Logo

Billion dollar failures, and billion dollar success | Tom Conrad (Quibi, Pandora, Pets.com, Snap, Zero)

en

November 26, 2023

TLDR: Tom Conrad's conversation touches on his past experiences at Apple, Pandora, and Snap, including leadership positions in notable tech failures like Pets.com and Quibi. He shares insights from these roles and now holds a position as CEO of Zero.

1Ask AI
  • The Importance of Collaboration and Finding the Right Team in the Startup IndustryNot everyone needs to be a founder. Collaboration with the right team can lead to recognition, financial reward, and making a significant impact in the startup industry.

    In short, one big takeaway from Tom Conrad's experience is that not everyone needs to be a founder. In fact, our industry would benefit from having fewer founders. Instead, there is a group of smart, talented individuals who can contribute their skills and work on a problem that has a proven mathematical formula for success. You don't have to be the one raising funds and starting a company to achieve recognition, financial reward, or make an impact. Collaboration with others can lead to achieving your goals and aspirations. Tom's career journey, from his early admiration for the Apple team to his role in successful and failed product ventures, highlights the importance of finding the right team and understanding the business model to create significant products.

  • The Role of Luck and Timing in Shaping CareersLuck and timing can play a significant role in career success. Tom Conrad's fortunate choice of university and connection with Apple led to a job opportunity, reminding us to be mindful of the design choices we make.

    Luck and timing can play a significant role in shaping our careers. Tom Conrad's fortunate choice of attending the University of Michigan led to an opportunity to connect with Apple. Through a letter and internship, he eventually secured a job at Apple after graduation. This stroke of luck allowed him to pursue his passion for improving the Finder. Tom's idea to enhance the user experience by implementing spring-loaded folders became a reality, although it took several years and multiple iterations for it to be fully integrated into Apple products. This story reminds us that as designers and product people, we must be mindful of the shortcuts we take, for they may become lasting design details that endure for decades.

  • Prioritizing Product and People in the WorkplaceWhen choosing where to work, consider the importance of both the product and the people. Collaborative environments that provide growth and support are essential for professional satisfaction and personal development.

    When choosing where to work, it's important to prioritize both the product and the people. While a strong passion for the product is crucial, the satisfaction and growth in your career often come from the collaborative and supportive environment created by the people you work with. It's essential to consider if you can learn from your colleagues, if they challenge you in the right ways, and if they provide you with the necessary autonomy. External metrics of success, such as financial returns or big audiences, may not necessarily determine your professional satisfaction. Ultimately, your instinct and gut feeling about the people and the company culture should guide your decision-making process. Furthermore, even experiences in companies that are labeled as notable disasters can become valuable opportunities for personal and professional growth.

  • The dangers of excessive investment and the importance of timing in the success of e-commerce businesses.Balancing investment and considering market conditions are crucial for the success of e-commerce ventures.

    Excess investment can be detrimental and lead to unwise decisions. The case of pets.com and its struggles in the early days of e-commerce serves as a timeless example. Back then, three overfunded pet e-commerce sites raised over $50 million each, thinking it was a zero-sum game. This led to an unwinnable arms race, where irrational spending on advertising became the norm. Furthermore, timing plays a crucial role. Pets.com tried to go to market in a different era when internet usage was limited, making their business model unviable at the time. In contrast, Chewy, a successful online pet store, executed exceptionally well over time and grew their business gradually. So, having a balanced investment and considering the market conditions are key lessons to learn.

  • Balancing Product Excellence and Financial Considerations in Running a Successful CompanyBuilding a great product is important, but understanding the financial side and how investments drive returns is equally crucial for a company's success.

    Tom Conrad realized the importance of balancing product execution with the overall success of a company. He initially believed that creating a unique, delightful product would naturally lead to word-of-mouth recommendations and eventual success. However, his experience with Quibi taught him that companies are also like mathematical equations, where investments are poured in and returns are expected. While focusing on building a great product is crucial, it is equally important to understand the financial side of the equation and how investments can drive returns over time. This realization expanded Conrad's perspective on the complexities of running a successful company, emphasizing the need for both product excellence and financial considerations.

  • Quibi's Flawed Equation: Premium Content at a High CostEvaluating and fine-tuning the foundational equation of a business model is crucial before investing in costly strategies.

    Quibi's foundational equation of creating enough premium content, specifically designed for the mobile phone platform, at a cost of a few billion dollars, ultimately proved to be flawed. With ambitious plans to produce bespoke shows and daily content on par with network television, Quibi faced challenges when launching during the Covid-19 pandemic. The inability to create the desired content in professional studios and instead resorting to self-produced content at home diminished Quibi's differentiation from YouTube. Moreover, the cost estimates for producing the necessary library of content significantly increased, making it an unfeasible risk for the company. This highlights the importance of thoroughly evaluating and fine-tuning the foundational equation of a business model before embarking on extensive investments and innovative strategies.

  • The challenges of user acquisition and retention in the competitive digital landscape.Managing expectations and being transparent about challenges are crucial in digital platform success. Not every venture will be successful, and investments always involve risks.

    The success of a digital platform relies heavily on early and consistent user acquisition. Quibi's model was based on the idea that they would quickly land in the top 10 most downloaded apps and maintain that position. However, the reality of getting millions of people to download a new app is extremely challenging. This highlights the difficulty of attracting and retaining users in a competitive digital landscape. Additionally, it emphasizes the importance of managing expectations and being transparent about the potential challenges and unlikely outcomes. Investments in such ventures always involve risks, and not every project will be a successful one.

  • Balancing Versatility and Specialization in the WorkplaceBeing a versatile employee is valuable, but it's also important to develop specialized skills in order to excel in a specific area and gain confidence.

    Working in a company like Apple during the transitional period taught Tom Conrad the importance of broad contributions across functions. At Apple, he felt rewarded for being a versatile employee who could handle various roles. However, this also meant that he didn't ship as much software as he had hoped and felt like a professional gadfly. It wasn't until he joined Berkeley Systems and worked on the You Don't Know Jack franchise that he learned the value of going deep into a specific area. The company had a culture focused on delivering software on time with high quality, and this forced him to develop his skills as a software engineer. He emerged from this experience feeling more confident in his technical abilities.

  • The Power of Specialization and PassionSpecializing in a specific field and pursuing passions can lead to unforeseen opportunities and exceptional success.

    Specializing in a particular area can lead to exceptional success. Tom Conrad's experience with You Don't Know Jack taught him the importance of becoming an expert in a specific field rather than being a generalist. This lesson proved valuable when he ventured into the digital music industry. Despite working in enterprise software, Tom's passion for music and his knowledge of recommendation systems placed him in a perfect position to create a music discovery platform. Through a stroke of luck, he connected with Tim Westergren and Savage Beast, who were looking for a VP of engineering. Although initially hesitant, Tom's expertise and passion eventually led him to pursue his vision of a consumer-oriented music app. This serves as a reminder that specialized skills and a genuine interest can open doors to unexpected opportunities.

  • Genuine Engagement: The Power of Personal ConnectionsBuilding genuine connections with your audience can be more impactful than expensive marketing tactics, leading to organic growth and word-of-mouth promotion.

    Genuine engagement with your audience can be a powerful catalyst for growth. When Pandora launched, they made a decision to have no customer support team in the first year. Instead, all customer service requests were sent to an email alias that every single person in the company received. This meant that customers could directly interact with the founders, engineers, and even the CEO. There were no scripted responses or rules about what could or couldn't be said. This authenticity resonated with users, leading to word-of-mouth growth. Pandora never spent a single dollar on paid user acquisition. This serves as a reminder that building genuine connections with your audience can be more impactful than shiny branding or expensive marketing tactics.

  • The importance of timing in the success of a company.Understanding industry trends and adjusting strategies accordingly is crucial, as being too early or too late with an innovative idea can significantly impact its chances of success.

    Timing is crucial in the success of a company. Pandora had a vision to disrupt terrestrial radio and focused on the larger market of radio consumption rather than owned recorded music. However, they misjudged the industry's shift towards streaming and the dominance of record labels in setting the structure and licensing terms. Spotify, on the other hand, capitalized on investor enthusiasm and played to the optimism surrounding subscription and streaming services. Pandora's early entrance into the market hindered their ability to take risks and adapt to the changing landscape. This highlights the importance of understanding industry trends and adjusting strategies accordingly. Moreover, it demonstrates that being too early or too late with an innovative idea can significantly impact its chances of success.

  • The Importance of Timing in Investing and Decision MakingBeing aware of current market trends and seizing the right moment can lead to unexpected and rewarding opportunities. Timing is crucial when making important decisions.

    Timing is crucial when it comes to investing or making important decisions. Lenny's excitement about a new Quibi clone and his urge to bet all his money on it is driven by the belief that the timing might be right. This highlights the significance of being aware of the current market trends and opportunities. Additionally, the story of Tom Conrad's journey from Pandora to Snapchat emphasizes the importance of seizing the right moment. Despite the unconventional and ad hoc nature of the interview process, Conrad was offered the VP of product role by Evan, the founder of Snapchat. This showcases how being in the right place at the right time can lead to unexpected and rewarding opportunities.

  • Embracing Risk: Lessons from a Visionary LeaderTaking bold risks and encouraging others to do the same can lead to game-changing innovations and create an environment where great people can thrive.

    Working with a visionary leader like Evan at Snap taught Tom Conrad an important lesson about risk-taking. With the financial support and solid investor relationships, Evan was able to take significant risks and make bold moves that paid off. This allowed him to acquire game-changing technology and build speculative features that might be overlooked in other companies. Tom realized that he wasn't as inclined to take such big swings at his previous company, Pandora. However, his experience at Snap showed him the value of embracing risks and encouraging others to take bold actions. This lesson has influenced Tom's approach as a CEO, now advocating for bigger risks and creating an environment where great people can excel.

  • Balancing involvement and empowerment in leadershipLeaders in smaller organizations should strike a balance between being involved in the details and allowing their team to execute. Clear communication and avoiding excessive engagement in minor details are crucial for effective leadership.

    As a leader in a smaller organization, it is important to strike a balance between being involved in the details and allowing your team to execute and build a culture. While it is crucial to understand the business and make informed decisions, dictating outcomes can hinder the potential of talented individuals who are passionate about the mission. CEOs should be careful about engaging too much in minor details, as even simple suggestions can carry significant weight and influence team members' behavior. Communicating clearly about the level of importance and urgency can help manage expectations and prevent misunderstandings. Additionally, personal experiences can shape a leader's priorities, leading them to seek opportunities to make a positive impact on the world.

  • Fighting Metabolic Diseases with ZeroZero's platform helps individuals address metabolic diseases, with a proven track record of weight loss and health improvement in the first 60 days. The company prioritizes unit economics and emphasizes the importance of finance in business operations.

    To live a longer and healthier life, it is essential to address metabolic diseases such as overweight, obesity, pre-diabetes, diabetes, and high cholesterol. Zero, a company founded by Mike Maser, focuses on helping individuals with their health journeys. With over a million users and double-digit growth, Zero's platform has proven to be effective, with 75% of users losing weight and an average body weight reduction of 5-10% in the first 60 days. The company's success stems from its organic growth through word-of-mouth referrals. Despite the challenges of a startup, Zero has prioritized unit economics and optimizing conversion rates. Additionally, the CEO, Tom Conrad, has realized that companies can be described by an equation that calculates investment returns and emphasizes the importance of finance in business operations.

  • Optimizing the Business Model for Product LeadersUnderstanding and optimizing the business model is crucial for product leaders. By creating a model that encompasses historical data and other variables, they can identify high leverage points and effectively influence decision-makers for more efficient evaluation and success.

    Understanding and optimizing the business model is crucial for product leaders. Traditionally, product work is seen as an art form, focusing on features and details. However, Tom Conrad emphasizes the power of creating a model that encompasses historical data, expenses, and other variables to predict future scenarios. By doing so, product leaders can identify high leverage points and effectively influence the founders and decision-makers. It's important to recognize that investors and board members often evaluate companies based on the optimization of the business equation rather than specific product details. This higher order thinking can lead to more efficient evaluation of company performance. While software development remains an art form, understanding the business model is a significant factor for success. Additionally, focusing on LTV/CAC (Lifetime Value to Customer Acquisition Cost) and driving growth through LTV expansion can be more advantageous than relying solely on top-of-funnel acquisition in certain circumstances.

  • Finding your Ikigai and a balanced approach to work for long-term success and well-being.Discover your Ikigai by aligning what you love, what you're good at, what the world needs, and what you can be paid for. Find moments of deep focus and enjoyment in your work to avoid burnout and prioritize mental well-being.

    Finding your Ikigai, the intersection of what you love, what you're good at, what the world needs, and what you can be paid for, can lead to a fulfilling and sustainable career. Tom Conrad, with his passion for software and technology, has been fortunate to have all four spheres overlap throughout his career. This alignment of his skills, interests, and the demands of the market has allowed him to avoid burnout and consistently engage with his work. Additionally, Conrad emphasizes the importance of not being a "hustling" leader and instead finding a work style that works for you. It is not about the number of hours spent, but rather finding moments of deep focus and enjoyment in what you do. So, discovering your Ikigai and having a balanced approach to work can contribute to long-term success and mental well-being.

  • Finding True Success and FulfillmentTrue joy and fulfillment come from valuing the work itself, forming meaningful relationships, and solving problems to contribute to the world.

    True success and fulfillment lies not in seeking constant recognition or chasing after new experiences, but in finding a balance between work and personal life and forming meaningful relationships. Tom Conrad's experience at Pandora taught him the importance of valuing the work itself rather than performative contributions and creating an environment that allows for sustained effort without burning out. He also realized that experiences alone don't bring lasting happiness; it is the relationships and collaboration with others that truly provide fulfillment. The desire to solve problems and contribute to the world is what brings true joy, and freedom simply allows us to discover and continue solving these problems.

  • The Value of Collaboration and Finding the Right Opportunity for SuccessSuccess in the industry can be achieved by joining a team that needs your skills and working on a problem with potential. Being a founder is not the only path to success.

    Not everyone needs to be a founder in the industry. While there is a belief that being a founder is necessary for success, there is value in joining a team that needs your skillset and working on a problem with potential for success. Collaboration and finding the right opportunity can lead to achievement and impact in the industry. Being a founder is incredibly challenging, and it's not the only path to success. Tom Conrad, a CEO who was not a founder, emphasizes the importance of finding young teams that can benefit from your skills and enthusiasm. In the end, what matters is finding the right fit and making a meaningful contribution, whether as a founder or a collaborator.

  • Effective Interviewing: Encouraging Concrete Examples and Understanding Personal FulfillmentAsking candidates about past experiences and their ideal work day can reveal their skills, talents, and natural inclinations, facilitating better allocation of resources in the workplace.

    When conducting interviews, it is important to ask questions that allow candidates to reflect on their past experiences and demonstrate their relevant skills. Tom Conrad suggests starting questions with phrases like "Tell me about a time in your career when..." to encourage candidates to provide concrete examples rather than hypothesize. This approach helps create a more collaborative dynamic between the interviewer and interviewee, leveling the playing field and fostering a deeper understanding of the candidate's abilities. Additionally, towards the end of the interview, asking candidates about their ideal work day reveals their natural inclinations and what activities provide them with a sense of fulfillment. By identifying the tasks that energize candidates, employers can ensure they are allocating their skills and talents effectively.

  • The Importance of Attention to Detail in Design and PronunciationPaying attention to even the smallest details in design and language choices can lead to ongoing discussions and debates. Open communication and feedback are crucial for improvement and embracing different perspectives.

    Paying attention to the details is essential in design, whether it's product design or the pronunciation of a word like "GIF." The quote by Charles Eames highlights the importance of recognizing that the details are what make the design. Tom Conrad's encounter with Steve Wilhite, the creator of GIF, brings up the debate on how to pronounce it. Despite Wilhite's belief in pronouncing it as "jiff," Conrad insists that it is "giff." This conversation reminds us that even seemingly small details can spark ongoing discussions and debates, proving that paying attention to the nuances in design and linguistic choices is crucial. It also emphasizes the value of open communication and feedback in improving products and welcoming different perspectives.

Was this summary helpful?

Recent Episodes

Crafting a compelling product vision | Ebi Atawodi (YouTube, Netflix, Uber)

Crafting a compelling product vision | Ebi Atawodi (YouTube, Netflix, Uber)

Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career

Ebi Atawodi shares her expertise on crafting a strong vision and strategy, encompassing elements through writing, culture influences product, structuring strategy sessions, team culture tips and handling work relationships.

December 03, 2023

The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)

The future of AI in software development | Inbal Shani (CPO of GitHub)

Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career

Inbal Shani is the chief product officer at GitHub, where she leads core product management, along with product strategy, marketing, open source, and communities, including the development of GitHub Copilot. Prior to joining GitHub, she led engineering and product teams at Amazon and Microsoft. In today’s conversation, we discuss:• What Inbal believes is overhyped and underhyped in the rapidly changing field of AI• How AI-driven code generation is changing software development• Her take on whether AI will replace developers• How software development looks in 3 to 5 years• How product teams operate at GitHub• GitHub’s Next team, and other ways the company fosters a culture of innovation• The success metrics and philosophy behind GitHub’s Copilot—Brought to you by Jira Product Discovery—Atlassian’s new prioritization and roadmapping tool built for product teams | Sanity—The most customizable content layer to power your growth engine | HelpBar by Chameleon—The free in-app universal search solution built for SaaS—Find the transcript at: https://www.lennyspodcast.com/the-future-of-ai-in-software-development-inbal-shani-cpo-of-github/#transcript—Where to find Inbal Shani:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/inbalshani/—Where to find Lenny:• Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com• X: https://twitter.com/lennysan• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/—In this episode, we cover:(00:00) Inbal’s background(04:17) Why generative AI is not going to replace developers in the near future (05:54) Why AI-driven testing is underhyped(07:48) What the next 3 to 5 years will look like(10:13) Stats around the use of GitHub Copilot (12:07) How Copilot enables engineers to work more efficiently(13:38) Common mistakes when adopting AI into your workflows(16:42) How GitHub operationalizes “dogfooding”(18:46) The philosophy behind Copilot(20:24) Copilot’s success metrics(24:54) How Copilot encourages collaboration(26:37) What we lose when AI writes code for us(29:35) A retrospective on the generative AI space(30:47) Inbal’s thoughts on the future of AI(32:35) How to make space for innovative product ideas(34:37) How GitHub stays on the cutting edge of innovation(36:44) The GitHub Next team(39:20) Advice for early product managers(42:17) Inbal’s “biggest learning” from her career(45:34) Inbal’s closing thoughts(46:19) Lightning round—Referenced:• How to measure and improve developer productivity | Nicole Forsgren (Microsoft Research, GitHub, Google): https://www.lennyspodcast.com/how-to-measure-and-improve-developer-productivity-nicole-forsgren-microsoft-research-github-goo/• DORA: https://dora.dev/• The role of AI in product development | Ryan J. Salva (VP of Product at GitHub, Copilot): https://www.lennyspodcast.com/the-role-of-ai-in-new-product-development-ryan-j-salva-vp-of-product-at-github-copilot/• GitHub Universe 2023 day 2 keynote: The productivity platform for all developers: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_o9kFPVeiw• Satya Nadella on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/satyanadella/• TomTom: https://www.tomtom.com/• Failing Forward: Turning Mistakes into Stepping Stones for Success: https://www.amazon.com/Failing-Forward-Turning-Mistakes-Stepping/dp/0785288570/• Good to Great: Why Some Companies Make the Leap and Others Don’t: https://www.amazon.com/Good-Great-Some-Companies-Others/dp/0066620996• Turning the Flywheel: A Monograph to Accompany Good to Great: https://www.amazon.com/Turning-Flywheel-Monograph-Accompany-Great/dp/0062933795• Dare to Lead Like a Girl: How to Survive and Thrive in the Corporate Jungle: https://www.amazon.com/Dare-Lead-Like-Girl-Corporate/dp/1538163527• All the Light We Cannot See on Netflix: https://www.netflix.com/title/81083008• The Wheel of Time on Amazon Prime: https://www.amazon.com/Wheel-Time-Season-1/dp/B09F59CZ7R—Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com.—Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed. Get full access to Lenny's Newsletter at www.lennysnewsletter.com/subscribe

December 01, 2023

My favorite interview questions from 100+ guests

My favorite interview questions from 100+ guests

Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career

In this podcast episode, hosts Lenny and co-hosts from a variety of backgrounds answer the most frequently asked high-stakes interview questions used by top product leaders to find top talent among nearly a hundred past guests.

November 29, 2023

Redefining success, money, and belonging | Paul Millerd (The Pathless Path)

Redefining success, money, and belonging | Paul Millerd (The Pathless Path)

Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career

Paul Millerd shares his journey walking away from strategy consulting to work on his own path, and highlights conversations with others who've also pursued unconventional paths. He explains 'The Pathless Path' concept, offering signs of being stuck on the default path and tips for embracing fear and working towards financial independence.

November 19, 2023

Related Episodes

#41 Tobi Lütke: The Trust Battery

#41 Tobi Lütke: The Trust Battery

The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish

In an interview with Shane, Tobi Lütke shares his experiences and philosophies on leadership and growth strategies at Shopify, including thoughts on AI and automation impacts.

September 18, 2018

How Quibi Burned $2 Billion in 6 Months

How Quibi Burned $2 Billion in 6 Months

Valuetainment

Patrick Bet-David analyzes the 6-month failure of Quibi, discussing its unique mobile streaming service for short-form content, the challenges it faced in a competitive market, and ultimately, its closure.

October 27, 2020

Jason Fried challenges your thinking on fundraising, goals, growth, and more

Jason Fried challenges your thinking on fundraising, goals, growth, and more

Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career

Jason Fried discusses bootstrapping and starting a business on his own path to success. As CEO of 37signals, he prioritizes profit over venture capital and shares insights into the company's gut-driven culture.

December 17, 2023

Paul Graham | (Part 1) The Wisdom of Paul Graham, the Entrepreneur & Investor Behind One of the First Online Shopping Carts, ViaWeb (Yahoo! Store). Paul Is the Investor Behind Dropbox, AirBNB, Reddit, and Y-Combinator.

Paul Graham | (Part 1) The Wisdom of Paul Graham, the Entrepreneur & Investor Behind One of the First Online Shopping Carts, ViaWeb (Yahoo! Store). Paul Is the Investor Behind Dropbox, AirBNB, Reddit, and Y-Combinator.

Thrivetime Show | Business School without the BS

Learn about Clay Clark's highly-rated business workshops in Tulsa, Oklahoma, with testimonials from successful clients like Charles Colaw of Colaw Fitness. Visit links provided for more details.

May 15, 2024

AI

Ask this episodeAI Anything

Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career

Hi! You're chatting with Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career AI.

I can answer your questions from this episode and play episode clips relevant to your question.

You can ask a direct question or get started with below questions -

Sign In to save message history