavin, Matt Walsh. We're going to be going through this with you in real time, bringing you real time updates as polls close, as we get information. We'll bring it to you. There'll be wild speculation, of course, largely from Andrew. There'll be comedy, the comedy stylings of Matt Walsh.

We'll just try to survive until the election is over sometime between now and the certification on January 6th. We'll take turns stepping out, grabbing catnaps. It's never going to end people. It's never going to end.

By the way, a couple of quick announcements. According to decision desk HQ, Trump has now won South Carolina. I know it's a shot. Unfortunately, Kamala Harris has won Vermont in response. I know you're worried about that one. Trump has also, according to the Associated Press, won Indiana. And Trump won Kentucky.

Let's start drinking. So basically, 49 states for Trump is the current projection right now. Well, actually right now, let's hear from Mary Margaret Olahan. She is at Trump HQ in West Palm Beach. Mary Margaret, good to talk to us. Good to talk to you, actually. I mean, I'm sure you're pleased to talk to us as well. Give us a sense of what it's like down there right now.

Hey Ben and of course it's an honor to talk to you all down here in Palm Beach where we are at Trump headquarters you can see behind me there's a whole bunch of people congregating anybody who is anybody wants to be here tonight and be in Trump's election night party as they prepare hopefully for a victory and we've been talking to a lot of people on the ground here trying to get a sense of

What's going on? I can tell you the atmosphere is very hopeful, very excited. People are on edge, but I would say in a good way. They're really amped up for tonight. So we're going to be here. We're going to be talking to everyone and getting a sense for where this is going. So how relaxed or nervous are they in the room? Are they concerned? Are you getting nerves? Or is everybody just basically opening it up? Are they ready and rearing to party already?

Well, you know, these, these people are all from DC or they're from Florida. They're always ready to party. But when we ask people, how are you feeling? When we ask people, how are you feeling? How's it going? What are you thinking about the race? What they'll tell you is they're quote unquote cautiously optimistic. I've been emailing or texting with a whole bunch of different Trump advisors. And what they're telling me is they're feeling good, but they're still pushing people to get out to the polls. And that's what one advisor told me not even five minutes ago.

So the push is get to the polls, get to the polls. We want every single vote. We want to make every single vote count. That's what Trump himself was saying last night in Michigan. He was saying, we've done the work. We've done the campaigning. We've gotten our message out. Now it's up to you guys to get to the polls and to make America great again. So, Mary, we know that you've been closely following Trump's movements over the past few days. Where is he right now? I mean, I assume he's in the back somewhere in Mar-a-Lago.

Yeah, so he's over at Mar-a-Lago with his close circle. It's close to friends. We're told that they're all going to come over here if he wins. Hopefully if he doesn't win as well. But we know that he'll be over here if he does in back win. There's going to be a whole party. They're going to be celebrating. And we're hearing that top Trump surrogates are going to be coming here as well. So people are starting to trickle in. It's exciting to talk to them, hear what they think about how this race is going. And the night is still very young. So the people we talk to are just very hopeful and excited.

And obviously when it comes to Florida, everyone's excited there because it's the best state in America. It's not just because it's where I live, mostly because it's where I live, but also the results are already coming in from Florida. Florida is currently 42% in. Donald Trump has about a 200,000 vote lead on Kamala Harris, got 52% or 47.1% and Jill Stein bringing up third place with 16,000 votes. The Jill Stein vote coming in strong across the country. So Mary, does the Trump campaign have any idea as to

You know, how long this is going to take. And that's the big question everyone's asking is, are we going to be here for the next like eight days? What are you getting a sense of there?

So nobody seems to know the answer to that, Ben. And we've been asking a lot of people. I think we're all hoping this will be over very quickly. I was texting Donald Trump Jr earlier, asking him how he's feeling about the race. And he told me he thinks things are looking good as long as there's no quote unquote BS. So it remains to be seen how this night will go if we're going to be in a long drawn out process. But I think the answer is no one knows. And that's really the situation right now.

well mary margaret it's good to talk to you i'm sure we'll check back in with you quite shortly as the night progresses it's uh... you know enjoy yourself you know drink heavily but and i didn't give you permission to do that that's in a chart violation anyway have a good time over there in in florida

Well, thank you. I will. I got the good assignment. So I have a good night. Folks, daily wire is footprint at the Trump headquarters is made possible at PDS debt get a custom plan to become debt free right now at pds debt.com slash daily wire. It only takes 30 seconds. That's PDS D E B T dot com slash daily wire PDS debt.com slash daily wire and now a bunch of people are in seats that they were not in before.

It's a magic trick. Every time we come back, there is somebody who has inhabited a different body. So we have Clay Travis, who has joined us in his most elegant regalia. I did, yes. Did I not get the memo on the velvet thing? I saw your velvet. I've had this, unfortunately, the last time I was sitting with all of you was two years ago. And I was super optimistic on that. Take it off. Get it off. I'm either going to be like a, I'm going to be at Kid Rock's honky talk tonight.

So it's going to be one of the most amazing nights ever, and I'm going to be on the stage like Donald Trump has won and now Kid Rock. And I'm going to be like, this is one of the great nights of my life, or I'm going to be like the fan who paints his face, and then the camera finds him when the team is lost by like three touchdowns. And you're just very good at that game. You're a grown man who painted his face, and you're like, I've just got to question a lot of my thoughts. Are you optimistic, though? How are you feeling? I am optimistic. The more we get into the votes coming in, the less optimistic I am.

Does that make sense? I wanted, we only had one race in the 21st century where I think both sides said, you know what, I agree with the outcome, 2008 at least Barack Obama won comfortably. And it feels to me like we're gonna be in another one of these, hey, if we had made that field goal, man, we would have won, if we miss a field goal, and it feels like that's basically every race in the 21st century. So I was hoping

And I still do have some hope that Trump might have really kind of punched through, and it's all anecdote, but I bet you guys are similar. I know people who didn't vote Trump in 16, 20, and are voting Trump in 24. Like, I know a lot of those people. The hardest part for people like me, since I don't trust feeling, feelings are bad.

Yes. And it's all anecdotal. That's the problem. I'll get high with the anecdotal evidence. I'll be walking around somewhere and somebody who I'd never expect will come out of the woodwork and be like, I'm totally voting for Trump and I'm really excited about it. And I'm like, remember, that's anecdotal evidence and it doesn't mean anything. But I do not know a single person who voted Trump, Trump, Kamala.

And so that to me feels like if I had to go to my gut, it is that Trump is going to win by the skin of his teeth because enough people have seen that he isn't Hitler and have been willing to make a shift since the last two elections.

Well, also, Cabot Phillips is here. I am. They tried to get black Jeremy, and they said, we'll get slightly younger white guys. Yeah, exactly. Jeremy has grown taller, and his beard is slightly fuller, and he's de-aged, actually. So, Cabot, you're usually the informational guy. Bring me information. I need data.

Yeah, well, one thing that I was thinking of when Megan was talking about the female vote is the fact that we can tend to think of both genders as kind of monoliths. But looking back at the 2022 midterm exit polls, Democrats obviously dominated with women in the aggregate. But when you looked at

their performance with married women. In the 2022 exit polls, married women went for Republicans by 14 points. It was unmarried women who they picked up by a 37-point margin. And so it can give this separate idea of how women vote as a whole. And I actually, I was on the ground in North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, talking to hundreds of voters. And I realized that one of the easiest predictors for how someone was going to vote, if it was a woman,

Now, walk up to them if I saw a wedding ring on their finger, or if I saw kids with them loading up their groceries in the parking lot, the majority of those people were voting for Republicans. If I saw a woman who was single, younger, clearly not married, they were overwhelmingly Democrats. So the good news is married women vote Republican, unmarried women vote Democrat. The problem is fewer and fewer people are getting married, so that is not a good trend line for the Republicans. And there's a real mystery here too, and the mystery is why is that divide so remarkable?

No, is it that the women change when they get married? Is that it's a different kind of woman that's getting married to begin with, someone who's more traditionally oriented? Is it that the unmarried, the unmarried women are angry with the system because they're single? I think there's something about that, and so they're in a category

If you're not allied with someone, if you don't have a partner, then you have reason to be resentful. Do you have a reason to doubt the validity of the system as a whole? Are you trying to trumpet that sexual freedom that's hypothetically part of being single? There's something very strange going on here with unmarried young women. I don't exactly get it.

I think part of it is the failure of the aspirational, just generally in American society. I think so much of our voting now breaks down to just go back to sort of the Elon Musk of it, the failure of aspiration. If you fail in your attempt to do something, there are two things you can do. You can either do what a successful person does, which is say, what can I do differently in order to improve my law, as God tells Cain to do, or you can go out and try and kill your brother. And you can basically say it's the fault of the system, it's everybody else's fault.

And so, as a system, you say that you don't even aspire anymore to get married. That's not something to even aspire to. And there has to be some substitute for the thing that you're supposed to aspire to. What is the life that is now the substitute for what a married life would have been? Sex in the city. Well, I think that's exactly right. And so if the substitute happiness, the air sats happiness you're being provided is sex in the city, well then of course abortion is your number one issue.

Because abortion is the thing that destroys, that destroys the possibility of you being forced into, I mean, let's be real about how marriage used to work in this country. A huge percentage of people got married because they knocked up a girl, right? I mean, that was like a huge number of shotgun weddings in America in 1940, extremely high. Especially in the south where we are right now.

100%, and you know what? That's not actually a bad thing, because it turns out that that's sort of how natural law would tend to suggest that things work, right? That if you actually knock somebody up, you should then get married to that person, then you should raise the child together. That was reality cuddling you back into what you should aspire to doing anyway. Abortion cuts that completely off, which is why, if you wish to uphold the sex in the city lifestyle, it's the number one issue. We're gonna take a quick moment to highlight, by the way, some cool stuff going on here at Daily Wire.

We will be back in just a moment with that awkward intro. It's really funny. It's really funny. Buy myself, laughing out loud, hysterically today. It is one of the most important contributions to cinema in American history. Your goal is to conduct an investigation into something key to the culture war. There are so many great moments in there. Were these people real that are in this movie? It's a great film. I highly recommend everybody go see this movie. A Mazeltoff is, um, Ben's people would say.

am I racist, now streaming only on Daily Wire Plus. In the beginning was the word. Christ is a master at using short, mysterious stories. They change the listener who takes them seriously. My experience with the biblical text is that they're inexhaustible sources of wisdom. If I find something in them that is an obstacle, it's because there's something in me that has yet to be transformed. I just don't get it.

the person that you do not think could ever be virtuous. Oh, let me show you. This is the person who is fulfilling the law in the prophets. But seek first is kingdom and his righteousness, and all these things shall be added to you as well. I don't believe in that promise. I'll just be honest on this point. That has not been part of my experience.

This parable I've been trying to understand forever. While we were talking and while we were sitting there, then it hit me. I saw it. It made me one ideology that has supplanted Christianity that has done good for humanity. This Jew is very frightened of a post-Christian society.

He was the God-man, the model, the example of what we ought to become and what we can become. It's okay. It's safe for you and all of your doubts and apprehensions to open up and to let these stories in. He is the temple. He is the Torah. He is the covenant. He is prophecy fulfilled. If you're doing this and it isn't also the love of wisdom, it's also an attempt at wisdom without love. In both ways, you're going radically wrong. Power of love. It sounds like the shame when you say it. Well, 60 there. I don't want to be in a hallmark, can I tell you?

We've got our work cut out for us, gentlemen. This is one peculiar time and one peculiar text, and I sure hope we're up to the task.

That was a nice little treat. That was the world premiere of the teaser trailer for Jordan Peterson's new series on The Gospels, which I think Dr. Peterson, that your series on Exodus is one of the finest things that we've ever got to be a part of producing. And I've only made it through about a quarter of the gospel episodes, but they're just tremendous. Can you tell us a little bit about what that process was like?

Well, the first thing I'd probably like to do is to thank you guys for having enough courage to undertake the endeavor. It was a big risk, you know, and it isn't at all obvious that

16 part series on Exodus with nine academics, that's bad enough to begin with. It would be something that could attract an audience that there could be any business case for, but you guys, you know, you threw yourself into it and then we doubled the length on you and you went along with that and I know it's been spectacularly successful and that's been great. What was it like? Well,

It was a privilege because the people at the table were top rate. I was really fascinated to be in the seminar because every single person that spoke always had something to say that I really wanted to listen to. I really found that. I learned that with the Exodus seminar because I learned so much there. It literally took me months to digest it. It had big influence on the book that I am publishing on November 19th. It helped me clarify a lot of the stories that I didn't understand.

Of course, the same thing happened as we walked through the gospels, and it was great, and I hope that we did as good a job or better both on the discussion side and on the production side with the gospel seminar as with the Exodus seminar, and I think we did. And we got down to brass tacks, and it's, see, I've learned

This is a revolutionary thing. I've learned that all the evidence supports the notion that we see the world through a story. In fact, a description of the structure through which we see the world is a story.

So then the only question, once you know that, and I think that's indisputable on scientific grounds now. And so once you know that, the only question becomes, well, what's the story? And the cultural insistence is that it's one of power. And the biblical insistence is that it's one of sacrifice.

And those both aren't right, like it's one or the other, right? There's alternatives, hedonism, nihilism, which is sort of the absence of stories. But I think the idea that this community has founded on sacrifices, it's so substantive that it's self-evident. And then the issue is, how do you investigate the structure of sacrifice? We did that a lot in the gospel seminar.

I don't want to get to any spoilers or anything like that, but when you're delving into this question, are you looking at it from the perspective of which of these two views is more conducive to the kind of society I want to live in? Or are you asking which of these two views is right? It's deeper than that because I don't think there is a society that's predicated on power.

There's force. I can force you to do something that I want you to do. But that doesn't mean that we have a society. A society is based on mutually acceptable sacrifice upward. And it's worth delving for a moment on what I mean by sacrifice. And it's pretty straightforward. Like if we're in a communal relation, it's not all about you.

And it's not all about me. And that really is the definition of a relationship. If it's all about me, it's not a relationship. If it's all about me, it's about my whim and my power to impose it. If we're in a relationship, I have to give up something that's immediate to me for the sake of the relationship and the sake of the future. And that's why sacrifice is at the foundation of society. It's virtually a truism.

And it's also the same in relation to work, because work is the sacrifice of the future. It's the sacrifice of the present to the future, right? So we sacrifice our own immediate whims to be communal, and we sacrifice the immediate present for the future. And so sacrifice is the foundation of society. And I just can't see how that can be otherwise. The counter proposition is absurd.

which is the idea that all social interaction is a consequence of power. There are more dismal views that it's all sex and hedonism or that there's no meaning in anything. Those are pretty catastrophic views, but the idea that

All social organization is a function of power. First of all, I think that's a confession on the part of the theories. A confession and a wish. Absolutely, absolutely. And I also think that you, I also think it's untrue. It doesn't even work for chimpanzees, by the way, and the evidence for that is pretty clear. And it's also the most, I just can't imagine setting up a social

system on a more dismal view of humanity and community than that of power. The only way we can work together is if I force you.

Well, who wants that? Well, we know who wants it. It's tyrants. It's whim-possessed tyrants who want that. What do you like if you want the opposite? Well, you sacrifice upward. Ben, you were talking about having children. It's like it reorients you in the world, right? Because all of a sudden, there's something, there's someone who's clearly more important than you. And a timeframe that's clearly more important than you right now. And then reorients you radically. And that's a sacrificial orientation. And so,

I was great doing that. The cost. My invitation to be in the academic round table was lost to my email inbox, but I would have been there. Did it go into promotions or? Probably there, yes, spam. By the way, just a quick indicator, and you can talk more about this. Just a couple of pieces of good news, if you want to be in a good mood. Okay, so piece of good news, number one. Osceola County, which is one of the most Hispanic counties in America is a 55% Hispanic. It's heavily Puerto Rican. Donald Trump is

on the verge of winning that in florida which means that that he is you know outperforming it may be supported in you know issue with regard to tony hinchcliffe making a bad joke at the end maybe that has some consequences for place like pennsylvania i know there've been worries because there are two hundred thousand for recon voters in pennsylvania so that's a piece of news number one of the thing is porta reacons have a good sense of humor from new yorka spent a lot of time around porta reacons that that non traverse he was so contrived i'm glad you're some data actually backup that is a couple other pieces of data

As of 7.25 p.m. Eastern time, according to the decision desk HQ, Trump currently has a 61% chance of winning the presidency. So the numbers they're seeing, obviously, they think are looking pretty good. What was the source? That is decision desk HQ. And they're constantly adjusting that. And decision desk has been our partner tonight. If you're seeing any of the numbers that you're seeing on your screen or maps that you're seeing on your screen as we go through the evening tonight are by way of our partnership with decision desk HQ.

And what one other piece of data, I know we're not supposed to do exit polls, but I'm going to break my own rule because it makes me happy. And again, the rules don't apply to me since, you know, as a co-owner of the company and a very famous person, they let you do it. So according to the CNN exit poll, Georgia independence broke for Trump by 11%.

which is a 20 percentage point swing toward Trump among indies from four years ago. Ryan Gerdowski, late of CNN. I enjoyed it. He is suggesting that there's a possibility that Georgia gets called relatively early as in within the next hour and a half or so.

One more exit poll since I am not an employee of the company. We literally can't fire me for this. Can we make his life miserable? Probably, probably. 25% of black voters in Georgia, reportedly male voters, went for Trump.

If that is true and the independence is true, Trump is going to win Georgia, which would be huge. And the numbers would suggest based on how well he's doing in Florida. There's a famous ban, Florida, Georgia line. If you've ever spent any time around there, there's not a lot of difference between North Florida and South Georgia. So if Trump's going to win by 10 in Florida, I think he's going to win it.

I just give a shout out to my boy, Ron DeSantis, who has turned Florida into the best state in America. Okay, Ron DeSantis turned that state from a dead heat in 2018 to a place where registered Republicans had a number of registered Democrats by a million. I think it's a million point two at this point, and Miami just went red in an 18 point swing from 2020. Okay. You guys need some more illegal immigrants.

Hillary won Miami Day by 30, just in 2016. That's like a 35 point. Like a point to the future, putting aside this election, which a little early for that, but one thing that is positive that we should keep an eye on is, I know it's looking a little ahead, 20, 30 cents is gonna radically redo all these numbers. So I've mentioned this before, my worst case scenario, which has been scaring everybody all over the internet, which is that tonight Donald Trump wins North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada. She wins 270 to 268.

the 2020 census was actually done. Because of Omaha, because Nebraska didn't go one win in the state. And also because, so the census in 2020 was done wrong. Okay, and they've acknowledged this. Okay, this is perfectly, like they've clearly said this. The census under-accounted Florida, it under-accounted Texas, it over-accounted New York, it over-accounted Delaware and Rhode Island. And so if they'd done it right, Florida has two more electoral votes. Trump doesn't need to win any of the blue wall states in order to win the election. Okay, and so there's likely to be a lawsuit on that basis. Will that lawsuit be successful? I doubt it, but

There will be a lawsuit on that basis if that's the result of the election, which is actually not super improbable, given the current odds. Now, what that means for 2030, however, is that as population continues to bleed south, as it continues to bleed to red states, if we do the census correctly in 2030,

A bunch of this math gets read on. Florida now has three or four more electoral college votes and places like, like Virginia have fewer, right? California loses electoral college votes. So, you know, for all this sort of despair that you hear all the time from people, you know, things move, things change. I'm old enough to remember when Florida and Ohio were swing states and others are bright red. And I think in the future, by the way, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are all trending red. Virginia, the other hand, is trending blue. I think that's the most likely. Virginia looks like Colorado, Pennsylvania, Ohio,

wisconsin michigan looked very much the same trending red and that's what that twenty five percent black male uh... exit poll is not a big surprise and we've been talking about the the gender wars and with respect to women but the common hairs campaign made a decision

to make no attempt at all to win a single male vote yes they did not put out even one single ad the entire campaign targeted at me mad excuse me you clearly didn't look at peat booty judge and ten was a lot of parents that was very effective i thought

and of course every day they put out a few ads that were allegedly ostensibly for men but even those were actually talking to women and uh... that is a strategy that should cost them the election but i also would hope and by the way you guys do great work if you haven't seen matt's movie uh... it is absolutely hysterical

You don't have to tell me. I know, but I mean, for everybody out there. What was that movie again? Am I racist? Very good. By the way, Rachel Maddow, really big fan. I heard a good job by that. I do love it. But I do think if that were to hold, what it would do is destroy identity politics, which I think ultimately. We're talking about my movie still. No, well, that helped. But black men voting for Donald Trump has the potential to blow up identity politics, which I think is the root cancer that is polluting so much of American discourse.

Yep, you may have noticed that joining us now we have classicist historian, host of the Young Heretics Podcast, an author of Light of the Mind, Light of the World. My good friend, Spencer Clavin. Spencer, welcome to the show. It does. Great to be here. I am not, in fact, Jordan Peterson. You may have noticed that transformed over time. Yes, although you'll have an interesting take on this. Thank you, Clay. Thank you, guys. Clay just got up and left. I don't know. What's going on? You don't like it either. I don't like it either.

When Dr. Peterson was with us, and of course Dr. Peterson will be back later on in the evening, we were talking about sacrifice and the sort of Christian narrative that undergirds society. And one of the things that it occurs to me that Christians are called to sacrifice among other things, in many instances is their sense of self. And religion often gives us a very false sense of self and Christianity posits that the false sense of self is that we're good. And sadly, I think when Christianity is

It's actually misused to reinforce the old religious notion that we're good, and if we're good, then of course we don't need intervention from God in the form of Christ. Why I bring this up right now is because a lot of Christians hang on to this view of themselves that they are above having to get their hands dirty and worldly affairs ago. And many Christians for that reason don't engage in the political process.

They think that if they engage in the political process, especially in a moment where you have choices that are, let's call them sub-optimal, maybe from a Christian value perspective. I mean, Donald Trump, you say many good things about Donald Trump, we've said many of them here.

He's not a great moral icon. His pro-choice sort of background has really reasserted itself in this election, which is very difficult for Christians. Christians, I think this country particularly evangelicals, do not know yet how to reorient their politics in the wake of an event they never thought would occur, which is the overturning of Roe v. Wade.

which changed everything it makes abortion now a political issue and political issues are messy issues when when abortion was a sort of abstract judicial issue

Christians could afford to take an abolitionist point of view, and it was politically beneficial to do so. And it was politically beneficial to take an abolitionist point of view. Now listen, politics aside, morally, I am a complete abortion abolitionist. You can't be more pro-life than me. I don't want exceptions for rape. I don't want exceptions for incest. I am 100% abortion bad all the way full stop. But as a political issue, we now have to make a decision.

If I lived in California and there was an opportunity for a 14-week abortion ban, I would vote for it. And if it passed, I would then start working on a 12-week abortion ban. But many Christians are simply not willing to give up their image of themselves as pure and perfect and holy and above it all and get their hands dirty with the difficult compromise that's necessary in politics. And I am concerned that if Christians don't vote, we won't.

when there are still 18 minutes to vote to get in line to vote before the next round of polls closed. If you're a Christian and you've been on the fence about the idea of voting, please go stand in line. If you're not in a state where the polls have already closed,

Please get in line. You have an obligation to vote. Our obligation is not to our view of ourselves. Our obligation, if anything, is to confront our view of ourselves, realize our need. And part of what we get out of grace in Christianity is the opportunity to actually participate in a world that isn't perfect. You only get to participate in that world that isn't perfect if you believe in some sort of system of grace. And I wanted to say that while Dr. Peterson was here.

I didn't get to... I'll have to do. So I'm saying it to you. What do you say to this? Well, for all that conservatives have spent, what, four years at least now, bewailing wokeness and identifying all of its flaws and talking about what a terrible, ugly, self-destructive ideology it is. Which it is, and all of that is true, and we should point that out.

We still have not, as conservatives or as Christians, reckoned with the fact that wokeness offers people something. Wokeness has a selling point and it's exactly what you are saying. It's an answer to the question, what must I do to be saved? And for most of my adult life,

We've pretended that that question doesn't matter, that we can sweep it under the rug while we pursue material pleasures and technological advancements, and that God is dead or over or irrelevant, and we don't even have to think about virtue or abstract eternal ideals.

That idea turned out to be catastrophically wrong, even among the people who said that they believed it. And this is why the new atheists and all the Sam Harris' and Richard Dawkins' of the world have now been stampeded by a mob of young people desperate for somebody to tell them how they can be good. And woke politics stands right in that gap and says, all you have to do is take the knee. You simply have to

proclaim your guilt, you have to confess your systemic racism, or you have to assume your position on the sacrificial pedestal as a minority or whatever, and now you will once again be in the grand cosmic dance of virtue and pollution and sacrifice.

Christians are supposed to be different, I think, is what you are saying. That's right. The Christian pitch is actually something radically other than that in a way that almost no other ideology or religion offers. G.K. Chesterton says, before you get the good news, you have to get the bad news.

And the bad news is that whereas virtue is absolute and God's justice is perfect altogether in his righteousness' entire, we are at an infinite remove from that in the world. And the incarnation is the point of the incarnation. God wouldn't have had to take on flesh and die if he weren't willing to meet us at that imperfect juncture and take the next step toward his perfection from wherever we are, whatever mess it is, however snarled and tangled we are, and boy are we,

In our past sins and the sins of our fathers and our ancestral guilt, God in Christ takes one step toward God the Father with us. And in terms of politics, this caches out as the ancient virtue of prudence, which is what you were talking about. The Christian

Church fathers and the Aristotelians of the ancient world and I think the rabbis of the Talmud would all recognize what you are describing as a classic instance of prudence. You don't get the world that conforms to your ideals. You don't even get a world that approximates to your ideals. You get a world that is a thousand miles away from your ideals and you have two choices. One is to nope out and be responsible for whatever the world is as it is because you have no effect on it and the other is to get your hands dirty.

and admit that you were never clean to be. And on this point, you bring up good old Aristotle. He doesn't just say prudence is a virtue. He says prudence is the paramount political virtue. It is the most important of the political virtues. And so we cannot afford to have Christians just throwing their hands up in the air in a kind of suicidal political quietism that is really a homicidal political quietism because it's going to take a lot of good people down with them. That's why I'd say you're in Jordan Peterson was here. Who's this guy?

Who am I? Who are you? He's tall and very well educated and has a bit of a beard sometimes. And hair on my head, you made it. Yes. Obviously no relation. No relation. We're so thankful for tonight. I think what Spencer meant to say was go vote. We're so thankful for tonight's sponsors that we're going to take a moment to tell you about some of them right now. And then we'll be right back.

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We're now joined by daily wire host and reporter Megan Basham. Megan, welcome to our election night coverage. Thank you. You hosted the pre-show with Cabot. I thought it was terrific. I did. And now I love just being in this den of testosterone that you're having. But once in my career, Michael, Michael has a pretty high level of estrogen, to be fair. But quick update. So Florida, best state in the union, just going to keep saying it at my home state because I in my own personage and with my family brought something like 20.

Republican voters to Florida, just our immediate family and surrounding friends. Florida is just blown it out for Trump right now. Florida Miami did is flipping to Trump.

Right now, there are two major ballot measures that were on the ballot in Florida. It was an attempt for Democrats to claw their way back in. One was Amendment 3, one was Amendment 4. Amendment 3 was a legalized marijuana petition. Amendment 4 was a legalized abortion. Both look like they are going to go down to defeat because Florida is a red state and it ain't going back. Meanwhile, over in Georgia, the results look pretty ugly for Kamala Harris thus far. Some of the swing counties are moving toward Donald Trump.

There's also some problems apparently in New Hampshire. There's some towns in New Hampshire that have had some pretty significant swings to Donald Trump. If you had to game this thing out right now, it looks as though basically Kamala Harris' hopes come down to extraordinarily heavily turned out in Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee. That may be the entire election right there. It's just do enough people show up for her in those three big cities specifically because the rest of the map looks like it is trending toward Donald Trump over 2020.

Well, that's really encouraging to hear. I hadn't picked up the latest. So I'm really glad I came on to the set to get that. About amendment four. So at all the Christians say, amen. That's right. Again, quite a word question to do.

Georgia and Florida are two states where Donald Trump was at odds with the governor of that state. And the governors of those states have done Yeoman's work in actually shifting the voting population of those states. Brian Kemp, the governor of Georgia, who endorsed Donald Trump, was at odds with them. He's done really good work on the ground in Georgia, even though Donald Trump has been very much at odds with, say, the Secretary of State of Georgia. And of course, Ron Santos ran against Trump and then DeSantis endorsed Trump and has been campaigning for Trump. And that state continues to get redder and redder. So again, the early numbers, it's way too early to say anything like things look great.

Again, if you were looking at like early trends, early trends for Donald Trump, people are showing up to vote. They're showing up to vote. And by the way, if you're in Pennsylvania, you still have 10 minutes to get in line. Get your ass in line if you're in Pennsylvania right now, because that state matters. That is the keystone state for this election. And speaking of Pennsylvania, we're being joined now by Cassie Akiva, who's joining us from Dave McCormick's election party headquarters in Pennsylvania. Of course, McCormick running for a Senate in that state. Welcome Cassie. What's going on there?

Thanks for having me right now. The doors just opened. It's very rowdy here. We have a very loud band behind us. The campaigns told me that they're feeling pretty good. There's been a really good turnout in the rural areas, so things are looking good here. The parties are getting started. What have you been saying on the ground in terms for support for Trump from Gen Z voters?

Yeah, so we went to a Trump rally yesterday in Pittsburgh, and we wanted to talk to voters about why they're voting for him. And halfway through my interviews, I realized that every single person I interviewed was Gen Z. There were so many Gen Zers there, so it had to be a video about Gen Z support, so take a look right here.

Are you supporting Donald Trump? We are. Of course. Yes. Oh yeah. Absolutely. Oh yeah, big top. Yes, I am. I already voted 400%. Trump. Trump. Trump all the way. Donald J. Trump. Donald J. Trump. Hey, bro. And why are you supporting him?

You know, it's foreign policy. I don't want us to go to war. You know, I don't want to be drafted. Going to lower our taxes. It's going to make life more affordable again. I think mostly the economy. This stuff that's happened in the past couple of years hasn't been good for our country. I just think he's four of the people, and he's going to make this country good again. Well, pro life is a very big thing for me. Your economy is dead right now. Come on, Lynn. Joe have done absolutely nothing for this country. I just don't think I'm going to be able to buy a house. Is this your first time voting for Donald Trump? Yes, ma'am. First collection after. It is my first time. It sure is. This is my first time voting. It is.

Yes, first time voting. Yes, it is. Yeah. Why is it important for Gen Z to vote for Donald Trump? Because we're the future. If you want to be proud to be an American again, vote for Donald J. Trump's as easy as that. All right. Cassie, that's unbelievable. We're going to be checking back out, checking back with you throughout the evening. Thanks for being with us. Thanks so much.

Well, I may as well mention here, the decision desk HQ has Trump continuing to go up in the possibility of winning Cal sheet, which is a betting market. Cal sheet has Trump at a two to one favorite now in the betting markets. The same thing is happening over at Polymarket. So, you know, none of that means anything, but it also doesn't mean totally nothing.

If we were going the other way, certainly we would be seeing the celebration breaking out. It's a little too early for us to tune over to MSNBC and see, like, the bullets of sweat coming down people's case, like, a rough case in airplane. But don't get coffee. I know. Don't make people the vote.

I've been saying this for months now. You do not win presidential elections by supporting candidates. You win presidential elections by voting for candidates. And there's still time for most of the country to vote. Every single vote is going to matter. Elections in our lifetime have been decided by so few votes. If you make the decision to sit this one out, you may very well be making the decision for the people who represent your values or more broadly support your values.

to lose. Ben Cassie is at McCormick's campaign HQ in Pennsylvania. You actually did some campaigning with McCormick, didn't you? I did, and that is a tight state. So David's running an extraordinary campaign in Pennsylvania. You'll remember early on when Trump was struggling to find his sea legs against Kamala Harris, who's actually McCormick's campaign. That's putting out most of the great kickass ads against Kamala Harris. McCormick is a business person, so he really is data-driven.

And so he's really kind of broken down the state into granular detail. He's run a very solid campaign against Bob Casey, who of course is a long-time top-level Democratic political in the state. He was the governor of the state. He's the senator of the state now. That race is a toss-up. It's extremely tight. And so Pennsylvania is going to come down to the wire, and of course their voting procedures take four

or ever. There are apparently some precincts that are there now going to extend out until 10 p.m. tonight because of failures over there. That means guys take some Red Bull. We may be here just a little while, but Dave's a terrific candidate. He's really authentic. I had the chance to spend some time with pretty much.

Yeah, I'd say every swing state candidate with just a couple of exceptions. And David, this crop of swing state candidates this year, this is not 2022. This is not, we rated the local loony bin. We actually, we actually went on, got a bunch of good candidates like Eric Hovde in Wisconsin, who I think is going to win in Wisconsin.

And Bernie Moreno in Ohio, I think, is almost certainly going to win. That's me being confident, but I think he's almost certainly going to win in Ohio. I'd say the baseline for Republican Senate wins. I know we haven't talked to Senate races yet. Baseline for Republican Senate wins tonight is 52. That includes West Virginia. That includes Tim Sheehee, who I did campaign with in Montana, who is an amazingly good candidate. Tim Sheehee is terrific on the stump, really charismatic.

Excellent story. He was obviously in, I believe in Navy SEAL. So, you know, he's going to win, I think, walking away in Montana that takes you to 51. Bernie Moreno's the thing that's going to win all high. That's your 52. The question is, if you get to 53, 54, Kerry Lake snakes in, maybe even 55 tonight.

Listen, the stakes where the Senator concerns are so high. Should Donald Trump fail to carry the White House, the Senate could be the only institution that really stands between a President, Kamala Harris and the worst excesses of her policy agenda, including adding states to the country. And if Donald Trump wins the presidency, he's going to need the Senate in order to confirm his justices, confirm his nominees, advance his agenda, and give us the kind of conservative victories that we're looking for.

I was really proud of you for being out on the stump the way that you were, and we actually put together this video of some of your appearances throughout the election. This election is the most important election of our lifetimes. Everybody says that every single election cycle. But this one actually is.

Imagine Harris wins. Here's what we get to do in the Senate. We get to say no. If Democrats were to God forbid gain a triumph or at the kind of damage they would do to the country with the House, the Senate, and the presidency would be almost unthinkable at this point. She has already vowed that she would kill the filibuster if she were given that opportunity. She would then stack the Senate with a couple of extra states. She would stack the Supreme Court.

We're at really very high levels of violent crime. We need to secure the border with the wall and border patrol. The standard of education across all of America has gone in one direction, decline. What's at stake is not just slight differences in the marginal tax rate. What's at stake here are fundamental values, fundamental American values. There is a civilizational battle going on. And this election is part of that battle.

When I was a kid, my dad used to say to me over and over again. He said, Ted, when we lost our freedom in Cuba, I had a place to flee to.

If we lose our freedom here, where do we go? That's what the stakes of this election are. There's a party in this country that wants the future of America to be stagnation, social decay, foreign policy weakness, and then there's one party and there's one group of people who want America to build, so it's slowed forth. The greatest America has ever been. This is what President Trump's means when he says, make America great again. We want a secure border, safe streets, cheap gas, cops and good criminals are bad, boys and boys, girls and girls.

These Senate races are incredibly important, and it's not glitzy, glamorous work to go out and stump for, you know, it's a great thing to go out and stump with Trump, and you were able to go. It's a fundraiser for him this year, have him on your show, do an appearance on the anniversary of the October 7th.

massacre with him and get some great time with Trump, but it's really the sort of behind-the-scenes stuff that you did in its election. On your own dime, I should say, that's not a thing that's not a thing. It's a little expensive, yeah. I mean, it's cool. Yeah, it is cool. And going to these different places, I mean, first of all, the amount of respect that you should have for candidates who do this day and day out is really, really high. I mean, that is a rough job. Until you've been on a bus with one of these candidates just stopping place after place after place.

You know, going to with Sam Brown in Nevada and, you know, going around to three separate events where he tells life story three separate times and three separate groups of people. I mean, it's a grind. It's a real grind. And these people put their lives on hold to go and do that sort of stuff because they're taking it upon themselves and by and large, they're not doing it because they're career politicians. I mean, a lot of these people are incredibly successful in their day job. Eric Hovde is a very wealthy man. Bernie Moreno is a very wealthy man.

Dave McCormick is a super wealthy guy. These are people who have made it and they've decided they actually would like to give back to the country by going and doing this sort of stuff. So, you know, we should give them, it should be hats off to a lot of these people. I think we never think about that. We hold them accountable. We should hold them accountable. They represent us and they're supposed to represent our values. But these are people who legitimately take a better life and turn it in for a worse life in order to make the country better. And that I think requires us to take our hats off to them.

The American people just kick ass. I got to tell you, like, being out on the trail with these people is really, really cool. There's some really cool campaign experiences. Pretty amazing. I mean, really, really an amazing country, truly. Like, one that stands out was with Bernie Moreno in Northern Ohio. And this was just kind of an amazing thing. So, as in Northern Ohio, Bernie, I speak, it's like 1,000 people and maybe a town of 2,000 people total. And 1,000 show up to this event.

And I get up and I give my talk. It has a good time. And I'm about to take off. And one of the people from the town gets up and says, we want to give you a present. It's like, okay, well, you know, I've been a lot of events where they give you a plaque or they give you like a piece of paper or something, you know, something. And he said, no, here's an Israeli flag. This is Israeli flag. We're giving it to you because on October 7th,

One of us was so upset about that. They took this giant Israeli flag, stuck it on the back of his Ford F-150 in a town that has zero Jews. Zero Jews in Northern Ohio and started driving it around the town in solidarity with Jews and with Israel. And people in the town were so moved that pretty much every member of the town signed the flag. So I have this flag signed by like a thousand evangelical Christians and Catholics in Northern Ohio just in solidarity with Israel, with Jews.

It's a great country. It's a great country. This country is just, it's just effing fabulous. It really is. It's such a great country. And that's why it's so hard to watch when it's threatened by people who don't share any of those values and really think that Americans, those exact people are the bitter clangers, are the garbage, are the truly bad people, the bad guys in the story. And it's just such trash. It's not true. And that's why Donald Trump being a middle finger to those people.

is the thing that they deserve. They deserve that middle finger. They deserve it good and hard. I hope they're going to get it tonight. Speaking of which, by the way, Loudon County in Virginia just had a nine-point swing right. Loudon County. Okay. So people are showing up. So keep showing up, folks. We have no idea how rare this is.

I mean, that is what you just described would happen in no other country, not only currently in the world, but in the history of the world. There's not another country that would do that. And so much of this garbage that gets thrown at these people about how nasty and hateful they are comes from this place of utter ignorance. I mean, deep

enforced chosen ignorance and arrogance that the ignorance sort of abets. It's because they don't want to think of themselves as worse than anyone ever. They've chosen not to know about anyone else ever in the history of the world. And so they look at people, you know, all of whom have their flaws and their foibles, Americans,

included, and they think, you know, oh, these backwards hateful hicks, they're just, you know, spiteful Americans. I challenge you to travel the world and find another country where that will happen, especially with the Jewish fire. And Selena Zito has that thing where she goes out and she talks to people, and she found that no one else had done it. No one else had talked to them and seen the lives they live, which are interracial and completely accepting of all different kinds of people, and they just don't know.

It's unbelievable from the whitest areas of Ohio down to us on the border with Senator Cruz on Sunday night, and it's like the Rio Grande Valley, which is totally Hispanic, and everybody in the crowd is Hispanic. They have the same values, because those values are the values of America, and the value is family, community, hard work, virtually. Those are the values that are built to come and leave us the hell alone.

combined with autonomy, right, autonomy. We're now joined here at Daily Wire HQ by Brent Buchanan of Signal Pulling, the most well-respected pulling outfit in America. Welcome to the show, Brent. Good to talk to you. Hey, good to be here. So let's talk about the situation in Georgia. Obviously, there's an danger for Republicans and getting high on their own supply or kind of reading what's going on on Twitter. What is sort of your overall early take on what you're seeing out of Georgia right now? So there's a couple key counties to look at in Georgia. I actually grew up in one of them, and that is Fayette County here.

And in 2016, Trump won this county by 21 points. He only won it by 7 in 2020. And with 75% reporting, he's only at by 2. So when you're looking at a county like this, you're basically extrapolating this to quote the suburbs. Because this is on the south side of Atlanta, but it's a good 30 minutes outside of Atlanta.

But then you compare that to Baldwin County, Georgia, which in 2016 Trump lost it to Clinton by two. He lost it to Biden by one. Brian Kemp won it by seven. And currently Trump is plus six with 79% reporting.

So you start to see where you have these conflicting data points, some that are good for Trump, some that are good for Kamala Harris. What's interesting is that the Georgia Rurals are coming in pretty heavily Democratic on Election Day voting, meaning that the people who turned up on Election Day to vote in the rural counties in Georgia are more Democratic than they normally would have been.

And then when you look at some of the performance of the black counties, if the county's about mid-sized, it's performing pretty much like it did in 2020 right now. And in the really heavy black counties, you're seeing actually a Trump underperformance. So it's kind of a mixed bag right now in Georgia. We're really early at this point. I think there's only nine or 10% reporting. But the exit polls, take that for what it's worth, do show some signs of hope for Trump.

So when you look at all that, I know what you're asking you now to project out into the future, what are the indicators that you're going to look for as the vote starts to come in that's going to give you a better idea of the picture that's emerging from this kind of chaotic data?

Well, we're definitely going to want to see with the Northern Ark counties. So Cobb, Gwynette, Fulton County, kind of the north end of Atlanta. Those are the things you're going to be looking for. As of right now, none of those have reported. And then we're going to continue to watch what the rural counties have done. Because if you look in some other places like Indiana and Kentucky that have already reported a lot of counties, the rurals are actually up in those places about 1% or 2% above their 2020.

turnout percentages um... the question is are the suburban counties and are the urban counties at or above twenty twenty uh... turnout and we just don't have enough data in yet to answer that question so i mean that that seems like that a lot of the elections and come down to precisely that question not just in george but all over the country right are is the suburban vote up is the rural vote down you know given what you're seeing in some of the other states you know obviously so florida for what's worth was just called

Trump is just blowing it out in Florida because Florida has turned into a deep red state just over the course of the last couple of election cycles. There is this idea that there are these bellwether counties. How much stock do you take in the idea that there are bellwether counties where you can look at a county and then extrapolate that out nationally or to other swing states? I think once we have 100% of the vote in on a, quote, bellwether county, we can extrapolate it.

But so far, there's not many in the country where we have 100% reporting yet. But if you look at Osceola County as an example in Florida, that's north of Orlando. It has, I believe, the highest percentage of Puerto Rican population as a percentage of the whole of the county. And it moved even further right. Miami-Dade continued this march to the right. One thing also to keep in mind about Florida is the fact that it has

about a million more Republicans registered now because of the pandemic. And so to your point, it is no longer a purple or a swing state. It is 100% a red state now, especially with those trends. Yeah, it looks like speaking again, I'm just going to keep mentioning because it's awesome. Amendments three and amendments for both likely to be dead in Florida. Those are both trash, which means basically permanent Republican rule forever for the rest of the time. A thousand year reign of Ron DeSantis in Florida.

That's really good. I did want to ask you, Brent, about this sort of amazing statistic. The Loudoun County in Virginia has moved really toward Trump a lot. What does that mean? For not close washes of politics, you hear Loudoun County a lot, because obviously it came up a lot in the gubernatorial race between Glenn Young, Ken, and Terry McAuliffe. What does that mean if Loudoun County moved right from the last election cycle?

So it moves right because you're seeing a depression of Democrat turnout there. Not because it has the same number of people who voted and they shifted their votes. So that's definitely something to watch is what is that Democrat to Republican turnout ratio compared to the historical. Virginia in general is actually having a higher election day turnout as a percentage of total votes.

than they have had in the past. And they also count, the way Virginia goes is they count early votes first, and then they report election day votes after that. So I would expect to see that the DIMM turnout in that county goes up some. But Loudon County is actually 11% Indian, Asian, American population. And so if that holds and Trump is doing better in a county like that,

It's going to be very indicative of some of these sunbelt metro areas that have high Indian populations. And if she can't juice them in Loudoun County outside of Washington, D.C., she's going to have trouble doing that in Atlanta, in Phoenix, and in some of these other Raleigh Durham is another one that has high Indian populations. So Brent, obviously, we're super early in the night. Can you give us just like a quick preview into what sort of things you're going to be seeing over the next hour? What are you looking for in the next hour? Which areas, which poles are closing and what's going to come out?

Yeah, we're going to learn a lot from North Carolina and Georgia because they're on the East Coast and they're going to report earlier. They're going to report more often and we're going to know who won those earliest. And so a lot of these counties that we're watching like Fayette as an example in Georgia

that was very heavily Trump and has been slowly less Trump over time. Once that gets to 100% reporting, where does Trump stand? And that'll give us a really good idea of what some of these swing states, suburban counties are looking like. But what we're seeing overall is that turnout is

likely to exceed 2020, which a lot of people said that if we even got to that point that it would be historic. And so we really find ourselves in this place where under 2020 turnout, it's 100% Trump win, at 2020 turnout, a little bit of a Harris advantage. You get above 2020 turnout and we're in unprecedented territory, which it's kind of hard to see.

who that gives an advantage to until we start to see some of this urban rural, suburban turnout differential above. How high each of them go above 2020? As Brent Buchanan, we're going to be back with you in just a little while and keep these updates going. Our election map coverage this evening is possible, is made possible by our sponsor, Lumen. Hack your metabolism with one simple device. Understand your body more with Lumen.

First of all, that wasn't positive enough. So if we could not go back to him again, that's great. But Florida, we talked about how great Florida is because it's deep red and all that. Also, they're gonna have all their votes counted like soon. And this is the third, I think the third most populated state in the country.

And so it's just like there's no excuse why every other state in the country can't count all their votes if Florida can. There is an excuse. Florida is able to count their votes so quickly because Jeb Bush was their governor for eight years and then Rhonda Santas has been their governor for what the last six years. And as it turns out,

Republicans can figure out how to run elections. Democrats in swing states cannot figure out how to run elections. Almost as though, Democrats in swing states are incentivized not to figure out their elections. There's a lot of talk about how we shouldn't have voting machines. And I remember when I used my first voting machine in California.

You would make your selections, and then the printout would happen, and the printout was a sort of dot matrix barcode sort of situation. You had no way of knowing what the printout said. And so again, as we discussed earlier, there's at least the opportunity for evil, at least the appearance of evil. I used a machine here in Tennessee to vote. First of all, Tennessee has an amazing election party. The ballot was basically three pages, not one of these 75 page monstrosities. There were three pages worth of things to vote on.

So it was super easy, right? Like Donald Trump, Marshall Blackburn, don't raise my taxes and then get print. And when you hit print, it prints out the ballot for you to turn in. And you can look at the ballot and see where it printed all of your selections. Right there on the ballot in dot matrixing, it said, Donald Trump, Marshall Blackburn, don't raise my freaking taxes and stop asking me. And then I went over and turned it in. So there was no opportunity, even with an electronic system,

There was no opportunity for impropriety. The electronic system was just a different way of arriving at a printed ballot that could be read by a human. But it's not only- Again, there's no reason why any state in America can't be doing that. But it's not only red states is every other country on Earth that has free legal democratic voting, they all count their- Yeah, yeah, yeah, I said- And then they get it right- What part of- What part of Democrat-controlled swing state? Did you- Did you confuse the free countries that run democratic elections?

I have to say, I'm watching the vote in Virginia and it's close. It's 32% of the vote is in, 47 to Donald Trump has, 51.1 is Kamala Harris and there's still the counties that are open right in the middle of the state.

Like, you know, Katie Gorka, who is both the brains and beauty of the Gorka organization, is working very hard in Fairfax County and doing just an amazing job, even though she knows the county will be lost. She believes that she can bring out enough people that will obviously feed in to a Trump victory. You know, they have done a lot of stuff.

including go to the Supreme Court to make sure the integrity is good. I voted in the bluest of the blue parts of the state. I thought I felt very secure. I felt the election was being very well run. You know, there's absolutely no question of identity or anything like that. It was really well done. And, uh, gee, it's now we used like three points. Now that's so forth. Just about four.

so i don't know i i i will i will not be bold over if the state that elected glenn youngkin the moment i arrived has now become not that you're taking credit i know i know it's exactly what i'm doing i take it in fairness our very own matt wall shit uh... and are very own uh... who's our wonderful reporter

who broke the ladder. No, it's just me. Don't worry about it. Luke Rosiac. Luke Rosiac. Goodness. We've been on the air only two hours. Yeah. Yeah. Luke Rosiac actually is the reason that Florida became a potentially red state. But yeah, listen, as has been said all night, the polls were so close going into this race that an error in either direction could result in a very wild swing. Yeah. And it

You know, it's very early yet. We should keep in mind that in many of these states, the system is sort of rigged to look like it is rigged. By that, I mean they tend to count in-person votes first, which tend to be more likely Republican. And then after that, they start bringing in the early and absentee mail-in ballots, which tend historically to be blue. And so you end up in this situation where it looks like we're winning, and then they suddenly discover all the ballots, even if that's not actually what happens.

which again gives the appearance of evil. And the opportunity for evil. Something about this election that makes it so hard, I'm sure for the pollsters who are all being risk-averse and basically saying, oh, it's coin toss, don't yell up at me. But something that makes it really difficult to model out this election for anyone is that they changed all the rules last time.

So in order to be able to model out elections, you have to have precedent to base it on. And we really don't have precedent anymore. And this election is being conducted differently even than 2020. So for instance, early voting and mail-in voting usually gives a big advantage to Democrats. This year, looking at early voting out into that, that's actually not what it should. So we really just don't know. It's just unpleasant for pundits and pollsters to say. But we do know this.

Maybe the only case that I thought should have been adjudicated was the case in Pennsylvania where they changed the rules against their own constitution, and Clarence Thomas agreed with me, and he's a pretty bright legal mind. Not like me, but he's up there.

GOP has been much more on top of that leading up to it. I mean, as many people have said, you know, it's easier to put a car together before it falls off a cliff. And I think that that was what they were doing after the last election. And I think that GOP is, you know, need some praise there for actually paying attention, manning the barricades, making sure the legal eyes were dotted. And I think that's really happened to some degree. I'll add to, I spoke to

hundreds of voters in states like Georgia and in Michigan and Pennsylvania. And one of the questions I asked all of them was, how do you feel about your vote this year? How do you feel about the integrity of the selection? And I can't tell you how many of them brought up the fact that the RNC and the Donald Trump were pouring resources in to having poll watchers. And that message is trickling down to the average voter where you might think there'd be a fear of them saying, well, if you really think that the election was right last time, why would you vote this time? But that messaging from the top

They are aware on the ground that the RNC has invested so many resources into this. And I do think that contributes to, you know, higher turnout that we might have seen. Let me ask you a question. You go out and you interview voters. Do you think you're getting random-sex selections of voting? We try our best. So in all the states I went to, we would go to different grocery stores, gas stations.

walk around in different counties, so I'd pull up data from different counties in 2020, and we'd try and get as representative a sample as possible. And to our conversation about the polls, why it's so difficult to get an accurate representation, I think that even after eight years, you might get this idea that, oh, well, the silent Trump voter doesn't really exist. It's become so normalized. They're still out there. They're still talking. They're much more confident now.

I actually got to the point after all these interviews where I could tell who someone was voting for based on how they shot me down when I requested any of you. So about two-thirds of people wouldn't talk to me. I'm just very intimidating and mainly I'd walk up to a parking lot. Two-thirds would say no, but I'd still ask all those people, well, who are you voting for? Most would tell me. The people who initially said, oh, I'm in a rush or I can't talk.

Those are mostly Harris voters. The people who said, I don't want to talk to you, you're a medium person, or I don't want to talk on camera. Those people were overwhelmingly for Trump. I had an 80 year old lady who accosted our camera guy, making sure that the camera was off. And then she said, okay, it's off. I'm voting for Trump. I had people mouth the word Trump to me. You wouldn't even say it out loud.

And these weren't fairly red areas in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan. And so I do think there is still a sizable chunk of people who would not, with a gun to their head, tell a pollster who they're voting for. And that's the question. Have the pollsters figured a way around that? Right. Trump is not within 2% in Virginia, with 36%. And I'm not a poll reader. I don't actually look at the RCP things. But that's pretty close. Yeah, not to belabor the point.

Florida has 88% of their voice votes counted. Pennsylvania has 7%. Right. There's no excuse for that. That's outrageous. No, but Florida is on the East Coast. Right, that's true. By the way, I just was thinking, if I may inject the absurd because it's such a serious evening.

that the daily wire evening does not function as baseball does. When you are removed, you can return to the game. Just the thought. And actually, since the rule changes, we also have a designated hitter. We're so thankful for tonight's sponsors. We're going to take a moment to tell you about one of them right now, and we'll be right back.

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So results are starting to come in. We're starting to get some data. And as we've heard, a lot of the data is conflicting, but there's every reason for a certain amount of cautious optimism. I stepped out a bit ago and we have a wonderful party taking place immediately outside the studio where a lot of our sort of friends of the Daily Wire, people who live here in Tennessee, some of our family, even some influencers who came in from around the country are together having camaraderie, watching the results. And someone asked me, how are you feeling? And I said, well, I'm not feeling single.

No, that would be crazy. I'm not crazy. Also, I think one of the reasons that we've been able to be successful in business is because as a general rule, I always take the position that we're a point behind. In every success, I'm the wrong guy to have in the room. Sometimes they'll come to me and they'll say, hey, we really need to give a pep talk.

to the team, and my pep talk always goes something like, you know, we could have done better. But we did do something good. So I'm not one generally for being overly optimistic, but I do think there's constant optimism. So they're out there, they're drinking margaritas. And so then I was one, if Trump does win, I think I will have a glass of the scotch that Matt has here. And if Trump loses, I think I will drink gasoline. I don't know if we have that.

All right, so here's my vow then. If Trump wins, I will drink anything you give me, which is more than I have drunk in 50 years. I love tobacco, I don't like alcohol. You will raise a glass. There is no question about it. You know, it's funny.

another moment of levity. I said after a 2016 for years in speeches on the radio that the night Trump won, might have been the happiest night of my life, and I would add including the birth of my two sons.

The left went ballistic. The left went, Prager is so, so evil that he was happier when Trump won and when his own sons were born. Have you told your sons that? Oh, they think it's a riot. They tend to believe it.

You know, this may have been covered while I was out, but I'm only just now seeing that West Virginia Governor Jim Justice won his state Senate race, which is the first flip of a seat for the GOP. We've been talking about how important it is that we hold the Senate, whether the result of the presidential election goes our way or not, the Senate is of vital importance, either for stymying the Harris agenda or advancing the Trump agenda. So picking up a seat in West Virginia with Jim Justice

That, you know, had we lost that seat, we could all go home. That was the seat we really really was a guarantee. Is there a state that you guys who I do believe are more expertise in the political realm?

I have more expertise. Is there a state, I mean, I don't say California or New York. I mean, a real, a possible state that if you learned now when for Trump, Virginia, that would be it. Yeah, it would be for all of you, Virginia. Certainly, if you won Virginia, I think we could go home.

I will say that I was just at the daily wire party, as I said, and our dear friend, Siaka, AKA Black Jeremy, did tell me he thinks there's a chance New York goes for Trump. So I don't think that no one is sanctuary. There is a certain amount of sanctuary. It's now in Virginia, it's now 48.5 for Trump, 49.8 for come hours with the poll, 37% of the votes come. I just want to say, I think we can go home now.

in general you know that there's also we're talking a little bit about how much watch watch the coverage of the good asleep or what uh... what uh... we're talking about with with some of the senate races there are some real opportunities oh yeah i mean uh... wisconsin look that's going to depend a little bit on the top of the ticket to but iraq have these run uh... a good campaign there i feel good about bernie morano in ohio i even feel pretty good about mike rogers in michigan i'm not saying i feel

uh... the odds are still stacked against him in michigan but you think you think you think sherrod brown could lose i think that bernie marino has run a great republican campaign i think that there is a chance that shared brown loses i'm not saying i would put money on that i would put more money on hofty than i would on uh... marino but i think he's run a good campaign and i think roger's for that matter you know michigan has trended a little bit blue but i think mike roger's is running michael i have to say to that point the roger's slacking race

I saw an all-time troll billboard in this race. I was in Dearborn last week. You know, all around, every single sign is an Arabic, and there's all the flags for different ways. In the heart of Dearborn is a giant billboard with a picture of Kamala Harris, in Slotkin, and an Israeli flag. And it says, Kamala in Slotkin,

always friends of Israel. And it looks like a Harris ad. And the bottom says something like, you know, paid for by friends of Harris. And it says, these women have always and always will stand with Israel, right in the heart of Dearborn. Wow. And I saw it and initially thought, does the Harris campaign have the worst strategy ever over with their billboards? And I looked it up later and it was a Republican pack.

You know, I just to add to Matt's, keep his mood up because he gets depressed, it's ugly, you know. But my friend, Jeff Anderson, of the American Main Street Initiative, he was one of Trump's chief statisticians when he was in office. And we've been talking every Sunday, basically, and he's been saying, oh, well, I don't know. And tonight, he said his prediction is that Trump has a 55%.

chance of winning the election. He's a very good poll watcher and quite has not been optimistic. He's been very neutral. By my math though, Drew, I'm not a poll watcher either. That means that Trump has a 45% chance of losing. I like the 55%. However, it's now virtually tied in Virginia. I don't even know what I'm looking at, but it's virtually tied. It is now 49.18 to 49. And do you think four years ago at this point it would have been different?

Well, you know, Andrew, do you know how to work this laptop? I'm projecting optimism. You can't call, but I'd like you to declare it.

I don't know. Dennis, what's the answer for you? Is there a state that if it goes blue or if it goes red? No, there isn't. I really, I know what I know and I don't, I know what I don't know, which is a gift in life if anyone can achieve that. So I, my, my read

My inclination is always the forest, not the trees. So I do believe I understand the currents shaping the West in general on America specifically. But the question of what state will do or what state matters.

to make the call that I asked to you, not because I have one in mind. I really wanted to know if you had one in mind, because then I'll watch that stay happily. And you all seem, or at least the majority seem to say Virginia. But because that's such a reach. I mean, if Wisconsin came in and Trump won Wisconsin,

and we took the Senate seat. That I think is more realistic, and I would feel really good going into the rest of the night. On the other side of that, if Donald Trump loses North Carolina,

it isn't impossible for him to win the presidency but i think that it would be almost impossible not not even necessarily because of the electoral math but because it's indicative it would be indicative that would be a terrible thing for us to see early in the evening so is north carolina determined by roly durham

Because I don't know what else, what am I missing? Mecklenburg County. Oh wait, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill. So right Chapel Hill, is that what it's called? So it's all, the big university towns have been poisoned by the university. It's all that little triangle, right? You know, Chapel Hill and Rock. Oh, so that's a try. So that's it, basically, because I can't imagine the rest of North Carolina is Democrat. What do you think about it, Kevin?

i think yet mecklenburg county is another big one there uh... to watch where charlotte is uh... i agree to you that i think from electoral standpoint you can pick up sixteen electoral votes with the bad and there's only which you could well do or georgia sixteen as well as north carolina but it's more about what it would mean

the indication. And the black vote there is another one that I think is interesting to keep an eye on. They have the eighth highest rate of black voters in the entire country, Georgia's third. So I'm interested to see the turnout of black men in Georgia and the Atlanta area compared to North Carolina.

Another reason why that'd be a bad sign is that, you know, and we moved on from it in like 45 seconds like we do from everything. But in North Carolina, that's where the Biden-Harris administration had their Hurricane Katrina moment. That's correct. And if there's no price to pay for that at all, like for George Bush,

That was a major scandal the last of months and months. We still remember it. And if there's just no price to pay for that, that you could have that kind of devastation in American communities or basically abandoned by the federal government. Yes. If there's no price, then- Okay. If there is no price, it reinforces the point I made two hours ago when I was on.

And that is the ability of the press to brainwash even in a free society, which was revelatory to me, because my field of study was Soviet affairs. I learned Russian to read Proveda, the Communist paper. And it was a given to me that you could only brainwash people in a tyranny.

It is now not true. I know for a fact you can brainwash people in a free society. The fact that the press made a big deal about Katrina and nothing about this shows you how profoundly the press will influence people even when it happens to them.

The press defines, it's eerie. The press defines reality for the people who lived the reality, not just for the people in other states that didn't have a storm. It's a very scary part of human nature.

A little interruption for some results out of Georgia. It continues to trend in Trump's favor right now. So we've got 55-44 for Trump. That's with 54% of the votes in. I believe an hour ago, decision desk HQ, our partners here, gave Trump something like 69% chance of winning Georgia. That continues to hold pretty strong. If Trump pulls Georgia,

uh... he's in the nights on track that is on the fight yeah and north carolina right now actually trending and heres's direction fifty one forty seven but that's only with just over ten percent yet report me there they're just getting started in the carolina some of the head in virginia with the time to say that they they believe that race leans toward harris because of the remaining votes favorite matt to your point about north carolina in the devastation there i was on the ground two weeks ago and swan and oah ashville the surrounding communities there

the devastation of a still a month and a half later most americans have forgotten about in the federal government also seems to have been a little bit the amount of people i talk to on the ground there about the election and these were in very red areas ashville obviously very liberal but the surrounding counties those are some of the reddest in the entire state none of them had even thought about the election this was two weeks ago and i asked them hey do you know if you're pulling locations damage you're gonna be able to go vote

They were all like, oh, I forgot that there's even an election going on. And so I'll be very interested to see what the voter turnout looks like in those counties, not necessarily because they aren't able physically to vote, because I did hear on the ground from a number of Republican officials that they were getting the voting center's operational, but that they're so devastated by other things that it's just the last thing on their mind right now.

is it still the the area still looks like a disaster zone or what is it yes it was it was a disaster zone entire communities it looked like a nuclear bomb and gone off so right now it's still

They were just wrapping up the recovery of bodies when I was there, so I went out with a team of kid-aver dogs with a group of veterans there, but the- Do the people have any resentment towards the federal government or how do they feel- I expected that there would be more, to be totally honest, I expected there would be more when I got there, and any time I brought up their opinion of the federal government or their opinion of the Biden-Harris administration, they

with the exception of one or two people, they just said, I don't want to talk about politics right now. They said, I lost my neighbor or my house got destroyed. I don't want to talk about politics. And so there might be that resentment there. And that might be in other areas. But for the people who are actually hit, I didn't get the sense that they were

thinking about the political aspect of it, although I will say I talked to a number of victims who said it was five or six days before they met a single government aid worker. And that the only people helping them, it was the Redneck Air Force that I was embedded with for a day of veterans who just flew out Chinook helicopters that were private to run recovery missions. Those were the people that were on the ground first. And remember how Bush was excoriated, because he only flew over New Orleans at first. But Biden didn't show up at all, I don't think. And Kamala did that ridiculous

Which, by the way, flying over it is a totally sensible thing to do. What do you want to do? Repel down into the middle of the plaza. But Kamala Ray, Kamala made no attempt to pretend to care. So some numbers also coming out from the New York Times. My favorite thing to do on election night is to look at the liberal websites and outlets. So right now,

The Times says it's still a toss-up, obviously, but it's estimating Trump 279 Harris 259. The New York Times is giving Trump a 59% chance of winning Harris a 41% chance. What matters here is that it's trending in Trump's direction. So it's breaking away. The New York Times is predicting a Trump victory? Yes. It says it's a toss-up, but they're giving a clear, a decisive-

something to drink now. I know, we're getting close. I really want to know. I really want to know why he stopped drinking before we take him up. I just become so violent. Even my friends, I talk to them with them. So you've never had a Yeager bomb. Don't ask any questions. I was wondering why everybody at the party is naked now.

so i want to take a few questions from our daily wire plus members uh... the first one here juril as this one of you if kamala loses this year twenty-fifth amendment biden and become president for the remaining three months of his term which isn't three i guess it is three months interesting probably not i mean the country seems to be running perfectly as well as it was the action says running perfectly well it's running as well as it was on the back we had a president

when we actually had a president. So obviously it's been run by a cabal of leftist bureaucrats, secretly manipulated by the Machiavellian Barack Obama from the seller or something like that. And so I don't think they want to do anything that dramatic. I actually do believe if Trump wins convincingly,

There will be wiser heads on the left to start to understand that they are seen that when they try to silence us, they are seen trying to silence us, which was not true five years ago. I do think that it's true. And Ben said this yesterday while we were on 10 cast IRL together that

uh... the left you have to give them credit for being professional at politics and they are willing to run more moderate campaigns if they think that that's the pet the path to power you know in my lifetime i mean by today's standards bill clinton was basically a republican president particularly during his first term he famously said the area of the government is over that they're willing to do that if that's what it takes to win but you know what when you get to the stakes in the election i just want you know what

Why do I want Donald Trump to win? I mean, obviously, I like to not be engaged in wars. I like this ice of action to actually defeat ISIS. I like killing Soleimani and Iraq. I like the tax cuts. I liked the judicial appointments. I liked the executive orders. But I really want Trump to win more than anything for these two reasons. I want the left to have to wake up in four years and see Donald Trump leave office.

Because they've essentially said that he won't. I mean, they've said this guy's hitler. He's a fascist. He's a dictator. He comes into power. It's the end of everything. So in the same way that I want to get to whatever the day is when it's too late to save the planet from global warming, just so they have to stop talking. Like either way, they have to stop talking about it. They're going to keep talking. I also want to.

But the number one reason I want Donald Trump to win is because I want an end. FDR got elected to a fourth term. Let's not elect Barack Obama. We have a fourth term. Barack Obama has essentially been the power in the Democrat Party.

for the last sixteen years the reason he was so quick to uh... to advance como Harris for this role is because she's a vacuous brain dead probably drug and alcohol-addled uh... non-person machine she literally is the non-person player whatever at that uh... the non-person character

Which means that Barack Obama just gets four more years of essentially being the most powerful person, not vested with the power of constitutional authority. But vested with just the power of influential authority in that party, I want that to be gone. If you defeat Kamala Harris now, in four years the Democrats are gonna have to run an actual candidate. And an actual candidate will have their own opinions and their own ideas and won't just be a puppet for Barack Obama and his former staff.

That's why Barack Obama doesn't want that to happen. It's why he wanted Joe Biden, even though he doesn't, he hates Joe Biden. But he liked the fact that Joe Biden was already dead. He likes the fact that Kamala Harris is maybe has never been alive. So it would just delight me if we no longer had Barack Obama. The cheap reason I want to see Trump win, there are many, many reasons you named most of them. But the chief one is because without violence and without violating the First Amendment, I want the news media to know how

how much we despise them, how much we distrust them, how much we see them lying. I do not know how to send that message any better than to re-elect Donald Trump and to say, you know what? Because it means they were irrelevant. They were irrelevant, yeah. That's right, yeah. So was the question raised, if she loses, would they make her president for the last three months? If she wins, would they make her president?

well i think i think i think you lose you know i know you're correct it's yeah yeah yeah so with it it i have a i have a thought on that that it would be in our interest

that she were president for three months, then they can never say again the black woman president. They would have lost that idiotic pointless. If there's something I loathe, it is tribalism.

I remember when a beautiful human being, Joe Lieberman, was named vice presidential candidate under Al Gore. I knew Lieberman personally. Talk about an honorable man in politics. Everyone recognized that. I didn't vote for him. My relatives did. And one of my relatives, who's a very, very bright and wonderful human being, said, Dennis,

We finally think about it. A Jew, vice president of the United States, and you're voting for the Republicans? And I didn't bother arguing, but I realized I don't think that way. I don't believe I need to look like my leaders. I don't believe I need to be the same ethnic group or religious group. There is no part of me that understands why that is a beautiful idea.

But, Dennis, don't you think that Valium-addicted, brain-dead, young women of mixed ethnicity deserve to see a president who looks like them? It's been too long, really.

Isn't it a certain insinuations out of your comments? You get this, the argument, the one that drives me, well, we want a Supreme Court that looks like America, or we want a this that looks like America. I'm one of the 10 million people who've asked this question, but it's nevertheless worth asking, does anybody rooting for their NBA team care if the team looks like it? Seriously, right?

And that's not what they want anyway, because it looks like America means that any institution is 13% black and they want to do a lot more than that. But before we go around the table to talk about why we want Trump to win, we've already covered a lot of the good reasons, but I also think it'll just be hilarious if Trump goes to an O against female. If the first two female presidential...

That candidates are defeated by Donald Trump. That would be a good one. That would be hilarious. That relates to Jeremy's a little, because that was a really insightful point, Jeremy, when you said, I want Trump to win so that the Democrats, so we can all see the day when he leaves office and that will prove them wrong. And he didn't declare himself Caesar. I want Trump to be president so that he declares himself Caesar, and reigns forever, and Barron will take over after him, and we will have a glorious box

Tumbana that will auger great goods for the world. Well, I didn't kick the question to him. We're gonna take a minute to show you some of the cool stuff going on here at Daily Wire and we will be right back. We want to be the world's greatest media company.

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we're going to knock it out of the art and no one else is gonna do it.

it really has been an unbelievable four years since the last presidential election if you'll recall four days after the twenty twenty election we move the daily wire out of los angeles which have been my home for twenty years drew some since the mid-1700s it's been so his entire life except for that brief stent at uh... at harvard and we moved to national or our adopted home home of the company with a great governor in billy a great

Attorney General, great state government here. A real welcoming red state, even though, of course, Davidson County is a blue county.

And in that time, on election night 2020, we announced that we were first moving into entertainment, and we've really accomplished an incredible amount since that time. Not only has Matt, I think, made the two most important documentaries basically of my lifetime. Not only have we made movies with Gina Carano, acquired the rights from Dallas, Sonya, and Bonfire legend to the remarkable run-hide fight,

But we also have made the pin dragon cycle, which will be launching next year. We brought you Ben Key, our children's app, which is one of the things that we're the most proud of. All this work is made possible by our daily wire members. We'll be taking more questions from them throughout the evening. If you're not a member, please consider becoming one. We're running a great special today. If you use promo code FIGHT at dailywireplus.com slash subscribe, you will get 47% off. 47 because we hope that Donald Trump is the 47th president.

I recognize that there is some risk in the promo code and believe you me, if the night doesn't go the way we want, we will change the promo code very, very quickly. So we get an update out of decision desk HQ. They're putting Trump's chances in North Carolina at 73%. That's good. Pretty good. Pretty good. Georgia also looking pretty good.

I don't want to count our chickens, but another shout out for my boys in Florida. First big polling miss in the evening. Those RCP averages had Trump at plus eight and Rick Scott at plus 4.5. They're both going to win by plus 12. Whoa, whoa, that's great. Florida, how do you feel about Florida? Yeah, I love it. It's the best. Let me just tell you how much Florida kicks ass. Okay. This is how a good Florida is. Florida put up for constitutional referendum, abortion on demand and legalized marijuana and both went down in flaming defeat because Florida is as stated.

It is great. You know, I thought the abortion one would go down. I didn't think the other one would go down. Well, so again, DeSantis got on his horse and he like actually did the work in that state. And Brian Kemp, by the way, did that in Georgia too. Like seriously, full credit to Brian Kemp, who Trump crapped upon for literally years. And Brian Kemp went out and he's been stumping for Trump. I mean, he's been doing the work.

Now, let's put it this way. The good graces go both ways. Again, just go one way. We've talked about Donald Trump, you know, forgiving his enemies and people who have opposed him. And it also works the other way. There are a lot of people who, you know, Donald Trump did not treat amazingly well over the course of the last few years, who have shown up for him. I mean, we all remember he didn't treat Ron as handsome, particularly well. His hands went out and he worked very, very hard for Donald Trump in the state of Florida and it makes a big difference. When we unify, it's better. It's better.

Yeah, that's right. Do any of you have a theory? I had him on my show today and I almost never have politicians on it. I'm not anti-politician. I don't have that silly view. They run the gamut like any other group of human beings. But it's just... Who are scum-sucking bottoms? Yeah, yeah, yeah. But it's just not the nature of my show. But I so admire Ted Cruz. He is such a fighter for good things.

is he really in trouble and in the head cress was in trouble in this race i consider ted my only friend in government and it's again i i think that as far as come sucking bottom dwellers go and a friend of the daily wire and he he was in genuine trouble but for one thing

There has been an enormous shift in Texas, and the shift in Texas is not that they've imported a bunch of Californians. As it turns out, the Californians they've imported are largely conservative. It's that they have this uncontrolled border. They've had it now for so long that it is beginning to erode Texas. I mean, it is still decidedly a red state, but it is purpling up. And Ted was trailing behind Trump in the state in poll after poll.

The Democrats decided to run Colin Allred, who is something of a cultural figure. He was obviously a Tennessee Titan NFL football player. So the kind of guy who could get some sizzle down in Texas, and it became the most expensive Senate race in the country. That's what he said. They spent an enormous amount of money trying to unseat Ted. And one of the reasons Ted is vulnerable is because Trump kind of shivmed him at the RNC, you know, back in 2016. And because Ted has played so

hard himself with people like Mitch McConnell and his colleagues in the Senate, that they didn't give him a lot of support from the institution in this race. And so I do think that at the beginning of this race, and even as recently as six weeks ago, there was a lot of very concerning polling for Ted coming out of Texas. I got to get involved in that race actually in my own way, not as a representative of the Daily Wire, but as

a friend of Ted Cruz and I wrote an ad for him, which I think turned out maybe to be the ad, the state level ad that had the most money spent on it out of any race in the country this year. I was really proud of the ad. I assume you probably saw the ad it was the ad where...

Colin Allred tackles a little girl in the football field because he supported transgenderism in sports. That's right. And it was a brutal ad, I'm not going to lie. But it turns out it was very effective and the super PAC spent a lot of money on it, on airing it in Texas.

I think that Ted has run a great campaign in Texas, and I do not think he goes into the evening tonight in trouble. It would be, in fact, I'll go so far to say, I think that if Ted Cruz loses his race in Texas, Kamala Harris is going to win. The presidency, they're going to win the Senate, they're going to win that, like, yes. Whereas I don't know that that was necessarily the case, even as recently as eight weeks ago, but he's put in the effort

He's right breaking the tension all over the state. And Ben campaigned with him two days ago. Yeah, like massive, massive energy for Ted Cruz. By the way, one piece of interesting NBC exit. Again, always with the proviso that exit polls are chicken entrails, but the Pennsylvania Independent Voter exit poll at NBC News.

Trump 50 hairs 44. If that holds, Trump's gonna win, Pennsylvania's gonna win the presidency. So, you know, let's hope that that holds. Well, meanwhile, Brent Buchanan from Signal, he is with us and he has some updates from Georgia. Brent, tell us all about what's happening in Georgia as more of the vote is coming in.

Well, we're starting to see some of the northern counties begin to report, which is what we had talked about earlier. And so we look at places like Cobb County, Georgia here is beginning to report. So this is a very large county that in the past has voted for Joe Biden. Let me look at the numbers here. So this was a.

a seat that, or a county that Joe Biden won by 14 points, and you can see that currently he is doing some quick math here. I love tens of a percentage. She's currently up by 16 points, or she's up by 16 points in this seat. So one of the biggest trends that we're beginning to see across Georgia specifically is that there are some places where she's doing better. She's improving upon Biden's margins. The vote share is higher, but then you're starting to see some of these rural county

It's come in also too. And so we've got Forsyth County here as an example. And this is a county that Trump won by 33 points and currently he is up by 37. So you can see you've got kind of a counterbalance effect here of two northern ark Georgia counties. Red America is getting redder and blue America is getting bluer is what this tells me.

That's a really good point. And then you throw in, again, let's go back to Fayette County that we were talking about earlier. This is a county that Trump won by seven. And now you can see how tight this margin is. And so if we're talking about blue and red America, Fayette County is the county in between, blue and red America. And it has shifted someone in her direction.

uh... overall we're seeing a lot of the same trends in that the rules are doing better uh... but but this partisanship gap of if you were in a blue county you're getting your your voted even more heavily blue at least in the swing states and again i go back to which you brought up in in the last segment talking about loud and county that's a really interesting place because they had two hundred twenty thousand

votes in 2020, that's down to about 212,000. So an 8,000 vote drop. And it looks to have almost come exclusively off of the back of Kamala Harris. And so Donald Trump is performing at his ballot. She actually a little bit above the ballot share that he got in 2020 in a county like that. And then you combine that with Florida, which is just wildly red. And you begin to see how

The national polling has showed a very tight presidential race and we saw a lot of this in 2022 also where Republicans were at plus two nationally on the generic ballot and ended up in that place and then just barely won the House of Representatives. And so I don't think this election is turning out so far to look

much like 2020 or even 2016. It's got a lot of 2022 vibes to it, at least that we're starting to see come in. And that's very strong Republican votes, but it's not showing up evenly across the country. And so I'm really interested to see

what other states that aren't like a Florida as they come in. We're sitting here at Georgia in total of about 63% reporting. This margin continues to get closer as the votes are counted. And I think this is going to be a really indicative state as we begin to go through the night.

Again, it feels a whole lot like 2022 right now where Republicans are performing very strongly, but it's not necessarily netting us yet in the places that we need it to net us vote. It's just increasing our margins in places like Florida and Loudoun County that actually don't matter that much overall.

Well, let's talk about sort of, you know, the question of voting by race. We've seen some exit polls that show that Trump is performing strongly so far in Hispanic districts. There was an exit poll that somebody had cited earlier that suggested that he was doing well with black men in Georgia. Well, what did the turnout look like? Do we know yet in terms of exit polling or any other data what the turnout looks like racially in a state like Georgia, which is obviously a very heavily demographically black state?

Yeah, a lot of those counties haven't reported yet, especially the rural black counties. So if we come down to some of these counties down here, so Coffee County, we can look at some of the census data of what this looks like. I mean, this is 28% black. What's really interesting is that this county actually looks a whole lot, at least racially, like the state of

Georgia, it does over index on Hispanic and under index Asian, but it gets the black percentage about right when you're thinking about what the voting population is going to be. And then as we look at the results for Coffee County, it hadn't come in at all. So there's just several places where

There's not a ton of votes. I mean, they're expecting what? 16,000 votes here for Coffee County is an example, but there's just a lot of holes in the map still. And even when we look at places like Fulton County here, 74% reporting. I mean, this is turning out pretty much like you would project. So this Fulton County is Atlanta and then goes into Buckhead and a little bit further north.

into that top part there that you see. And so I would say we're still pretty early in the night. If we're going to say that they're good Republican data points and good Democrat data points, if I had to compare the two, I would say that there are more good Republican data points so far coming in. And they tend to look like it's trending even more so that direction.

and we do have a couple of of calls from the associate press the associate press is saying that virginia is going to go for a common harris uh... and they are also suggesting uh... that uh... i i believe uh... what was their state there there's a state they just called for for a common harris uh... illinois i believe mess choose a new hampshire new Hampshire is the one that that was a sort of my outlier then there goes my map what i'm not my map was in my dream map he wins new hampshire they called the hamster for common harris uh... as well so uh...

What exactly happened in New Hampshire? Because there were some dreams. Some of us had dreams. Those dreams have been dashed of New Hampshire turning red.

Well, again, it's 33% reporting, so we can't really look into it and say what happened. I think it's just if you're looking at states that aren't actually that competitive and have not had hundreds of millions of dollars spent on them, they're kind of performing like you would expect them to perform. Not a lot of money was spent in Florida this go around, and I think that depresses the Democrat and left-leaning non-affiliated voter turnout there.

and a place like New Hampshire, there wasn't much advertising. We did a huge study in 2022 after the election and looked at where large amounts of spendings went compared to races that didn't have a lot of spending. If it was a red seat and it didn't have any spending, you actually saw severe drops in democratic turnout because they had no reason to show up. They knew it was going to be a guaranteed victory. Places like New Hampshire are a really good example where

not a whole lot of money spent, not even a ton of money in the congressional races comparatively were spent. And so it's just giving you what you would expect it to give you in a final result. Well, Brent Buchanan, we'll check back in shortly. Our election map coverage this evening is made possible by our sponsor, Lumen. Hack your metabolism with one simple device. Understand your body more with Lumen. It's interesting that Trump is running ahead of Kamala.

in Virginia, and the Times is saying that she still leans her way, but they're not saying... Well, I mean, they've actually called it for her. He called it for her. Look, but that's why, again, we're the amateurs. I mean, like, really, if they're calling it, the reason that they're calling it is because the counties that have already reported tend to be the more red counties, they're a bunch of bad standing. Two counties, they know how that... Now, looking at the outlets, I'm checking in again with our friends at the New York Times. They are continuing to increase Trump's chances at the presidency. They're now putting it at 60-40 Trump.

their EV breakdown is 279 to 259. Before New Hampshire came in, they had it up to 280 as a possibility, but okay, we're at 279 still. You were seeing a little break away here, even coming from the liberal outlets. It says it's a toss-up, but it's, the meter is moving closer. They've got the needle back. The needle is back. The femme's needle is back. The femme's needle is back. The femme's needle is back. Yeah, where are they from? Yeah, I know. Where are they from? Where are they from? I want to get to it. Where are they from? I want to get to it. Where are they from? I want to get to it. I want to get to it. I want to get to it. I want to get to it. I want to get to it. I want to get to it. I want to get to it. You know, Megan.

What are you hearing from the evangelicals? You know, we've heard so much about the evangelicals being kind of told not to vote or told that they should vote woke or whatever. What are you hearing? I mean, that's a very real thing. It's both. From a standpoint, if you have pastors, and I can tell you some very well-known influential pastors, people like Andy Stanley who

He has a church of about 38,000 in Georgia, and he had a book out last year called Not In It To Win It, Why Choosing Sides, Sidelines the Church. So I think that that has been a major factor. Jeremy was talking about this earlier. The messaging that you're getting from a lot of these pastors that it's dirty to get your hands in politics, rather than understanding that, look, we as a constituency

have to be able to leverage our political power for the cause of righteousness. That's not what they're arguing. And at the same time, you also have, literally, and you and I talked about this on your show, hard left secular foundations who are funneling money into gambits and efforts to try to push this narrative that it's better for Christians to abstain.

from the political process that Jesus is neither left nor right and of course the implication there is that the left and right are moral equivalents and they're not but I think you have a lot of pastors who are unwilling to stand up and seem like they're partisan and push back against that narrative. You've hit a very sensitive subject. I had Jack Hibbs on one of the best known pests in the country for an hour last week on my show.

begging fellow evangelicals to vote. But this notion, Jesus is neither left nor right. And it doesn't matter whether you're Catholic, Protestant, or Jew. I, for 17 years, have conducted Yom Kippur and Rosh Hashanah's services in Los Angeles.

I never talk, I never talk politics by the way. That's one of the reasons I founded this synagogue was not to talk politics. But I'm obviously conservative in every, in religiously and morally. And one of my subjects, and I choose them very carefully because most of the people have heard me on the radio and in speeches. So I need something really big, but not one that I've addressed

How does one explain when religion, specifically Judaism and Christianity or Christianity, doesn't make people better? It's always bothered me. The first book I wrote, I was 24 years old, and nine questions people ask about Judaism. And one of the questions was, if religion is supposed to make people better, how do you account for unethical religious people? And that has bothered me since high school.

The Bible is so clear that God wants us to be good. My favorite verse in the entire Bible is those of you who love God must, it's a commandment. The Hebrew is in the command, must hate evil. If you don't hate evil, you don't love God. So for a pastor or a rabbi, there's a relevant or a pope to say that Jesus doesn't take sides

it is he doesn't take sides on whether you cut girls breasts off if they say they're boys that that's frightening uh... i i i i i i i i i speak the christian's fourth into jews i will say that there is an aspect of jesus which is you hate to use modern political

Vernacular to talk about ancient religious figures, but there is a liberal aspect to Jesus in the sense that Dr. Jordan Peterson often says that the purpose of the liberal in a healthy society is to speak for the underrepresented. It's to speak for anyone who, because in any sort of hierarchy of any kind, there are going to be people who get disenfranchised, there are going to be people who

who the system looks over, and someone has to remind those of us who are empowered, those of us who are ascendant, to remember those people and to care for them.

But that's about where the comparison can stop. Religion is fundamentally a conservative exercise because it posits that the greatest wisdom that's ever been presented in human history is behind us. Right. There's also a transcendent eternal moral order. It's hard to square that with the liberal project, which is in itself.

largely rejection of religion i mean you think of the french revolution is where we get the terms left and right and what does that come from the comes from the national assembly where the catholics sat on the right and the eighties sat on the left and that was that was pretty much the breakdown speaking of the french revolution our friend ten poll is joining us now and not a moment too soon because the polls are closing in a number of states just in the last few minutes all uh... all throughout the central part of the country including uh...

including Texas, my home state, which you will be shocked to learn is being universally called for Donald Trump. So, you know, going into the election, there were all kinds of things that people were, you know, maybe New York will go for Trump, and maybe Texas will go for Harris. All that is wish casting. We still live in a world where gravity works. Yeah, here's some quick calls. Trump wins Wyoming, Trump wins Kansas, Trump wins North Dakota, Trump wins South Dakota, Trump wins Nebraska, Trump wins Louisiana, and Kamala wins New York. So Donald Trump's big dream of winning New York.

Well, that one went down in flames because that's a really stupid idea. Hey, Kamala Harris, Texas, and Trump has one all day. Kamala Harris did campaign in Texas. That all just came in right now? Yeah. All just, yeah, as you were walking over. Right, right. Well, how are you guys feeling? We've been tracking the decision desk forecast, giving Trump about 70% chance to win. And it's going down a little bit, but it's staying about two to one. So what do we think?

Well, man, what do you think? The whole time, the scariest thing is the quote unquote shadow campaign, right? Time magazine writes that article, 2020 had a shadow campaign. We go to bed, Trump's ahead in all the numbers, and then we wake up and he's not winning.

Based on what I've seen on the ground, based on, I went to Philadelphia and there were Trump signs in downtown Philadelphia and the surrounding residential areas. That to me was crazy to see an urban center that was Republican or that people were unafraid. And so that my gut just says Trump's got the edge, whatever that means. But I don't know the Republicans have the procedural capabilities that Democrats have. I think Ben, you were saying they're way more professional. That is worrying to me.

And so there was some Gallup data that suggested that a much higher percentage of Democrats had heard directly from the Kamala campaign than Republicans had heard from the Trump campaign. Democrats are granular on this sort of stuff. They know how to ballot harvest, they will lock on doors, they will do whatever it takes to get their people out. Republicans, it always feels like, okay, guys, just please just go, like, and the more we just shout, vote to people, somebody out there, it's, you know,

You'll open your window, you'll shout vote in some person in Pennsylvania will hear you, and then immediately run to the polls. With that said, I mean, the enthusiasm that Trump, you know, does enable in the voting population on both sides, but largely on the right, is unprecedented, obviously, in American history. And you are seeing that show up. If you had to game it out right now, Trump is a slight favorite. I think everyone sort of acknowledges at this point that Trump is a slight favorite, but it's a very slight favorite. So, like the needle, the New York Times, the famous needle.

They right now have it leaning right between it's a toss-up and lean Trump. Like they have it very slightly favoring President Trump. He is very slightly favored to win Pennsylvania. He's slightly favored to win Nevada and North Carolina according to The New York Times, right? So I'm not citing a left-wing source right there. And of course, it seems as though we're having a better time tonight than the people on MSNBC are from what I'm hearing from my, you know, I'm getting a lot of sex. That was part of the reason my joy.

Do you know the whole night I watched the left-wing media? We're just going to livestream on MSNBC. If this goes the wrong way, we're just going to put a live camera outside, Kamala's headquarters, and we're just going to watch people scream into the night, and it's going to be just wonderful. It will be joy. It will be joy. You guys all know the term Schadenfreude. Joy and others misery. So I don't generally have that, but that night, eight years ago,

It's like the purge, right? All moral rules are off. I have been very honest with myself for the past several days. I have relatives and friends who are big libs. You know, I'm from New York. I lived in LA. A lot of Democrat friends.

And I won't bring it up with them, and it won't come up at Thanksgiving or over it. Right, exactly. However, I have two buddies who are New York Democrats, and I am, I don't even, I don't want to get ahead of myself, but I am salivating at the prospect of rubbing it in their faces so hard. So I don't, they're the only two, I think it's otherwise we have to have a politics of grace and everything.

There will be some schadenfreude. I think it might be unavoidable. As a warning to others, we must engage in schadenfreude. You never repeat this exercise again. It's like pushing your child. You don't want to do it. You really don't want to do it, but it has to be done. It hurts you more than her. That's right. This is why I really hope that Trump wins the popular vote.

If Trump wins the Electoral College and loses the popular vote, I know I'm going to go to Thanksgiving, and they're going to say, you guys only win because of some archaic procedure. We are the popular man. A procedure called the Constitution. You guys only win because of your government. I want Trump to win the popular vote, so I can just say you're wrong about everything, and we're right about everything. So wait, no, no, how about that? You have a lot of relatives who are on the left.

Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. So this is a fascinating question. I love this sort of thing because I always ask people about their own personal lives. I'm fascinated. The only human being I know, and you must understand how many I've asked, including people I meet, which is a lot, on the radio, just people calling in, literally the only person I know

All of whose relatives are conservative is my wife. Wow. Really? Yes. Lucky her. She's going to live till 107. She has no misery. At that point, though, what's the point of going to Thanksgiving? No, if you can. That's right. At least turkey good. I feel like Biden's having a bad election. Is this true that Joe Biden was wearing red?

So Jill was, when Jill voted. So for sure, 100% Jill voted for Trump. She despises Kamala Harris. At the very least, they wrote in Joe Biden. There is no way they did $100. I heard she wrote in Joe, and she wore red.

Yeah, that's amazing. That's amazing. Yeah. So, you know... That matters, is that a new thing? Well, we're in the Republican colors, right? Yeah, no, I didn't know about that one. It's remarkable. It's like a nudge nudge, you know? But doesn't...

But doesn't Donald Trump often wear a blue tie? I mean, I just... Does he get the red tie? He always has a red tie, really? Occasionally the blue. You know, something people forget about election night history. Yeah, it was always up in the air. Sometimes, you know, when Reagan won, it was blue, it was Republican, and red was Democrat. Which is the way it ought to be.

uh... yes i have heard of the reds but it was that it was the two thousand election i think it was tim russard in particular uh... that was really when it started to solidify as red for republican blue for them and i totally agree with you dennis that they are lit actually read so it fits them and red isn't as an unattractive color i'm wearing a red shirt jacket but i mean that bright red use it's like a star sign or something this is burgundy is more like a plum yes yes

uh... you know how it looks like bernie marino is is going to cruise to victory over shared brown let's go that was a close-up really let's go out is going to be ousted all right why that's big yet that that'd be that that's a lot of things to fifty two in the senate wow lance herbal majority obviously

West Virginia was fairly obvious. When they call that, I'm like, I live there. Shane on our show is like, there's no cities in West Virginia. You've got nothing to worry about. That's a great line. Yeah. So we're being joined right now from Harris HQ in DC by our very own Spencer Lindquist. Spencer, how are things shaping up over there?

Yeah, that's right. So we're here in DC, right in the middle of the swamp, and people have been really trickling in. Now, most everybody is here at the party, and it is a large crowd. I spoke with some people earlier, and they said they were cautiously optimistic. It was three young women who go to school here at Howard, and they all think Kamala's going to take it, but really none of them seemed too confident, so we still have a long night ahead of us before we have any results. Have you been able to talk to any attendees inside the party?

You know, it really is a large crowd. They're listening to music right now and really kind of just hanging out waiting for these results to roll in. You know, we saw Illinois be called for Harris. A couple of other deep blue states be called for Harris. And they're sitting here watching kind of waiting for these results to roll in. And people seem to be, you know, they're excited, a little bit jittery even. A cautiously optimistic, I think, is the general tone of those here on the ground.

I don't mind that they're jittery. What do you think is the most likely victory map if she does end up winning tonight?

You know, reporters and analysts all week leading up to this election have said that Kamala Harris' most direct path to victory really could lead through those three key Rust Belt states. There's three swing states. So you've got Michigan, Wisconsin, and of course Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes. And if Kamala Harris won those three states, you could have Trump winning North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, even Nevada.

and you would still come away with a very, very slim margin, but a Kamala Harris victory nonetheless. So those three states really are key and they're going to be the ones that we're going to be keeping an eye on tonight. And as you've been looking around DC for the last day or two, you know, we see reports about shopkeepers boarding up their businesses. Are you seeing that?

Yeah, we were hanging out really right around the White House in downtown Washington, D.C. And there was a number of different businesses ranging from small restaurants to office buildings, and they were putting up plywood. We saw violence here in D.C. after Trump's inauguration in January of 2017. We saw violence around the country directly following Trump's election in 2016. So there is an indication that if Trump does win this election, there could be more left-wing violence here. And that's exactly what those businesses are preparing for.

If they start boarding up the windows at the White House, please text us. That's the thing. I'm going to want to get a head start. Well, I really appreciate it Spencer. We'll check back in with you in just a little bit. Daily Wire's footprint at Harris HQ was made possible by the friends at PDSnet. Get a custom plan right now to become a debt free at pdsnet.com slash Daily Wire. By the way, a good exit poll alert. This one from NBC News suggesting that Donald Trump may win up to 45% of Latino vote.

a big number that is a very very big number mostly Puerto Ricans vote. Yeah, what did Bush get in 04? He got a huge number. I think he had about 45 percent. Somewhere around there. That was the biggest effort, right? Yes. Wow. It's a major realignment. I mean, again, the Democrats for a couple of reasons have totally misread the Hispanic population in the United States. They misread them on policy because they think that they're just a bunch of left-wing San Francisco liberals so long as you keep the border open.

But they also, I think, made a huge mistake in 2020, misreading the Hispanic population by using this dumb-ass notion of BIPOC, right? This idea that, like, every member of minority was the same as every other member of minority. So Asians were the same as black people, the same as Hispanic people. First of all, Hispanic people ain't even the same as Hispanic people, right? Cuba is not the same as Argentina, which is not the same as Venezuela. I mean, these are all different countries with completely different histories, and they think different ways, and the attempt to lump everybody. And then, I think, in 2020, when they were like, listen,

If you're Latino, you must believe that Black Lives Matter is the most important thing in the world. You start to see the shift then. I think you saw a lot of Hispanics go, you know, no, the answer is no. That's not the same thing. I think Latinx was probably offensive to a lot of Hispanics. I mean, what does that mean? We do know, though, actually, that the Democrats are aware at some level that Hispanics are not all the same, because Obama, as he was opening up immigration from everywhere in Latin America,

did close the door on the Cubans. He said, no, for the first time, forget about those Cubans. You're going back, but everyone else, Venezuelans, please come over. Meanwhile, another NBC News exit poll in Wisconsin, suggesting this dash of burns of NBC News, suggesting that Trump has doubled his black support in Wisconsin.

I'm just pulling apparently about 20% of the black vote versus 78% for Kamala Harris, four years ago, he won 8% of black voters in Wisconsin. I mean, you're looking at identity realignments happening in real time in this election cycle. It's amazing. And so the final identity that Democrats are just banging on is white ladies, white single ladies. That is really honest to God. Well, black ladies too.

We call them single ladies. They say single ladies are they are the constituency of the Democratic Party, which is why Kamala Harris has campaigned so hard to get those people out to vote and campaign almost solely on abortion because she's dropping support like like flies with Hispanic men with black men with capacity for reasons.

It actually is not distributed evenly. Among single women, it's not as though everybody of every race who's single. I think that it really depends on how likely you are to get married as a single woman, as a member of those populations. This is a question that we were talking about. Jordan was married women, obviously, vote very much like their husbands. Is that because they're being forcibly used by their husbands? Or is it because the types of women who tend to get married tend to be the types of women who vote like their husbands? People also marry people like themselves.

Well, but marriage also changes people. I think that's an important part of it. And children change people. And children change people. But it's also increasingly a self-selected group, meaning the kinds of people who want to get married are also the kinds of people who are going to tend to vote Republican a little bit. I want to go to New York. Kelly Iot is now your governor of New Hampshire. She is a Republican, so, you know, Trump doesn't win the state, but Iot is the governor of. That's the first Republican governor they've ever stood up.

No, oh, yes, okay. I do want to say the worst New York Times needle has now shifted over to leaning to a Trump is now lean Trump 66 to 34. What 66 34 66 percent likelihood according to the New York Times?

Why do you keep saying it's what? No, well, you kept saying he said it's just slightly. I don't understand. That's not saying they're saying leaning Trump, but they're saying the like the likelihood given that lean it's so it went from toss up into the lean category. This is all this like stupid. Yes, six lean. That's all I'm asking. 66 is not lean. That's two to one.

They're saying, they're not saying Trump is gonna win, you know, 66%. They're saying it was a 66% chance he'll win. But that's not lean.